Quant Insight @Quant_Insight
Ground breaking macro analytics that extract signal from https://t.co/u2gZwW3AfN driven insights to uncover what's really going on. Look Up™ **Not financial advice** quant-insight.com London, UK Joined October 2015-
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💸Why Stock Markets Really Move?
Best performing sector today? Banks Banks are the barometer of soft landing sentiment - dollar and CDX HY spreads fell in aftermath of data
US Soft landing stocks overshooting a bit here. We screened the SP500 stocks for 30 stocks that benefit most from a soft landing and 30 most vulnerable to a soft landing. We plotted this against the Citi Econ Surprise Index Soft landing beneficiaries have overshot
The rise is long term inflation and expectations and steepening of the curve suggest the Fed is losing control ? Thoughts ?
The rise is long term inflation and expectations and steepening of the curve suggest the Fed is losing control ? Thoughts ?
Macro not great short term Micro is interesting long term !
Macro not great short term Micro is interesting long term !
A risk management approach to climate change
A risk management approach to climate change
After a blowout summer some signs the US consumer is reining it in
After a blowout summer some signs the US consumer is reining it in
Stock market outlook to year end isn’t so positive Liquidity Inventory reduction China drag Credit cycle Weaker consumer Weaker capex And more
Stock market outlook to year end isn’t so positive Liquidity Inventory reduction China drag Credit cycle Weaker consumer Weaker capex And more
Huge capital shift coming !
Uk house prices also highly correlated to UK GDP growth
Uk house prices also highly correlated to UK GDP growth
For those focusing on investing rather than short term trading there is one essential thing to focus on @eyeqinvest explains
For those focusing on investing rather than short term trading there is one essential thing to focus on @eyeqinvest explains
If the last 20 years was about tech then what will the next 20 be about ?
If the last 20 years was about tech then what will the next 20 be about ?
A crude oil negative supply shock would not be helpful right now.
A crude oil negative supply shock would not be helpful right now.
Latest UK House Price data for August released Here’s a quick take from @eyeqinvest
Latest UK House Price data for August released Here’s a quick take from @eyeqinvest
Don’t assume correlations cannot all shift to stop you out of all your positions. And ensure that if that happens you are still in the game Risk management is the key for successful trading
Don’t assume correlations cannot all shift to stop you out of all your positions. And ensure that if that happens you are still in the game Risk management is the key for successful trading
US residential housing is under pressure. What are the odds of a crash ? @eyeqinvest has a view
US residential housing is under pressure. What are the odds of a crash ? @eyeqinvest has a view
How to navigate a slowing growth , rates higher for longer world ? Some thoughts 👇
How to navigate a slowing growth , rates higher for longer world ? Some thoughts 👇
This is a question that comes up a lot. Why a 2% inflation target? Why not increase it to save jobs ? This isn’t really an option as explained by @eyeqinvest
This is a question that comes up a lot. Why a 2% inflation target? Why not increase it to save jobs ? This isn’t really an option as explained by @eyeqinvest
Alf @MacroAlf
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37K Followers 250 Following Research service with the goal of democratizing finance. Making institutional-quality insights and research available to the public.Just a reminder: The defined “Santa Rally” comprises the last 5 trading days in Dec + the first 2 trading days in Jan. Sidebar: Most are on vaca this week, volume is wicked thin, and, oh yeah, Santa isn’t real… but this stupid folklore still has people asking all year long if…
Over the past 30 years the big warning has been when there was no Santa Claus Rally. Years like 2000 and 2008 saw potential warning signs when🎅didn't show up. 🎁🎄❄🎅🤶
@charliebilello @charliebilello actually, per @Quant_Insight , this factor explains why R2K moved so fast - corp credit spreads tightening. Spreads are 29.4% of the index's macro profile. Happy to share more.
Recession Coming? #USA EyeQ For You! 👁️👩💻💸💵💷👁️
Is The FED Losing Control? 👁️ EyeQ For You! 👁️💸👩💻💵💷
The Party Is Over! A Summer Of Fun Could Lead To Autumm Pain💭🍁 ~What’s Your Vision About It? Warren Buffett Gives Billions More To Charity.💸 TikToK Shakes Up Its Leadership.🧐 Microsoft Warns It May Abandon Its Takeover bid For Activision Blizzard! ~What’s next? EyeQ…
Super Core #CPI is rising at an accelerated 3-month annulized rate of 4.74% following the September report
Meta 4billion Users!! Where Next? #meta EyeQ For You! 👁️💸👩💻💷💵👁️
Bond Market Volatility Sinks Stocks, With More To Come youtu.be/GgiHuJgBKx0 #stocks #stockmarket #market #trading $spy $spx #sp500 #rates #dollar
My conversation with with Co-Founder & CEO at Quant Insight - Mahmood Noorani 🔥
Most investment portfolios are totally unprepared for war. In times of conflict inflation rises, gold and commodities outperform, while stocks, bonds, and cash underperform. A typical portfolio of 60/40 + cash is the worst portfolio, particularly on a real return basis. Thread.
The average payment on a new home is now at a record $2,900/month. The average house is now renting for a record $1,900/month. The average new car payment is now at a record $740/month. The average used car payment is now at a record $530/month. The average student loan…
Always trade markets relative to *what is priced in.* At this point the markets are all-in on a soft landing when the likelihood it happens is pretty low given the set of conditions facing the US. More perspective from my recent @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt convo: youtu.be/e1p5FH8p4JQ?si…
Inflationary shocks like we have seen over the last couple years are a pretty common occurrence in history. What determines inflation persistence is the tightness of the labor markets. More continuing my recent convo with @chartaddicts: youtube.com/watch?v=S8JcRF…
The question is whether the Eurozone recession is *weak enough* to sufficiently loosen labor markets, wages, and structural inflation. ECB is fighting 5-6% core inflation with a short rate at 4%. Modest weakness implied by PMIs wont get the job done: x.com/bobeunlimited/…
Europe has an inflation problem and the ECB isn’t doing anywhere near enough to stop it. Core inflation is stabilizing at 5-6%. Right in line with wages at 5-6% and productivity at zero. More needs to be done, yet mkts pricing the ECB starts cutting soon.
A default cycle has started, but market doesn’t see it yet.
Today there are three times more zombie companies than during GFC. Sooner or later all of them will need to roll their debt. Spoiler, at current interest rates it will not be pretty.
I have the best clients. Really I do. Alexander has been with me for 2 yrs 🙏❤️💃
Today is another reminder that higher for longer is bad for all asset prices, but good for stocks vs long duration bonds. Market action since mid-April clearly shows the dynamic: