David Kudla @David_Kudla
CEO & CIO of Mainstay Capital Management, LLC. Tweet content is not investment advice. For personal advice, contact MCM. Retweets & Likes are not endorsements. mainstaycapital.com Grand Blanc, MI Joined June 2012-
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Coo coo for Cocoa Puffs
David Kudla retweeted
Why do rates matter so much to smaller companies? Nice chart from @_JoshSchafer that shows how their debt looks. Bottom line, 40% of debt isn't locked in, so movements in rates matter more.
What could possibly go wrong?……. Oh, that.
What could possibly go wrong?……. Oh, that.
David Kudla retweeted
The Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is down 48% since April 2020. This means investors have realized a negative return of 15% annually on long-duration bonds over the last four years. Moreover, this '#return' was realized with structurally higher #volatility and, on average, a…
Is it time for the super cycle?
David Kudla retweeted
US Housing Starts Collapsed In March - Biggest Drop Since COVID Lockdowns zerohedge.com/markets/us-hou…
Residential and commercial real estate are in trouble.
Residential and commercial real estate are in trouble.
No Fed rate cut until after the election.
No Fed rate cut until after the election.
David Kudla retweeted
USA will have a retirement crisis soon. 39% of adults have nothing saved for retirement / no pension People aged 55+ have a median 401k balance of $70,000 The average retiree spends $50,000 every year Are people planning on working forever? This seems like poor planning.
David Kudla retweeted
Big one-day jump The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate ticks up to 7.44% New high for 2024 Spread: 280 bps
David Kudla retweeted
Infinite banking usually benefits the salesman rather than the client. Insurance is a tool to cover an unforeseen loss/ big risk. Not as an investment. IMO if you’re going to invest, invest directly in assets, instead of through a complicated insurance product. As with…
Infinite banking usually benefits the salesman rather than the client. Insurance is a tool to cover an unforeseen loss/ big risk. Not as an investment. IMO if you’re going to invest, invest directly in assets, instead of through a complicated insurance product. As with…
David Kudla retweeted
4/15 How's it going? Bad! Through April 15, the Bloomberg Domestic Agg Index YTD total return is -3.11% (blue) This is the 49th year of data (1976). Only 1980, 1994, and 2022 were worse through April 15. All those years were historically bad years. Not good
Coo coo for Cocoa Puffs
David Kudla retweeted
Bond markets are officially ending a multi-decade bull run: The 10-year annualized return of US Treasuries with maturities higher than 15 years has fallen to a 65-year low. This is a steep drop from roughly a 9% return in 2020 and concludes a 40-year bond bull market.…
Interesting
David Kudla retweeted
The forecasts for EVs were always far too optimistic. Cold weather issues, lack of charging station infrastructure, subsidies declining,…
The forecasts for EVs were always far too optimistic. Cold weather issues, lack of charging station infrastructure, subsidies declining,…
David Kudla retweeted
Magnificent 7 weighting in the S&P 500 $SPX hits all-time high
Japanese Yen falling to a new low again tonight vs the U.S. dollar.
Japanese Yen falling to a new low again tonight vs the U.S. dollar.
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