Anthony Masiello @antmasiello
Climate, weather, sub-seasonal to seasonal processes/forecasting. Music, song writing, dad. Burlington, NJ Joined April 2012-
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The swells from Franklin are here in Cape May. 3 hours ahead of high tide the waves are already reaching up to the dunes
Remember the lessons with Hurricane Ian last year and communicating threats to the Florida Gulf Coast. 👋
For the second evening in a row, the Topeka, #KSwx upper air observation appears to have set a new all-time maximum 500mb height value of 6030 meters. Some prior high values appear to have been truncated at 6000m and the raw data depicts a number of bad obs from August 2017.
There have been several recent spikes in smoke measured by MODIS on the Terra satellite in recent years, but this year is by far the worst. Daily data since February 2000 shown here. Fires and their smoke output are getting worse.
There have been several recent spikes in smoke measured by MODIS on the Terra satellite in recent years, but this year is by far the worst. Daily data since February 2000 shown here. Fires and their smoke output are getting worse. https://t.co/odqeI5s9N7
The spatial SST anomalies so far for this July and August resemble 1939 really well (ERSSTv5 detrended)! 😮 I've also included 1976 and 1997 in the loop too but left out others (e.g. 1963) that didn't quite match. You'll notice a theme to these. #HurricaneHilary
This is Kelowna, British Columbia overnight. Yet another instance when residents had to jump into a nearby body of water to escape the flames. (Satellite imagery from Thursday, August 17) go.nasa.gov/3OEGp6Q
This is Kelowna, British Columbia overnight. Yet another instance when residents had to jump into a nearby body of water to escape the flames. (Satellite imagery from Thursday, August 17) go.nasa.gov/3OEGp6Q https://t.co/NEaTj0Q56j
A day three high risk for excessive rain has been issued in SoCal. This is exceptionally rare; only hurricanes Ian, Sally, Barry, Florence and Harvey have warranted day three highs. This is likely the first ever issued west of the Rockies.
A day three high risk for excessive rain has been issued in SoCal. This is exceptionally rare; only hurricanes Ian, Sally, Barry, Florence and Harvey have warranted day three highs. This is likely the first ever issued west of the Rockies. https://t.co/Ch9DrDtDA4
Note the WPC forecast calls for Hilary to produce quite a bit more rain across most of the American Southwest than the 1939 hurricane did.
So many high impact events this summer! Yellowknife to be evacuated by noon Friday for this record setting fire season. bbc.com/news/world-us-…
Every year since '82 (niño 1+2 ) plotted, starting in Feb (through Oct). This week is when '97 hit its peak at +4.0 for niño 1+2 (however it hit 3.9 twice in the first half of December too). It's the only year warmer in this region than 2023 at this point since '83 cooled off.
0-1km shear vector is so so, but...
Eric Webb @webberweather
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Going to give Bluesky a trial run this winter. My handle is the same (@wxmvpete).
@Weather_West We've been using it in real-time for a couple of years. For now, here's a csv file that I will endeavor to keep updated: s2s.worldclimateservice.com/wcs/eli_monthl… I've included standardized values, although the distribution is significantly skewed.
Thinking of leaving but bummed about losing all the cool videos and images you posted? No problem - you can download an archive of your full history, including all posted media.
75-year Fall (Sep-Nov) temperature trend. 🍂
75-year Fall (Sep-Nov) precipitation trend. It's been getting wetter in most places.🍂
The swells from Franklin are here in Cape May. 3 hours ahead of high tide the waves are already reaching up to the dunes
@antmasiello Another “I” storm. What could possibly go wrong?
It just doesn’t stop around here 🙄🤷🏼♂️
Waterspout right now off Ocean Grove, NJ 🌪️. Thanks: Garth Greer @NBCPhiladelphia
@antmasiello @AndyHazelton @shawnmilrad It sounds like a neat, and by neat I mean exhausting, modeling experiment trying to figure if it’s mostly absorbing or reflecting aerosols, and if absorbing what is the local above surface warming vs surface cooling
@AndyHazelton @antmasiello @shawnmilrad Yeah because it looks like Franklin is currently depositing copious amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere and we want no part of that system.
@antmasiello @ryans_wx @shawnmilrad I do think we can be thankful that upper westerlies were around to halt Franklin. That would have been nasty under this ridge.
@antmasiello @shawnmilrad At least a strengthening El Niño makes a major US landfall less likely? We’ll call that a win for now?
@shawnmilrad @antmasiello it is fun and exciting to think about how this is just the beginning of the end.
@antmasiello @shawnmilrad It was 10 yesterday lol. Absolute madness
For the second evening in a row, the Topeka, #KSwx upper air observation appears to have set a new all-time maximum 500mb height value of 6030 meters. Some prior high values appear to have been truncated at 6000m and the raw data depicts a number of bad obs from August 2017.
There have been several recent spikes in smoke measured by MODIS on the Terra satellite in recent years, but this year is by far the worst. Daily data since February 2000 shown here. Fires and their smoke output are getting worse.
Following a devastating week of destructive fires in #BritishColumbia, here is the updated Canadian season-to-date accumulated Fire-Radiative Power (FRP). It really looks like tripling the previous high mark is possible. That is nuts. #Pyrocene
Cousin's family fleeing W Kelowna at midnight, with their 4 month old. While they were not (yet) in an evac zone, thick wildfire smoke and infant lungs do not mix well. Even if not in immediate danger of your house burning, consider leaving if you have young kids!
@antmasiello The relevance of 1939 is that the Long Beach tropical storm hit that year. Other TCs threatened California as well: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1939_Paci…
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