Dr. Saskia Popescu @SaskiaPopescu
Infectious disease epidemiologist - Biodefense & Global Health Security | Sr Fellow @CSRisks | Asst Prof @UMmedschool | Affiliate @georgetown_ghss @scharschool medschool.umaryland.edu/profiles/Popes… Arizona, USA Joined March 2009-
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Announcing the GHS2024 Preliminary Program! 🎉 Explore our lineup of thought-provoking events, renowned speakers, and immersive workshops focused on global health security. Join us on this inspiring journey towards a safer world. eur.cvent.me/bGgg5 #GHS2024 #globalhealth
The most concerning element of this discovery is that it points towards widespread, undetected circulation in cattle - in keeping with the latest analysis from @MichaelWorobey, @angie_rasmussen & co. Our @TelGlobalHealth coverage is free to read: telegraph.co.uk/global-health/…
Re-upping this bc it’s important to know what these results mean rather than hitting an immediate panic button. Great thread from Dr. @angie_rasmussen 👇🏻
Re-upping this bc it’s important to know what these results mean rather than hitting an immediate panic button. Great thread from Dr. @angie_rasmussen 👇🏻
Very important to note here that qPCR positives are not the same as "virus particles." It's much easier to detect viral RNA by qPCR than it is to detect infectious virus or intact virus particles (as the article correctly notes). This finding does have some big implications:
Very important to note here that qPCR positives are not the same as "virus particles." It's much easier to detect viral RNA by qPCR than it is to detect infectious virus or intact virus particles (as the article correctly notes). This finding does have some big implications:
So, *preliminary* molecular clock analyses indicate that the time of the most recent common ancestor (TMRCA) of the US cattle flu clade was late December. TMRCA of that clade and the closest relatives in birds, mid-December. If single intro, likely between those rough dates.
Another great thread from Dr. @MichaelWorobey 👇🏻
Another great thread from Dr. @MichaelWorobey 👇🏻
💯 and great insights from Dr. @MichaelWorobey
💯 and great insights from Dr. @MichaelWorobey
This reporting on COVID origins is exceptional and worth people’s time.
This reporting on COVID origins is exceptional and worth people’s time.
For #H5N1 , we must remember that we will only find infections where we look for them. If we test only symptomatic herds or farms with dead animals, we miss important opportunities to prevent spread among animals and to farmworkers. aphis.usda.gov/sites/default/…
Here is a link to 239 consensus genome sequences, assembled by @xrayfoo, from sequencing reads of 2.3.4.4b H5N1 influenza A virus from cattle and other species. github.com/andersen-lab/a…
If confirmed that #H5N1 has been circulating much longer in cows (particularly given reports of asympt + cows), our current surveillance net should be larger, both geographically & temporally (testing, past human illnesses etc). Our case definition should be broader.
If confirmed that #H5N1 has been circulating much longer in cows (particularly given reports of asympt + cows), our current surveillance net should be larger, both geographically & temporally (testing, past human illnesses etc). Our case definition should be broader.
🤩 Applied Biosafety seeks submissions for a Special Issue on Biosafety & Biosecurity for PPP & DURC. Share insights on policy gaps & best practices. Topics cover AI implications, oversight, & more. Join global experts to enhance biosafety management. ☣️ home.liebertpub.com/cfp/biosafety-…
Data gaps and disparities impede outbreak response. Bridging between agencies, reinforcing collaboration, and working with local farmers/industry is vital. SSDD?
Data gaps and disparities impede outbreak response. Bridging between agencies, reinforcing collaboration, and working with local farmers/industry is vital. SSDD?
I know we'll never get it, but one thing I would really love is to hear a Boeing exec's genuine answer to the question, "What did you think was going to happen when the quarterly financials became more important than the planes?" theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Friday, 4/26 @ 12:00 ET | H5N1: Gauging the Current Threat @JenniferNuzzo will moderate a discussion with Dr. Mary-Margaret Fill @TNDeptofHealth, @DrGerryParker @TAMUOneHealth, & @sauer929 @unmc on the potential impact of #H5N1. Register Here: events.brown.edu/event/h5n1
It is really hard to see how it is not a scandal that @USDA has not shared what its own FAQs on the situation indicate are *extensive* viral sequence data on H5N1 in cattle in 8 states. aphis.usda.gov/sites/default/… statnews.com/2024/04/18/h5n…
All of this 👇🏻
Dr Ellie Murray, ScD @EpiEllie
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The most concerning element of this discovery is that it points towards widespread, undetected circulation in cattle - in keeping with the latest analysis from @MichaelWorobey, @angie_rasmussen & co. Our @TelGlobalHealth coverage is free to read: telegraph.co.uk/global-health/…
Really nice article by @sneweyy on a fast-moving topic.
The most concerning element of this discovery is that it points towards widespread, undetected circulation in cattle - in keeping with the latest analysis from @MichaelWorobey, @angie_rasmussen & co. Our @TelGlobalHealth coverage is free to read: telegraph.co.uk/global-health/…
@SaskiaPopescu @angie_rasmussen Dr. @angie_rasmussen was awesome during the pandemic. Always providing valuable information without fearmongering or minimizing Covid.
A really important thread on the #H5N1 #birdflu outbreak in cows. Well worth a read.
Very important to note here that qPCR positives are not the same as "virus particles." It's much easier to detect viral RNA by qPCR than it is to detect infectious virus or intact virus particles (as the article correctly notes). This finding does have some big implications:
Still amazing, 4 years later.
1. So much today on the #H5N1 #birdflu story! Just coming up for air. @US_FDA has found genetic evidence of the virus in commercial milk, but so far it sounds like killed virus. More info on where they found it/how prevalent it was would be useful. statnews.com/2024/04/23/h5n…
Very important to note here that qPCR positives are not the same as "virus particles." It's much easier to detect viral RNA by qPCR than it is to detect infectious virus or intact virus particles (as the article correctly notes). This finding does have some big implications:
#Breaking Testing conducted by the FDA on pasteurized commercially purchased milk has found genetic evidence of the H5N1 bird flu virus, the agency confirmed Tuesday. trib.al/5sU2zvO
Tapping the big sign.
National and international responses to the current #H5N1 influenza situation *now* will test the reality and operability of a One Health approach. It’s not just a waste of surveillance, but is also unethical, if govts & institutions fail to appropriately act on that information.
@xrayfoo @flodebarre @LouiseHMoncla @swientist @meera_chand @MOUGK @EvolveDotZoo @stgoldst @stuartjdneil @PeacockFlu @angie_rasmussen @suchard_group @LemeyLab @jepekar @josh__levy @LrnM9 More details to follow, but sincere thanks to scientists @USDA and contributors to @GISAID for making this possible.
Team effort: @xrayfoo @flodebarre Kristian Andersen @LouiseHMoncla @swientist @meera_chand @MOUGK @EvolveDotZoo @stgoldst @stuartjdneil @PeacockFlu Andrew Rambaut @angie_rasmussen David Robertson @suchard_group @LemeyLab @jepekar @josh__levy Joel Wertheim @LrnM9
So, *preliminary* molecular clock analyses indicate that the time of the most recent common ancestor (TMRCA) of the US cattle flu clade was late December. TMRCA of that clade and the closest relatives in birds, mid-December. If single intro, likely between those rough dates.
Still, the caveat here is that there are still some uncertainties about the (meta)data here.
There is just no good reason to think there's an epizootic of mammalian adapted H5N1 in birds.
My understanding is that these bird (and cat) viruses within the "bovine" clade were sampled from farms that had bovine H5N1. So, are the birds on these farms giving this virus to the cattle, or are the cattle giving it to the birds? It is cattle to birds very likely.
@JeremyFarrar For sure. I believe some of this is going on already by @USDA, @USDA_APHIS, @CDCgov but it would be good to know more.
Incredible to have been with @DrTedros @BoehmeCatharina and an incredible @WHO team in Washington DC 🇺🇸 last week. For more see @DrTedros feed. #ProudToBeWHO
OK, I think we're close to decisive evidence that US bovine H5N1 had a single origin from birds, and that when related viruses from birds *have* been found, they are jumps from cattle back into birds. Grackles, blackbirds, chickens all show mammalian adaptation like PB2 M631L.
1/ Evidence from the recently posted #H5N1 genomes that there was a single introduction and subsequent cow-to-cow transmission.
Here's a visual of the US H5N1 "Cattle clade", HA plus two internal genes. Strongly suggests to me there was single origin, at least for these sequences. Possibly in late 2023/early 2024.