Michael Fischer @MikeFischerWx
Associate Scientist at the University of Miami and @HRD_AOML_NOAA. Ph.D. from UAlbany; B.S. from FIU. Married to my best friend. Saved by grace through faith. Miami, FL Joined January 2012-
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Shout out to the little swirl in the eastern Atlantic firing deep convection (with GLM-indicated lightning flashes) over 24C waters. That's warm enough for at least subtropical genesis, but shear is quite high and expected to increase.
A comparison of ocean heat content (sorry for the different color bars) in the North Atlantic between 2005, 2010, 2020, and 2024 (each year featured very warm SSTs in the Atlantic). Maps created by @MiamiRosenstiel.
#WPC_MD 0109 affecting metropolitan areas of southeastern Florida, #flwx, wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwa…
Check out the new BAMS paper by my colleagues @gusalaka, @JasonSippel4 and more! I remember when I was in grad school (early 2010s) HWRF was not seen as very skillful. The work that many have done to make it better is impressive, and helped us start in a better place with HAFSv1.
Check out the new BAMS paper by my colleagues @gusalaka, @JasonSippel4 and more! I remember when I was in grad school (early 2010s) HWRF was not seen as very skillful. The work that many have done to make it better is impressive, and helped us start in a better place with HAFSv1.
It was a pleasure talking with the Washington Post on this very interesting topic. Hazard communication is always challenging, and even more so in a warming world. Nevertheless, I’m quite skeptical we need a category 6 added to the Saffir-Simpson Scale and public messaging.
It was a pleasure talking with the Washington Post on this very interesting topic. Hazard communication is always challenging, and even more so in a warming world. Nevertheless, I’m quite skeptical we need a category 6 added to the Saffir-Simpson Scale and public messaging.
I would like to congratulate my two boys on collectively testing positive for 1) COVID, 2) Influenza A, and 3) Influenza B all in just the last two weeks. Boys are hanging in there, and I’m hoping to at least give my virtual presentation at #AMS2024 tomorrow. Cheers!
Super proud big brother post: Congratulations to my sister, @_sarah_fischer_ , who just won the Lieberman Memorial Associate Instructor Award at @IndianaUniv! She was recognized as the top instructor among PhD students. I’m thrilled your passion and dedication is celebrated!
Record high in #Miami today... we reached 87°. The old record for the date was 84° (set in 2018).
Tornado just east of downtown Ft Lauderdale this afternoon. Was watching the signature on the radar and it looked like it would be close. Boy was it. From what I could tell, @NWSMiami issued the warning just in time.
I don't share often on here about our family's work with refugee foster kids, but this week our family and this program was honored to be featured in this story by AP reporter @GDellortoREM. They got some great pictures as well! apnews.com/article/immigr…
Discrete supercell headed north of Nashville, TN poses a risk of long-track, sig.-to-violent tornades Hodograph features strong low-level shear and strong, backed upper-level flow, found in recent studies to be optimal for ventilation and tornado maintenance.
If you were ever curious about the new intensity estimates on the @UWCIMSS TC page, our paper on D-MINT and D-PRINT has finally been accepted and is available online! It's been fun to see how AI compares to current operational methods. journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/…
Robust mesovortex just east of Key Largo this morning. Still raining along coastal SE FL. Really fascinating system.
**** New Paper Alert **** Our JAS paper proposes a new way to parameterize PBL mass fluxes and discusses its impact on tropical cyclone intensification. This upgrade has been included in HAFS-B and helps explain its “stay-calm” forecasts of TS Philippe. doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-…
[1/2] We will never say we've paid enough attention to hurricane landfalls (e.g., Otis). Please consider submitting an abstract to the landfall session in the 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (May 6-10, 2024) before 11/29/23 11:59 PM ET. Welcome to spread!
Tomer Burg @burgwx
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39 Followers 155 Following SUNY Albany DAES Atmospheric Science PhD, interested in tropical meteorology, tropical climate and Artificial IntelligenceNOAA Space Weather Pr.. @NWSSWPC
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301 Followers 19 Following Official account for the 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology | Run by @ametsoc STAC Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical CyclonesOpenAI @OpenAI
3.4M Followers 0 Following OpenAI’s mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity. We’re hiring: https://t.co/dJGr6LgzPAScott Dance @ssdance
8K Followers 2K Following @washingtonpost reporter focused on extreme weather and climate change. @baltimoresun subscriber. @niemanfdn '21. @sejorg @nlgja member.Gionata Ghiggi 🌍 �.. @GionataGhiggi
340 Followers 2K Following PhD student at @epfl_en | Slow Science | Mostly #rstats & #python | #Hydrometeorology, #RemoteSensing, #MachineLearning, #DA & #DataViz.Elmo @elmo
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414 Followers 569 Following UAlbany Honors '24 | Atmospheric Sciences Major | President of @CapRegion_AMS | Pathways Intern @NWSNERFC | 2022 NOAA Lapenta InternSarah Fischer @_sarah_fischer_
148 Followers 125 Following Indiana University PhD candidate, teacher, writer, + vlogger 📹| embodiment, multimodal comp, feminism, + writing centers 📚| dessert lover 🍪David R @dryglick
452 Followers 736 Following Principal Scientist, Director of Meteorological Research, and Tropical Weather Expert at @MyRadarWXDaire Carragher @DaireCarragher
14K Followers 997 Following Covering the Green Bay Packers for @247Sports / @PackerReport66🧀Andrew D. Huberman, P.. @hubermanlab
1.3M Followers 1K Following Professor of Neurobiology & Ophthalmology at Stanford Medicine • Host of the Huberman Lab podcast • Focused on science & health research & public educationHuberman Protocols (n.. @hubermanrules
80K Followers 4 Following The best protocols (AND memes) from Huberman Lab • Not associated with @hubermanlab, just a fan accountWeathergami @Weathergami
6K Followers 1 Following Weathergami is the occurrence of a unique daily high and low temperature combination for a location. Inspired by Kahl (2023). Weathergami Archive can be found ↓Scott Van Pelt @notthefakeSVP
2.1M Followers 622 Following S/C @ midnight, or after the game, whichever is later. SVPod, because there just weren’t enough already.Una Taphous @taph_un
76 Followers 5K FollowingSteve Bowen @SteveBowenWx
5K Followers 287 Following Work: Chief Science Officer @GallagherRe_. Meteorologist. Alum: @NotreDame @FloridaState. Stuff: Wx & Climate Nerdery. Chicago Sports. Metallica. Views: Mine.CIMASRosenstiel @CIMASRosenstiel
62 Followers 110 Following Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies @MiamiRosenstiel. A NOAA Center of Excellence increasing scientific knowledge of oceans & atmosphereECMWF @ECMWF
50K Followers 172 Following European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts For press enquiries or for general queries to the Service Desk, please visit https://t.co/s2OcUa2EanBarchart @Barchart
176K Followers 573 Following Financial Markets | Trading & Investing Tools | Charting | Stocks | Options | Futures | Commodities | Forex | News | & Much MoreCNN @CNN
62.3M Followers 1K Following It’s our job to #GoThere & tell the most difficult stories. For breaking news, follow @CNNBRK and download our app https://t.co/ceNBoNi8y6NYS Mesonet at UAlban.. @nysmesonet
2K Followers 69 Following We are the nation's most advanced Mesonet with 126 real-time weather stations covering the State of New York, including at least one in every county/borough.Abe Moskow @abe1953
108 Followers 514 Following Husband, Dad, Pata, Pediatrician, Clinical Research, IFR Pilot, PSU Certificate Wx ForecasterCentro Meteorológico.. @cmprwx
635 Followers 559 Following Clima, Tiempo & Datos 🇵🇷 • Nuestra misión es brindarte la mejor información y ayudar a salvaguardar la vida/propiedad. [email protected]Meteorologist Scott S.. @ScottSincoff
4K Followers 6K Following ❄️ Meteorologist | @rutgerssebs @FairmontState ⚡️⛈️ Prof. | @RutgersU/@msstate alum | Eagle Scout | ✡️ 🏳️🌈 he/him/his | 🐶 Dog Dad | Tax ProfessionalInter Miami News Hub @Intermiamicfhub
12K Followers 333 Following Inter Miami and #Messi news 24/7. Follow us to get all the latest updates 🔔❗️NOT an official account & NOT affiliated with the club!Tom Terry @TTerryWFTV
19K Followers 925 Following Chief Meteorologist at WFTV/WRDQ. Weather hound, busy dad and hubby. Helping folks #hunkerdown since 1989! Send me pics! Tweeting us? You may be on airRiley @135knots
1K Followers 376 Following Weather Enthusiast with focus on TCs. Northwest Pacific Climatologist. Director and Chief Forecaster @IPTCWC. 25yr old. Roll Tide. Racing Fan. Byron/RussellThis is going to sound old man as hell of me. However, instead of trying to go viral by talking ridiculous to a pro athlete (that you play the same sport as)— why not ask for advice on idk….how to get better? Just a thought.
Some kid told DK Metcalf "Jalen Ramsey is your daddy" to his face thinking this was Twitter and DK killed him with elegance💀
The convective, non-frontal low in the eastern subtropical Atlantic continues to chug along this afternoon. The system is clearly sheared as it begins to decouple with its parent upper trough, but anomalously warm SSTs and cold temperatures aloft have maintained it thus far.
This system is not currently an official invest but we added to our page to produce our suite of products. Getting feature track wind vectors of 30-35 knots which agrees with earlier ASCAT passes.
@NHC_Atlantic issued its first "special tropical weather outlook" of 2024 on this moments ago. But, what Michael said re: shear and, thus, its expected weakening by tomorrow. So, just a curiosity.
Shout out to the little swirl in the eastern Atlantic firing deep convection (with GLM-indicated lightning flashes) over 24C waters. That's warm enough for at least subtropical genesis, but shear is quite high and expected to increase.
Convection has been bursting with this well defined compact circulation in the central Atlantic. It would be close to attaining subtropical status however shear is likely to increase and limit any further development.
33 named storms is the ceiling so far for 2024 seasonal hurricane forecasts. Scientists from @Penn today calling for between 27 and 39 named storms (33 "best guess") this year in the Atlantic. The named storm record is 30 for the Atlantic, which occurred in 2020.
The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Prediction is live! @MichaelEMann, @sh_christiansen and Michael Kozar predict a record-breaking 33 named storms this season which highlights the impacts of rising SSTs and changes in ENSO states. Read the full write up here: web.sas.upenn.edu/mannresearchgr…
Beyond overdue.
Exclusive: Reggie Bush is getting his 2005 Heisman Trophy back, ESPN has learned, with a formal “reinstatement” of the trophy coming today. The decision comes amid what the Heisman Trust calls “enormous changes in the college football landscape.” es.pn/3w92KUR
Overheard at an airport: - "I have a PhD in common sense." - "You can't have a PhD in common sense. You can't have common sense with a PhD." I laughed so hard that I had to explain that I have a PhD (and not a lot of common sense).
In a life update: I am super proud to announce I successfully defended my undergraduate research thesis! The project investigated forecast failures in rapid intensification of Atlantic Hurricanes. 🌀 Next step: walking the stage to receive my degree in about two weeks😎
Updated these plots today. Takeaways (remember, global mean anomaly is removed): -MDR running a bit behind 2010, but actually running ahead of 2005 with the +AMO. -Switch to -ENSO happening faster than 1998/2010. -Clearly more classic +AMO than 1998 and 2020 at this point.
Had to start removing the "global mean anomaly" from these analog comparison SST difference maps. 2020 still stands out compared to a lot of the analogs for a warmer MDR at this point (2017, 2020, 1998). 2010 was actually slightly warmer just off Africa, though, interestingly.
Join me and @NWSNHC Director Dr. Michael Brennan tomorrow evening at 7 PM ET/6P CT for an hour-long conversation ahead of the 2024 Hurricane Season. We'll be discussing the latest hurricane headlines, new research out of NHC, and your questions. Register below @amswxband 👇
Forecasting a crazy hurricane season makes a lot of sense. People that know me know I sell the hype. This year, the hype is warranted.
A comparison of ocean heat content (sorry for the different color bars) in the North Atlantic between 2005, 2010, 2020, and 2024 (each year featured very warm SSTs in the Atlantic). Maps created by @MiamiRosenstiel.
@MikeFischerWx @MiamiRosenstiel The anomaly is really striking right now!
Rapid warmup of the Atlantic MDR ongoing, thanks to a reduction in trade winds, after a SAL outbreak last week briefly cooled things. The actual SST graph looks like "runaway warming" when you add in the seasonal warmup this time of year. Wild to see the MDR already at 27C.
Miami from the air is stunning. You can even see the new bridge arc construction on 395 if you zoom in.
This is really well written and something I think about a lot. For hurricanes, I do think we have room to grow in avoiding forecast busts like Otis. Better ICs are probably necessary for that, so we'll see how much progress we're able to make with new data and DA techniques.
(I passed by the way!)
Took us an hour to get off Virginia Key today after going to the beach. Sounds like some people are dealing with even longer delays. Going to be an epic disaster on weeknights if they don't do something.
🚨 Attention Key Biscayne! Starting THIS Sunday Rickenbacker Cswy west (leaving Key Biscayne) flyover bridge to S Dixie Hwy & I-95 NB will be CLOSED for 2 months to fix concrete pavement - For S Dixie Hwy turn left on Brickell Av - For I-95 continue west SE 26th Rd curves to I-95