Brad Gerstner @altcap
Founder - Altimeter Capital. Luck befalls the curious mind. Counting life in days and acts of kindness. Views here personal. Passing Through Joined January 2009-
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Dont think we disagree! I have shouted many times - IPO markets are wide open - there is no one size fits all - you just need the right intersection of growth, unit economics and price that make it compelling! $100 M totally fine so long as the rest lines up. 🚀🚀 But…
Dont think we disagree! I have shouted many times - IPO markets are wide open - there is no one size fits all - you just need the right intersection of growth, unit economics and price that make it compelling! $100 M totally fine so long as the rest lines up. 🚀🚀 But…
Lots of $$ flowed into the semis trade last 6 months - both public and VC. Some flowing out now due to concerns over pull forward & slow PC refresh. Found this chart interesting looking at SOXX vs. the market. Turns out making the things that power the things is a darn good biz.…
Pod! 🚀👊 Spotify: spoti.fi/3xOQysK Apple: apple.co/446I4cT YouTube: bit.ly/4b4cpLr
Pod! 🚀👊 Spotify: spoti.fi/3xOQysK Apple: apple.co/446I4cT YouTube: bit.ly/4b4cpLr
“If you’re one of the few who are tempted to think we’re going to overlook conduct that violates our policies, think again.” May the spark turn into a 🔥. $GOOG finding its voice, getting fit, & re-claiming its soul will be a good thing. 🙏🏼🚀@sundarpichai
Right to call out - hope @ajassy will fight efforts at regulatory capture by Anthropic or others. We need an open & robust model ecosystem - not companies running to Washington for protection. Good news is that @JayObernolte leading House Task Force on AI won’t be fooled. 🇺🇸
Right to call out - hope @ajassy will fight efforts at regulatory capture by Anthropic or others. We need an open & robust model ecosystem - not companies running to Washington for protection. Good news is that @JayObernolte leading House Task Force on AI won’t be fooled. 🇺🇸
This is a MUST watch. Gov’t over-reach not only slows innovation but in this case killed American jobs & handed over US consumer data to Chinese competitors. FTC acting “outside the bounds of the law” - and the results are not in our natl interests. iRobot insanity. @ajassy
The VC backlog is clearing. IPO pipeline is filling (both upround and downround IPOs) and M&A is on 🔥 - both strategic deals at great valuations and distressed deals where VCs getting 50% to 100% of $$ back. The 2 year lag to the public market correction is here. 🙏🏼👊
As discussed on @BG2Pod - $AAPL playing a diff game. Incredibly powerful results on a small 3 B parameter model that can run on the edge focused on leveraging their unique advantages to understand language, take action & I am guessing build memory. arxiv.org/pdf/2403.20329…
As discussed on @BG2Pod - $AAPL playing a diff game. Incredibly powerful results on a small 3 B parameter model that can run on the edge focused on leveraging their unique advantages to understand language, take action & I am guessing build memory. arxiv.org/pdf/2403.20329…
Another CT Scan Testimonial - “Wanted to thank you very much for how vocal you’ve been about getting a Calcium CT Scan. For context, I am a 38 year old former college athlete that still works out at a high intensity 6/7 times per week, low body fat, doesn’t smoke, eats very…
Is it really annually recurring?! Could be 85x non-recurring ERR. Gravity = highly profitable software companies DURABLY growing 20-30% in the public markets will trade at 25-45x FCF. The closer VC rounds get to the IPO the more this reality will anchor valuation. 👊
Is it really annually recurring?! Could be 85x non-recurring ERR. Gravity = highly profitable software companies DURABLY growing 20-30% in the public markets will trade at 25-45x FCF. The closer VC rounds get to the IPO the more this reality will anchor valuation. 👊
To be clear - as a Founder you should maximize ERR - but Founders & Investors should not place monopoly-like confidence early AI revs will recur. That means ERR may deserve 3-5x multiple vs ARR at 10-15x. Lower confidence revs recurring = lower multiple. 👊
To be clear - as a Founder you should maximize ERR - but Founders & Investors should not place monopoly-like confidence early AI revs will recur. That means ERR may deserve 3-5x multiple vs ARR at 10-15x. Lower confidence revs recurring = lower multiple. 👊
Bill Gurley @bgurley
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11K Followers 36 Following Open Source bi-weekly convo w @altcap & @bgurley on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalismThrilled to see the launch of Meta Llama3! Open-source models are a game changer for private & secure #AI. Super impressive to see the rate and pace of improvement. 🤝🚀 llama.meta.com/llama3/
A sample of conversations to come on @InvestLikeBest - Marc Lasry - @bgurley and @mjmauboussin together - @ncsh - @dittycheria - 2 hours of Mitch Rales (on @artofinvest)
@altcap Always a question of “when does execution meet ..timing”. The public markets have their own cycles that at times require significant P&L’s with strong margins.. and on occasion just a concept generating a little revenue.
Great to see Llama3 go out! We are very excited to be an integral launch partner of @Meta and bring Llama3 to @SnowflakeDB customers via Cortex
🎉 Meta introduced Meta Llama 3, the next generation of their state-of-the-art open-source large language model. We are thrilled to continue our partnership with @Meta and offer support for the impressive Llama 3 in Snowflake Cortex, coming soon! ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llam…
Very proud of our healthcare team. After over a year in stealth, Metsera has emerged with a $290M Series A financing. As a clinical stage cardiometabolic leader, Metsera is set to revolutionize treatments for obesity and metabolic diseases. medium.com/mubadalaventur…
Netflix just said that going forward they will focus disclosures on factors like free cash flow. Why would Netflix do that? In part since streaming competitors will have a hard time matching FCF given their 🤢 unit economics. NFLX wants a FCF beauty contest. Sub growth = ixnay.
1/ Netflix announcing it will stop reporting subscriber numbers each quarter is similar to when it stopped reporting customer churn years ago. In both cases, an important variable in understanding the unit economics of Netflix must be estimated by doing detective work.
My favorite king, @PalmerLuckey
Everyone needs someone who looks at them the way @traestephens looks at @PalmerLuckey :-)
@bgurley @altcap Great stuff, as usual. On the reduction in # of public companies, it's important to consider the regulatory backdrop and incentives. Covered briefly in the intro here: x.com/credistick/sta…
Jensen - Good job Zuck & META team! More and more NVDA GPUs will be needed.
Damn! Congrats @AIatMeta! Ahmad, Thomas, Yann, Soumith!
The main thing is to keep the main thing the main thing
Could Zuck have saved Google+ if he was its CEO?
@AravSrinivas zuck is a true hero of our time during challenging, turbulent times, heroes emerge we are seeing some amazing heroes right now
Very well made argument. Risks of open source are way lower than risks of any one powerful actor owning the most capable model
1/ Congrats to @bryan_leach and Team @Ibotta on today’s IPO! 🎉 It was a privilege to stand alongside you as you began trading on the @NYSE as IBTA.