Erol Akcay @akcayerol
Ecology, evolution, and social dynamics, at the University of Pennsylvania. he/him @[email protected] erolakcay.wordpress.com Philadelphia, PA Joined May 2010-
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Do you develop and apply MACHINE LEARNING to address biological questions? Only 10 more days to apply for the Assistant Professor position here at Penn Biology! We are a supportive, dynamic community full of curious and kind people. apply.interfolio.com/133260
9 days until the application deadline (Nov 6th)!
9 days until the application deadline (Nov 6th)!
We are hiring in Ecology at UPenn Biology! The search is open to any area of Ecology. We are an integrative, collegial department, supportive of junior colleagues, and are located in the great city of Philadelphia. Apply at: apply.interfolio.com/133155
Help us diversify Science Bluesky and share your codes with folks from underrepresented and marginalized backgrounds. DM or tag me to sign up for a code and see the form in tweet below for donating a code. @DiversifyEEB @DiversifyGrads
Help us diversify Science Bluesky and share your codes with folks from underrepresented and marginalized backgrounds. DM or tag me to sign up for a code and see the form in tweet below for donating a code. @DiversifyEEB @DiversifyGrads
Popping back in to say: we’re all leaving this place, it’s nice on the other place. Get your code below!
Popping back in to say: we’re all leaving this place, it’s nice on the other place. Get your code below!
Ok time to practice what I preach and leave this website for good. This account will no longer be active. I am on mastodon and bluesky (not on threads or whatever). See you on the other side. x.com/swear_trek/sta…
Ok time to practice what I preach and leave this website for good. This account will no longer be active. I am on mastodon and bluesky (not on threads or whatever). See you on the other side. x.com/swear_trek/sta…
Thanks to @DavidQuammen for writing a long read in the @nytimes magazine that, unlike prior efforts by its opinion columnists, actually focuses on the evidence rather than the “but what if” scenarios on which so many lab origin stories are based. nytimes.com/2023/07/25/mag…
This is the best article that I have ever read on the origins of SARS-CoV-2 It is detailed, sober, & non-alarmist, following the facts & the peer-reviewed literature The author, @DavidQuammen, interviews scientists on all sides of the debate Superb nytimes.com/2023/07/25/mag…
There’s an asymmetry here where elaborate scenarios that maintain the theoretical possibility of a leak are treated as evidence FOR a lab leak, while the absence of absolutely irrefutable proof of a wet market crossover is treated as evidence AGAINST a zoonotic origin
it is deeply morbidly hilarious to me that there are a zillion "look the novel β-CoV emerged in same city as a big CoV lab" takes & yet nobody points out the novel β-CoV emerged in the city where the "banned" wildlife trade was quietly allowed, then turned into a hub for it.
What really matters is the scientific evidence, which since March 2020 has only led to further show that zoonotic spread is more likely than lab leak. Trashing the authors of an opinion piece from 2020 does not affect the scientific evidence at all.
I’m astounded at how out of control lab leak theorists have got. Literally no scientific evidence has emerged to support lab leak, so they’re reading a massive conspiracy into scientist slack messages, as if they had the power to cover up evidence if it existed (which it doesn’t)
Alternatively you retract this, @Bryce_Nickels given its a misleading clip served. Here is how Garry continues his response. Would a reasonable person think he is trying to mislead McNeil?
Alternatively you retract this, @Bryce_Nickels given its a misleading clip served. Here is how Garry continues his response. Would a reasonable person think he is trying to mislead McNeil? https://t.co/8CT2eSg6XA
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@akcayerol @zeynep @Biorealism @HL3133 @danengber @nytimes Yep. It's unfortunate (but revealing) that @zeynep chose to falsely assume you were ignorant of the matter. Thanks for making the effort to reply. I was able to access the article, which is mostly explaining clustering and dispersion, and doesn't address your point.
@R_H_Ebright @ryangrim @DeanBaker13 FYI @ryangrim and h/t @jbloom_lab
@akcayerol @zeynep @gtuckerkellogg @Biorealism @HL3133 @danengber @nytimes There was a great paper on that early on co-authored by @svscarpino doi.org/10.1371/journa… More likely to go extinct, but once it takes off, is more explosive
@akcayerol @harishseshadri2 @zeynep @gtuckerkellogg @Biorealism @HL3133 @danengber @nytimes I only tweeted because you asked! I’m working on getting it legible and on GitHub. Trying to make it a positive thing.
i am reminded of @akcayerol's comment of "this is mafia behaviour, except tragicomically inept".
WSJ: X, formerly Twitter, presses major companies to advertise on its site, telling them to spend money on X or lose ability to control their brand identity on the new X
I can’t speak for anyone but myself, but the reason I said “who the F is this?” about Metzl is that in 2021 he slid into my DMs begging me repeatedly to promote his monthly open letters about a lab origin. (His epistolary inclinations are why I call him Clippy).
Thanks to @DavidQuammen for writing a long read in the @nytimes magazine that, unlike prior efforts by its opinion columnists, actually focuses on the evidence rather than the “but what if” scenarios on which so many lab origin stories are based. nytimes.com/2023/07/25/mag…
This is the best article that I have ever read on the origins of SARS-CoV-2 It is detailed, sober, & non-alarmist, following the facts & the peer-reviewed literature The author, @DavidQuammen, interviews scientists on all sides of the debate Superb nytimes.com/2023/07/25/mag…
Lab leakers are like “if you carefully read between the lines of this Chinese report it seems Wuhan lab employees may have handled live bats with only THIN rubber gloves” Meanwhile ten miles away there’s a market where thousands of live animals are directly handled every day
There’s an asymmetry here where elaborate scenarios that maintain the theoretical possibility of a leak are treated as evidence FOR a lab leak, while the absence of absolutely irrefutable proof of a wet market crossover is treated as evidence AGAINST a zoonotic origin
it is deeply morbidly hilarious to me that there are a zillion "look the novel β-CoV emerged in same city as a big CoV lab" takes & yet nobody points out the novel β-CoV emerged in the city where the "banned" wildlife trade was quietly allowed, then turned into a hub for it.
A reminder of this entire cycle on 'Proximal Origins' comes on the heel of *NO* material scientific evidence on COVID origins. But rather an ODNI report undermining a number of conjectures on possible human intelligence circumstantial evidence.
@AlfredoPaloyo Further research reveals a bit more going on with these messages x.com/emmecola/statu…
It took me some time to read all the Slack conversations between the #ProximalOrigin authors (not just the cheery-picked quotes), but it was a useful exercise. It showed in real time how their thinking evolved with new evidence, as the authors themselves have been saying. 1/
I know there's probably no way for this to not sound like a joke or sarcasm, but if you follow me PLEASE resist the temptation to continue dunking on the "disinformation expert" who is accusing me and others of being part of a conspiracy to make Nate Silver look dumb about COVID.
It's pretty clear there's nothing positive that will ever come from this situation. I think I've said all I can say about how ludicrous the entire thing is. I don't want to be along for the ride to wherever dark place this is all going. I'm disengaging and I hope others do too ✌️
Most epistemic trespassers are more like the burglars in Home Alone than the masterminds people imagine
@akcayerol @zeynep @danengber Thank you for saving me time, I was reading all the Slack messages looking for the point when they changed their mind
Shocking. Scientists discussed zoonotic spread versus lab leak (being open to all possibilities) and went with zoonotic spread as being more likely when the evidence led in this direction. Those who support lab leak need to go by evidence, not cherry picked emails.
And yes, btw that version and the next they did downplay lab origin, because they got new data. You can literally see it happening here (Feb 25th). x.com/akcayerol/stat…
What really matters is the scientific evidence, which since March 2020 has only led to further show that zoonotic spread is more likely than lab leak. Trashing the authors of an opinion piece from 2020 does not affect the scientific evidence at all.