AndrewDaDawg @andrewlollmao

Exit poll doesn't look too well for Matt Dolan in the #OhioPrimary. He'll have to keep up his lead in urban centers and the suburbs to prevail against the Trump-designated Moreno. #Election2024

Suozzi’s win at #NY3 is huge. It looks like he is on track to maintaining Biden’s margins in 2020, and it suggests that #Democrats has now began to win the voters who left Biden since 2020: the voters who voted on the economy and the border. That’s something. #ElectionResults

PROJECTION: Tom Suozzi (D) has flipped #NY3 from #Republicans. This is the first special election since 2022 in which Democrats flipped a Republican district blue. The 5,763 vote margin in Queens can only be surpassed by a Republican 54%-46% margin in Nassau, which is impossible.

Suozzi (63%) is outperforming Biden’s 2020 margin (59%) in Queens County. This is with 82% of the votes in from Queens. #NY3 #ElectionResults

I’d rather be Suozzi (D) than Pilip (R) right now. If Suozzi maintains his lead in Nassau County, he’s winning this. #NY3

Today’s #NY3 election will be critical. If #Democrats win, it might (albeit unlikely) be indicative of an underestimated Democratic support this year. If #Republicans win, then they’re continuing making in roads in traditionally Democratic neighborhoods.

It is nothing surprising that #Trump won. The only the surprising was how much closer the margin was than the polls indicated. The fact that independents voted for #Haley by so much is more alarming for Trump than any victory that he got tonight. #Election2024

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te won Taiwan’s presidential election. The margin is nearing a million vote. #Taiwan #Taiwanelections2024

Louisiana has the ability to create a second minority-majority district. There is no excuse. #redistricting #Louisiana npr.org/2023/11/10/120…

#Beshear won Kentucky. #Presley maintained the margin in Mississippi. #Democrats flipped Virginia House and held its Senate, won a Supreme Court judge seat in Pennsylvania, and maintained Biden's margins elsewhere. But Biden is still unfavorable. #Elections2023 #Elections2024

There are still a lot of votes in the Mississippi delta, which is why I disagree with @Redistrict. But if anything, could go to a runoff in #Mississippi. #Elections2023

Benton County, with 95% of the votes, voted 56.6% for Reeves, 2.4% lower than Reeve's margin in 2019. #Mississippi #Elections2023

With 85% of the votes in from Humphreys County in the #Mississippi Delta, Presley leads with 74.9%, just below the turnout and margin for the minimum threshold for him to win the #election. #elections2023

Large batch of votes came in from Southaven has Presley reaching 40% with 76% of the votes in from the county. Not even Jim Hood from 2019 did this. Huge for #Mississippi. #ElectionDay2023

#Ohio approved Issue 1 and Issue 2, respectively about abortion rights and marijuana legalization. The lead is substantial despite only 15% of the votes being counted. #Elections2023

I agree. Beshear won. #Election2023

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

5 months ago

I agree. Beshear won. #Election2023

1K 7K 38K 7.3M 271

#Beshear is outperforming his margins in 2019. He's on track to win, but 44% simply isn't enough for a projection. Only 25% of Louisville and Frankfort votes are in. Looks good for Beshear in Kentucky. #Election2023

If #Republicans are serious about winning the #Senate in 2024, they have to vote for Peter Meijer in the primary. Republicans lost MI-3 in 2022 because they could not vote for a moderate. 2022 should be a wake up call for Republicans. #Election2024

Prediction on #Election2023 KY Gov: Andy Beshear (D) +2 MS Gov: Tate Reeves (R) +4 VA Senate: Lean D VA House: Tilt D (Flip) PA SC Judge: Daniel McCaffery (D) +5 OH Abortion: Yes +10 OH Marijuana: Yes +15

Special #elections have not looked good for the GOP in 2023. Let’s be honest, #Kentucky leans for Beshear (D), #Mississippi leans slightly for Reeves (R), and Dems are on track to win both chambers in #Virginia and #Ohio abortion ballot. #elections2023