Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Defense analysis with a focus on the Russian and Ukrainian militaries. carnegieendowment.org/experts/2362 Washington, D.C. area Joined May 2020-
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Video of Russian Su-25 attack aircraft operating close to Chasiv Yar. A clear sign of a lack of Ukrainian air defense ammunition. t.me/milinfolive/12… t.me/RVvoenkor/66374
One of the most significant current battles in Ukraine is taking place in the small city of Chasiv Yar. In this thread, I will analyze the current situation, defensive preparations, terrain, participating units, various scenarios and future developments. 1/
We often focus on high-end weapons for Ukraine, but Ukraine also needs many basic systems like M113 or armored humvees in large numbers. Providing more M113 is a simple way to reduce Ukrainian KIA/WIA.
We often focus on high-end weapons for Ukraine, but Ukraine also needs many basic systems like M113 or armored humvees in large numbers. Providing more M113 is a simple way to reduce Ukrainian KIA/WIA.
New report by @RUSI_org on mass precision strike and future development of UAS/UAVs. @Jack_Watling @Justin_Br0nk rusi.org/explore-our-re…
New CNA report out on the Russian General Staff’s role in arms control by @AnyaFink cna.org/reports/2024/0…
Very pleased to be publishing Mass Precision Strike: Designing UAV Complexes for Land Forces - co-authored with my colleague @Justin_Br0nk at @RUSI_org. rusi.org/explore-our-re…
The updated mobilization bill was passed on its second reading by Ukraine's parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, today. The demobilization component was removed from the final bill. kyivindependent.com/parliament-pas… english.nv.ua/nation/parliam…
Part one of our discussion on drones in the Russia-Ukraine war is now available to everyone. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/2024/04/mike-k…
From a battalion commander with Ukraine's 59th Motorized Brigade from 2 weeks ago, "what is needed now are people...Because even young guys can’t stand to spend two years in the trenches, their health is not good enough. And in our army, the average age is probably 40-42.…
“The Russians have attacked Ukraine with around 3,500 such guided aerial bombs just this year, according to Ukrainian defence officials, a 16-fold increase over 2023.” Military briefing: Russian ‘glide bombs’ pound Ukrainian troops and towns on.ft.com/3J75u8f
Video of FPV strikes by Ukraine’s 60th Mechanized Brigade on a Russian BTR-82AT and a T-72B3M obr 2022 tank with a large improvised EW system. The system reportedly was effectively countering a large number of FPVs operating with different frequencies before it was stopped.…
Ramzan Kadyrov posted a video yesterday with Apti Alaudinov the commander of Akhmat spetsnaz and Alexander "Ratibor" Kuznetsov who led Wagner's 1st Assault Detachment. They say that Ratibor has agreed to join Akhmat with other former members of Wagner. Ratibor was the most…
Part 2 is out. @RALee85 and I continue our look at drones in the war. We dig into effectiveness, counters, emerging tactics, and how the technology is changing. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/therus…
Morozovsk Russian air forces airbase before and after the alleged Ukrainian drones attack. Both @planet LR images captured at the same time, around 11AM local time, on April 4th and April 5th.
Enjoyed this conversation with @AmosFox6. We talk doctrine, attrition, maneuver, fire control, force structure, with nerdy deep dives into different subjects.
Enjoyed this conversation with @AmosFox6. We talk doctrine, attrition, maneuver, fire control, force structure, with nerdy deep dives into different subjects.
Latest Russia Contingency is out. This one focused on the drone aspects of the war. @RALee85 joins me for a deep dive into the evolution of the drone fight. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/therus…
Just wait till you see AI based peer review. I’m personally working the supervised learning process for Reviewer #2 comments.
Just wait till you see AI based peer review. I’m personally working the supervised learning process for Reviewer #2 comments.
WarTranslated (Dmitri.. @wartranslated
580K Followers 803 Following 🇪🇪 Estonian-born blogger | https://t.co/9xI5FOCv5u | DMs open for submissions and comments
Rob Lee @RALee85
686K Followers 4K Following Senior Fellow @FPRI. Previously @USMC, @ColumbiaSIPA, @CentreAST. Focused on Russian defense policy.
Def Mon @DefMon3
249K Followers 383 Following Money, Men and Munition is needed to win against Russia. Not Tom Clancy My Russophobia is not based on fear.
Mick Ryan, AM @WarintheFuture
347K Followers 1K Following Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | @CSIS Fellow | @LowyInstitute | #BannedInRussia
(((Tendar))) @Tendar
350K Followers 785 Following Tyrants are my enemies | Si vis pacem para bellum |🇩🇪🇪🇺| Das Böse triumphiert allein dadurch, dass gute Menschen nichts unternehmen |Military & History
Institute for the Stu.. @TheStudyofWar
716K Followers 3K Following ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: [email protected]. For more: https://t.co/FO1PVyOnYB
John Spencer @SpencerGuard
224K Followers 1K Following Chair of Urban Warfare Studies @warinstitute | Author, Understanding Urban Warfare | Host, UWP podcast | Thoughts my own ≠ Offical Gov | Follow, RTs ≠ endorse
ChrisO_wiki @ChrisO_wiki
196K Followers 339 Following Independent military history author and researcher. Also at https://t.co/T008p5JDEr
Igor Sushko @igorsushko
310K Followers 1K Following Born in Ukraine. American. @WindofChangeRG Racecar Driver (Ret.) Japanese SUPER GT #FSBletters➡️https://t.co/tICWfox8tE
Ben Hodges @general_ben
192K Followers 4K Following Former CG USArmyEurope, loves the Army Team, FSU football and Atlanta Braves!
Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge
123K Followers 880 Following Security & foreign policy | Ex-🇦🇫🇨🇳🇲🇲🇷🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸 | Sr Fellow @cepa | Capital 🇩🇪 40u40 | ☕️ https://t.co/bJJwJ9yq8b | Don’t just get mad, get busy
Chuck Pfarrer | Indic.. @ChuckPfarrer
170K Followers 1K Following Former SEAL Team 6 Squadron Leader, Conflict Correspondent, Mriya Report host, NYT Best Selling author, Hollywood screenwriter, dad husband & epic snowboarder.
Anders Östlund - Ї @andersostlund
245K Followers 17K Following Swede by birth, European by choice. Live in Kyiv but temporarily is abroad. Non resident fellow at @cepa. I try to reply to comments but time is a constraint.
Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss
251K Followers 4K Following Editor @insidereng, @foreignoffpod. ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror: https://t.co/zOgJMJGUl5. Next book: GRU @twelvebooks. [email protected]
Shashank Joshi @shashj
199K Followers 2K Following Defence editor at @TheEconomist, Visiting fellow at @warstudies King's College London.
Sergej Sumlenny, LL.M @sumlenny
160K Followers 2K Following 🇩🇪Eastern Europe expert. Founder of https://t.co/QCc7kxHLK0. Ex @ua_boell director. Speak🇩🇪🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 https://t.co/uswTaIlh2T
The Intel Crab @IntelCrab
335K Followers 1K Following The internet's most trusted crustacean. Conflict analysis, data visualization, and small amounts of melted butter.
H I Sutton @CovertShores
215K Followers 578 Following Independent Defense Analysis, Unconventional Naval Warfare, author, submarines, #OSINT, illustrations. Mostly typos
Christopher Miller @ChristopherJM
410K Followers 4K Following @FT’s man in Kyiv. 14+ years reporting from Ukraine. Author, 📖 THE WAR CAME TO US 📖, published @BloomsburyBooks. Get it here: https://t.co/Vfr0Qg7iIt
felix5951719 @felix5951719
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Ken Martino @drkhrse1000
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Nicky Jones @NickyJo84030115
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Jimi @Calves0oJimi
35 Followers 148 Following
kepler🇺🇦🇪�.. @kepler487642
125 Followers 3K Following Blessed is the man who walks not in the counsel of the wicked, nor stands in the way of sinners, nor sits in the seat of scoffers
Bryan @Bryan52974606
509 Followers 2K Following
Hayley @HayleyLinz
39 Followers 1K Following
Kiny Sums @KinySums
241 Followers 1K Following
TheDJAnderson @GrizzledOldWolf
3 Followers 15 Following
Mohammad @Mohammad1050119
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Christian Overbeck @o71497
12 Followers 12 Following
JustusHewson @HewsonJustice
4 Followers 93 Following
David Peters @pete29706
2 Followers 11 Following
علی حسینی @hly032093
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RandomUser_2525_2.0.1 @Qr3141
64 Followers 304 Following S equals K log W is found here 。。。 🤖's are $ilicone-based and never will be sentient 。。。 炭素原子は結合して長い鎖を形成する
MartialArtsLore @MartialArtsLore
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Андрей Авра.. @avra7963
0 Followers 143 Following
Ulya @UlyaKalini4enko
35 Followers 80 Following
Andrew Valstad @AndrewValstad
17 Followers 3 Following
Albby Bumm @AlbbyBumm45654
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Martin E @Espos1989
0 Followers 430 Following
mota flavio @motaflavio1
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LA Political Troll @pelicanpolitico
3 Followers 53 Following
L A @LA2933364670098
2 Followers 94 Following
Enam Toloi @Kikirikikikii
3 Followers 309 Following
Grant solomon @maliang26819951
3 Followers 146 Following
Bob @Boblovesrave
7 Followers 42 Following
Levan Khabeishvili @LKhabeishvili
1K Followers 1K Following Anti-corruption activist, pro-EU, pro-NATO, pro-Georgia | MP 🇬🇪 @UNMFaction | Chairman of @UNMGeorgia 🇬🇪 🇪🇺
Kaspar @Kaspar9988
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Ajay Unnithan @unnithan69
64 Followers 989 Following
Jussi @Jussi1610920
13 Followers 11 Following
Danya Guttmann @SallyWisemann
420 Followers 2K Following
Tomasz Zb @TomaszZb24059
0 Followers 8 Following
MahaRajadhiraj MahaRa.. @MaharajaSrimant
60 Followers 1K Following I do=Diamond 💎 gold 🪙 wholesale business& import export business, I have petroleum pumps, I have shopping malls, I have a lot of earth🌎 for garden& propertie
Christian A. @ChristianA_wire
86 Followers 819 Following PhD student @CSS_ETHZurich | Int'l security, alliances, Indo-Pacific, defense procurement, and military interoperability studies | MNL 🇵🇭 - LA 🇺🇸 - ZRH🇨🇭
Casaburo Luigi 🇮�.. @CasaburoLuigi
57 Followers 35 Following
Nap @Nap1119
144 Followers 3K Following
buiADR @adr_bui
25 Followers 1K Following Foreign Desk Algemeen Dagblad & regional newspapers. The Netherlands. Circulation: 950.000 papers daily.
been there done that @nonstoppa_mesk
105 Followers 1K Following +ha+ is all i want in L I F E, for this P A I N 2 seem purposeful…
Babita_Saini779 @BSaini77982949
5 Followers 287 Following
HornetSupremacy @slangalations
3 Followers 52 Following Aus NatSec enjoyer. Hornet Supremacist and INDOPACOM criticiser. If you’re going to be wrong at least be entertaining. (@slangtongue1)
1701 @lowkeyraho
29 Followers 246 Following
Mia Adamia @AdamiaMia
2 Followers 63 Following
Rob Lee @RALee85
686K Followers 4K Following Senior Fellow @FPRI. Previously @USMC, @ColumbiaSIPA, @CentreAST. Focused on Russian defense policy.
Def Mon @DefMon3
249K Followers 383 Following Money, Men and Munition is needed to win against Russia. Not Tom Clancy My Russophobia is not based on fear.
Mick Ryan, AM @WarintheFuture
347K Followers 1K Following Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | @CSIS Fellow | @LowyInstitute | #BannedInRussia
John Spencer @SpencerGuard
224K Followers 1K Following Chair of Urban Warfare Studies @warinstitute | Author, Understanding Urban Warfare | Host, UWP podcast | Thoughts my own ≠ Offical Gov | Follow, RTs ≠ endorse
ChrisO_wiki @ChrisO_wiki
196K Followers 339 Following Independent military history author and researcher. Also at https://t.co/T008p5JDEr
Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge
123K Followers 880 Following Security & foreign policy | Ex-🇦🇫🇨🇳🇲🇲🇷🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸 | Sr Fellow @cepa | Capital 🇩🇪 40u40 | ☕️ https://t.co/bJJwJ9yq8b | Don’t just get mad, get busy
Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss
251K Followers 4K Following Editor @insidereng, @foreignoffpod. ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror: https://t.co/zOgJMJGUl5. Next book: GRU @twelvebooks. [email protected]
Shashank Joshi @shashj
199K Followers 2K Following Defence editor at @TheEconomist, Visiting fellow at @warstudies King's College London.
H I Sutton @CovertShores
215K Followers 578 Following Independent Defense Analysis, Unconventional Naval Warfare, author, submarines, #OSINT, illustrations. Mostly typos
Christopher Miller @ChristopherJM
410K Followers 4K Following @FT’s man in Kyiv. 14+ years reporting from Ukraine. Author, 📖 THE WAR CAME TO US 📖, published @BloomsburyBooks. Get it here: https://t.co/Vfr0Qg7iIt
OSINTdefender @sentdefender
1.1M Followers 782 Following Open Source Intelligence Monitor focused on Europe and Conflicts across the World. RT ≠ Endorsement. Want to Support my Work? https://t.co/PcUbewvWPr
Evergreen Intel @vcdgf555
165K Followers 717 Following "Sharp-eyed aviation buff & flight tracker" ~ Brian Williams Cites: @UN @BBC @11thHour @newsweek @PopMech @thewarzonewire @TheAviationist @AirForceTimes She/her
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch
203K Followers 2K Following Geopolitics, NatSec, Great Power Competition, Cybersecurity. Chairman @SilveradoPolicy; Host @GeopolDecanted; Founder @alperovitch; Co-Founder @CrowdStrike
Neil Hauer @NeilPHauer
146K Followers 1K Following Russia, Ukraine & Caucasus: Armenia, Georgia, Chechnya etc, plus heavy metal. Stories @CNN, @CBC, @NYMag, @guardian etc. 🇨🇦 [email protected]. Eng/рус/հայ.
Konrad Muzyka - Rocha.. @konrad_muzyka
114K Followers 445 Following Independent Defence Analyst focusing on Russia and Belarus / Director of https://t.co/cRvidHQ0j7 Normal caveats apply
Status-6 (Military & .. @Archer83Able
138K Followers 1K Following Providing in-depth news coverage about the armed conflicts and crises all around the globe (focus on 🇺🇦 Ukraine). 📨 [email protected]
max seddon @maxseddon
380K Followers 4K Following moscow bureau chief @FT. in soviet russia, news reports you: [email protected]
Kevin Rothrock @KevinRothrock
130K Followers 793 Following hyper-professional Russia guy, many years at @meduza_en. ✉️: kevin at https://t.co/bTxh2aXPPk
Ulrike Franke @RikeFranke
77K Followers 10K Following Senior Fellow @ecfr. #Drone politics PhD @UniofOxford, previously @sciencespo. Writes about all things #Germany #Defence. Diskutiert bei @SicherheitsPod
✙ Constantine ✙ @Teoyaomiquu
78K Followers 684 Following Ukrainian Combat Veteran 2014-2015; Software Engineer; Living in TX for past 4 years. Supplying drones to 🇺🇦Ukrainian Armed Forces
Valerie Hopkins @VALERIEinNYT
43K Followers 11K Following @NYTimes correspondent covering Russia & Ukraine. Fmr Balkan flâneuse/@FT SE Europe Correspondent. Turophile & enthusiastic cyclist.
Matthew Savill @MTSavill
768 Followers 551 Following Director of Military Sciences at the Royal United Services Institute @RUSI_org; recovering former civil servant; all views expressed here are my own.
Nicholas Danforth @NicholasDanfort
35K Followers 624 Following Turkey. Maps. Historical Randomness. Not necessarily sarcastic. Non–Resident Fellow, ELIAMEP; Editor, War on the Rocks
MilitaryLand.net @Militarylandnet
261K Followers 24 Following Website focusing primarily on 🇺🇦 Ukrainian military units, equipment and volunteer units.
Commander-in-Chief of.. @CinC_AFU
522K Followers 61 Following Генерал-полковник Олександр Сирський, Головнокомандувач Збройних Сил України / Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces🇺🇦
DeepState UA @Deepstate_UA
38K Followers 52 Following Канал ґрунтовної аналітики внутрішньодержавної та міжнародної ситуації. Про події в Україні та Світі стисло, розгорнуто та влучно. 👉🏻https://t.co/9dVLrZHdgE
Alexander Baunov @baunov
14K Followers 1K Following
Chowdah Hill @ChowdahHill
67K Followers 191 Following Proud Captain of the best damn ship in the Navy, @TheCVN69. All views presented are mine and do not represent DoD/DoN. Follows/RTs/links ≠ DoD/DoN endorsement.
твій друг С�.. @slovyanskasil
43K Followers 389 Following бродячій активіст з Донбасу , який пішов в 93-тю Омбр, начитавшись книжок Горліса-Горського
Oliver Carroll @olliecarroll
144K Followers 3K Following Foreign Correspondent for @TheEconomist | Covering Ukraine, Russia, Belarus | Opinions strictly my own | DM for Signal
Hanna Notte @HannaNotte
13K Followers 2K Following Russia's foreign & security policy | Middle East | Nukes | Director for Eurasia @JamesMartinCNS | Snr. Associate @CSIS @csiserep | PhD Oxford Uni | Berlin-based
░O░S░I░N░T�.. @GorillaOSINT
4K Followers 24 Following I have come here to chew bubblegum and talk about my plaque psoriasis symptoms .... and I'm all out of bubblegum
Diana S. Fleischman @sentientist
67K Followers 946 Following Evolutionary Psychologist. Podcasts for @AporiaMagazine. Married to @primalpoly. I left academia so I can say whatever I like here now.
Max Bergmann @maxbergmann
32K Followers 2K Following Director Europe, Russia, Eurasia @csis. Host EuroFile/RussianRoulette. Fmr @amprog, State Department (PM/T/SP). Dad, husband, DC sports fan, Tottenham, Gators
Alexandra Prokopenko @amenka
6K Followers 414 Following Researcher on political economy of 🇷🇺 Former advisor at @bank_of_russia My weekly newsletter https://t.co/vdu4kYwxtw
S Sebag Montefiore @simonmontefiore
85K Followers 17K Following Historian.The World a Family History.Jerusalem: a History of the MiddleEast. StalinRedTsar. YgStalin. TheRomanovs. CatherinetheGreat. Novels: the Moscow Trilogy
Ankit Panda @nktpnd
81K Followers 1K Following Nuclear policy, Asia, missiles, & space. Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Author of ‘KIM JONG UN AND THE BOMB’ (Hurst/Oxford)
Zhanna Nemtsova @ZhannaNemtsova
21K Followers 243 Following Journalist; Founder, Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom, co-host of Another Russia Pod
Teri Schultz @terischultz
17K Followers 10K Following New Mexico cowgirl, global storyteller | NATO geek | 🎙@NPR | 📺 @DWNews | 🎓 NMSU/HelsinkiUni | @[email protected]
Bret Devereaux @BretDevereaux
43K Followers 409 Following Ancient & military historian specializing in the Roman economy and military. PhD @UNChistory. More impressive credential is that I have beaten Dark Souls.
DW @mythosvsrobot
1K Followers 1K Following Writer & Fictionist, words in @TheFourthRiver, @bestmicrofic, @VestalReview, @JabberwockRev, @OysterRiverPgs, @PopSci, etc. EIC @excerptmag
Jack Margolin @Jack_Mrgln
13K Followers 2K Following Personal acct. Conflict finance, guns, crime in data/PAI. Author of upcoming book on Wagner Group https://t.co/tRVoKtkobZ. Fmr @c4ads
Naalsio @naalsio26
22K Followers 188 Following Russian unit and equipment ID. Also helping document equipment losses for the Oryx list & WarSpotting. Kyiv equipment losses map: https://t.co/5NxJBOwRzd
Запорізька .. @solonko1648
44K Followers 560 Following Communication specialist, soldier (Armed forces of Ukraine) https://t.co/eJUylQYIpl
Amy Woolf @AmyWoolf8
1K Followers 422 Following Recently retired nuclear nerd. Facts are facts, opinions, are mine, and baseball is less interesting now that there is a pitch clock.
Pasi Paroinen @Inkvisiit
14K Followers 304 Following OSINT Analysis on Russo-Ukrainian war. FDF Reserve Officer with passion for operational art. Following the war in the @Black_BirdGroup
Ukraine Control Map @UAControlMap
31K Followers 192 Following Ukraine Control Map at https://t.co/ZHLJru1GL0 showing geolocations, frontlines, and unit positions during the war. DM for contact / media
derek guy @dieworkwear
806K Followers 962 Following Menswear writer. Editor at @putthison. Creator of @RLGoesHard. Bylines at The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Financial Times, Esquire, and Mr. Porter
Christiaan Triebert @trbrtc
108K Followers 2K Following Visual Investigations at @nytimes. Previously @bellingcat, @airwars. Tips, DMs, questions, Signal, Telegram etc. via [email protected].
Neil Gibson @blueboy1969
9K Followers 122 Following I cover weapons & their technology I create & maintain entries in the Fenix Insight Online Database (https://t.co/dVLVYWrn7w) All views are my own.
Chung-Tzu @ChungTzuW
16K Followers 611 Following
Ruslan Leviev @RuslanLeviev
86K Followers 730 Following Founder of the investigative group Conflict Intelligence Team @CITeam_en. Contact: https://t.co/YXe0OFXqqL
Esther @Estherallday
14 Followers 98 Following
Polina Ivanova @polinaivanovva
77K Followers 3K Following Correspondent @FT covering Russia, Ukraine, the Caucasus and Central Asia. [email protected] | DMs open
Emil Kastehelmi @emilkastehelmi
111K Followers 330 Following OSINT analyst & military history expert. Tweets FI & EN. Following the war in the @Black_BirdGroup 📞 +358 407399158 ✉️ [email protected]
Armchair Copelord @ArmchairCopelrd
21K Followers 449 Following AKA "Samurai Ty". Failed Army Officer providing delusional cope masquerading as analysis. Assistant DA in Juneau. Armchair Warlord Parody. Hostomel Vibes Only!
Abraxas Spa @AbraxasSpa
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Sam Greene @samagreene
73K Followers 2K Following Director of Democratic Resilience @CEPA. Professor @KingsRussia. Political sociologist. Progressive. Co-author, Putin v the People, @yalebooks. 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
Brady Africk @bradyafr
48K Followers 999 Following Maps and satellite imagery 🛰🌻🔭 | @AEIfdp media relations | Tweets and opinions are my own
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John Helin @J_JHelin
27K Followers 458 Following Fact checker @ HS Ukraine war analysis with @black_birdgroup Political history @ University of Helsinki 📞 +358413106215 ✉️ [email protected]
| osint_east | @osint_east
13K Followers 395 Following Objective analysis on the war in Ukraine. Verified sources and incisive conversations. Some opinions, many maps. Context matters. RT/FLW/LK ≠ END 🔞
Russian_VDV_Textbooks @VDV_Textbooks
11K Followers 224 Following Collection of 21th century Russian Airborne Troops textbooks
Dr Maria Shagina 🇺.. @maria_shagina
10K Followers 2K Following Diamond-Brown Senior Research Fellow for Economic Sanctions, Standards and Strategy, IISS | Ex @FIIA_fi and UniZurich | Economic statecraft, sanctions & energy.
What are Ukraine's vulnerabilities & how are they being addressed? What is the state of the war after 26 months? What is Ukraine's strategy going forward? On The @PowerVertical Podcast, I speak with the always insightful @KofmanMichael to unpack it all. powervertical.org/2024/04/19/the…
⚡️ Kyiv Independent's Francis Farrell shortlisted for European Press Prize 2024. kyivindependent.com/kyiv-independe…
Restoring deterrence is like finding dark matter, which is believed to make up most of the universe's mass, but we cannot be certain it actually exists
Analysts close to Israel are saying that Israel managed to restore deterrence. Analysts close to Iran/Axis of Resistance are saying that Israel failed to restore deterrence. That’s a good place to be at and close this chapter.
Служу українському народу 🫡
The front-line units say they face a severe shortage of basic equipment such as the U.S.-made M113 armored personnel carriers and even Soviet-era BMP infantry vehicles. kyivindependent.com/unequipped-and…
Once again: no-one serious has said that nuclear weapons are only for deterring nuclear attacks. From earliest cold war, US & NATO doctrine was that nuclear forces could & should deter conventional attacks in Europe. A vibrant & ongoing debate over No First Use makes this clear.
To folks claiming that nuclear weapons are *only* for deterring nuclear attacks, then turning around and saying oh wait actually nukes are for preventing conventional warfare, which is it? Never mind that nobody seems to have a solution for when deterrence theory fails.
I strongly agree that the strike was designed to overcome Israeli defences and cause damage. However, I would disagree with the claim that the strike was modelled on Russian attack waves in Ukraine. 1/4
NEW | The Iranian April 13 missile-drone attack on Israel was very likely intended to cause significant damage below the threshold that would trigger a massive Israeli response. The attack was designed to succeed, not to fail. 🧵(1/9)
Skeptical re. utility of F-16s vis-a-vis glide-bombs: “Without more Patriot batteries, or until the…arrival of f-16s armed with aim-120 missiles, which is unlikely before July, Russian pilots will continue to inflict the glide-bomb scourge with impunity.” economist.com/europe/2024/04…
📋 New CNA Research! 📋 CNA's #Russia Studies Program provides a look inside Moscow’s decision-making black box for US policymakers seeking to engage with their Russian counterparts on nuclear weapons and arms control issues. cna.org/reports/2024/0…
This is a really important point; there is something of a cottage industry in curating barking mad clips from Russian TV (of which, in fairness, there is no lack) and suggesting (a) this is the norm and (b) everyone is tuning into this nonsense. Yes, it's horrific that there are…
@KevinRothrock It’s true for most countries. But unfortunately far too much “analysis” of Russia and Russians is based on TV clips shared on this website and a failure to appreciate that most Russians never see them. That’s not the same for, eg, the UK perception of the US.
This is the first paper in a series. The second will look at CUAS methodologies. The third will look at displacement across the Joint Force. I'd also recommend you check out @KofmanMichael and @RALee85 recent discussion on UAV use in Ukraine: warontherocks.com/2024/04/mike-k…
I had the pleasure of re-reading this article by the late Dave Johnson and it is absolutely remarkable how prescient he was about the direction of the war in Ukraine. Do yourself a favor and give it a read: warontherocks.com/2022/05/would-…
We ungated the first of the two-part discussion between @KofmanMichael & @RALee85 on drones in Ukraine @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/2024/04/mike-k…
Really excited to share my latest article! It's with @Lauren_A_Kahn and focuses on how automation bias impacts how we use AI in the international security context. Definitely worth a look!!! Should shape how we think about military AI adoption! cc @ISQ_Jrnl
You’ve heard of algorithmic bias but what about automation bias? Excited to share latest w/@mchorowitz in @ISQ_Jrnl on AI-based decision-making in security contexts. We surveyed 9k people in 9 countries to see how our experiences shape how we rely on AI doi.org/10.1093/isq/sq…
The latest evolution in drone warfare in Ukraine. But based on the latest @WarOnTheRocks podcast with @KofmanMichael and @RALee85, and @RUSI_org research by @Jack_Watling and @Justin_Br0nk the adaptation period at the moment is a few months. ‘Unstoppable’ may be optimistic.
Ukraine developing ‘unstoppable’ AI-powered attack drone with Western backing telegraph.co.uk/world-news/202…
Ratibor is one of Wagner’s most respected and widely recognized field commanders. His move to join Akhmat will be powerful messaging for other fighters as Rosgvardiya, MoD aim to recruit from their numbers.
Ramzan Kadyrov posted a video yesterday with Apti Alaudinov the commander of Akhmat spetsnaz and Alexander "Ratibor" Kuznetsov who led Wagner's 1st Assault Detachment. They say that Ratibor has agreed to join Akhmat with other former members of Wagner. Ratibor was the most…
Latest: #Ukraine has rigged an elaborate network of sensors that feeds targeting data to heavy machine guns to down Russian combat drones. According to analysts, mobile air defense in Ukraine are likely responsible for +40% interception of Shahed drones. defensenews.com/global/europe/…
"'Shoigu! Gerasimov! Where's the fucking ammo?" (Taylor's Version)
me at the bar discussing how to respond to the Russian military's actions
Will participate in this ISA roundtable on Friday. Unfortunately, we're a bit decimated, but we found a substitute for @KofmanMichael at least.
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