Zeke Hausfather @hausfath
"A tireless chronicler and commentator on all things climate" -NYTimes. Climate lead @stripe, writer @CarbonBrief, scientist @BerkeleyEarth, IPCC/NCA5 author. theclimatebrink.com San Francisco Joined July 2008-
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with all of the discussion of cloud seeding going on, I've written something on The Climate Brink about what it is and why it's probably not responsible for the Dubai floods. theclimatebrink.com/p/a-primer-on-…
How much of global warming is human-caused? MORE THAN 100% That’s right: according to natural factors, including the sun and natural cycles, the Earth should be slowly, gradually cooling right now. Instead, it’s warming. m.youtube.com/watch?v=k5_zpj…
Carbon takeback policy proposal 🧵: The idea: require fossil fuel companies to permanently sequester a ton of carbon for every ton-equivalent of carbon that they pull out of the ground. Dig one up; sequester one. Simple.
The 12-month moving average of global mean temperatures has now moved slightly above 1.6 °C (2.9 °F).
"I hope we’re going to return to a predictable regime, but if we keep setting records, then we have to revisit some of our assumptions." @washingtonpost has a good article featuring @ClimateOfGavin, me, Clair Barnes, and Kiswendsida Guigma: washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
March 2024 Temperature Update Nominally the warmest March since direct measurements began, though by a tiny margin (essentially ties March 2016). El Niño declines, expected to end in coming months. Very likely 2024 becomes the 1st or 2nd warmest year. berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-tem…
This 1 minute video of me debunking the “cloud seeding caused the Dubai floods” has been watched by humans cumulatively for 56 days so far. It’s still a tiny fraction of the time people spent watching the original misinformation.
Big changes in extreme precipitation are happening. Here is the observed change in the severity of heavy precipitation events, due mostly to climate change. nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2/
Big changes in extreme precipitation are happening. Here is the observed change in the severity of heavy precipitation events, due mostly to climate change. nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2/ https://t.co/iejwTkal86
I'm excited to share a new paper in @ScienceAdvances led by UW's @VTCoop showing that the last ice age provides much stronger constraints on Earth's climate sensitivity and future warming when ice-sheet driven temperature patterns are accounted for. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
For every degree C that Earth’s atmospheric temperature rises, the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere can increase by about 7%. A warmer world is a one with heavier precipitation events, even in places where average rainfall may remain unchanged. carbonbrief.org/explainer-what…
Ahh yes, the terrible events of 1933 when Franklin Roosevelt enacted social security among a raft of other new deal programs during the great depression. 🙄 It’s looks like hyperbole in editorial cartoons sure hasn’t changed.
Ahh yes, the terrible events of 1933 when Franklin Roosevelt enacted social security among a raft of other new deal programs during the great depression. 🙄 It’s looks like hyperbole in editorial cartoons sure hasn’t changed.
Huge permitting reform news: The Bureau of Land Management is giving geothermal energy exploration a categorical exclusion from environmental review under NEPA. If you care about clean energy abundance, this is a massive win.
3 things everyone wants to be good for the climate, but aren't, in order of their badness for the climate: 1. grass-fed beef 2. organics 3. local food They ALL have other advantages! They're not bad things, they're just bad in the GHG equation. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
More jobs in clean energy... iea.org/reports/world-…
US per capita CO2 emissions now at 1913 levels. In 1913 only 1% of Americans had indoor plumbing and electricity 😮
The fact that Texas has more than 3x the solar capacity coming online this year than California should make us reassess what we consider effective policy here. Yes, targets and subsidies are important, but so are interconnections and regulatory reform.
The fact that Texas has more than 3x the solar capacity coming online this year than California should make us reassess what we consider effective policy here. Yes, targets and subsidies are important, but so are interconnections and regulatory reform.
Hannah Ritchie @_HannahRitchie
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658 Followers 97 Following @BerkeleyLab Senior Scientist, specializing in extreme weather in the changing climate. #ClimateScience , IPCC WG1 AR5,6 Lead Author; US NCA2,3,4,5 Authorwith all of the discussion of cloud seeding going on, I've written something on The Climate Brink about what it is and why it's probably not responsible for the Dubai floods. theclimatebrink.com/p/a-primer-on-…
Thank you all @IPCC_CH experts for your constructive contributions to co-create an outline for our Cities& #ClimateChange special report together with app 140 of u from 65 countries &diverse backgrounds It was challenging to lead the process to agreement, but even more rewarding
How much of global warming is human-caused? MORE THAN 100% That’s right: according to natural factors, including the sun and natural cycles, the Earth should be slowly, gradually cooling right now. Instead, it’s warming. m.youtube.com/watch?v=k5_zpj…
@hausfath It really will probably be more than this as the cmip model fail to treat changes in extreme convective precipitation and don’t agree in mid latitude summer with obs or km scale models.
Carbon takeback policy proposal 🧵: The idea: require fossil fuel companies to permanently sequester a ton of carbon for every ton-equivalent of carbon that they pull out of the ground. Dig one up; sequester one. Simple.
New piece w/ @atrembath for @TheBTI “the gas bridge has to end at some point… But the evidence for years has consistently indicated that fugitive methane does not cancel out the emissions benefits of switching from coal to natural gas.” thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/…
The 12-month moving average of global mean temperatures has now moved slightly above 1.6 °C (2.9 °F).
March 2024 Temperature Update Nominally the warmest March since direct measurements began, though by a tiny margin (essentially ties March 2016). El Niño declines, expected to end in coming months. Very likely 2024 becomes the 1st or 2nd warmest year. berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-tem…
@hausfath We show in the paper (see SI) that LGM evidence alone allows high ECS (e.g., best estimates above 4K) when pattern effects aren't accounted for. Hansen makes different choices for forcing and temperature changes, but neglecting pattern effects is the main reason for his high ECS.
This 1 minute video of me debunking the “cloud seeding caused the Dubai floods” has been watched by humans cumulatively for 56 days so far. It’s still a tiny fraction of the time people spent watching the original misinformation.
Oh that’s nice. This video has helped me get to over a million views on my climate content videos on TikTok. You can follow me there by going to my profile tiktok.com/@dougmcneall?_…
This 1 minute video of me debunking the “cloud seeding caused the Dubai floods” has been watched by humans cumulatively for 56 days so far. It’s still a tiny fraction of the time people spent watching the original misinformation.
Stellar work by @VTCoop and co! 🔥🔥🔥 If you want to hear Vince give a talk on this work then check out our ECS symposium from a few months back: youtu.be/lo3fD318TDc?si…
Theres an important new study from many of the leading researchers on paleoclimate and climate sensitivity. They provide a new, more robust estimate of climate sensitivity from the last glacial maximum, suggesting a sensitivity of 2.9C (95%: 2.1 to 4.1C) science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
Worst case scenarios are less likely. ❤️ Still a lot of warming and well on our way to 560 ppm (double pre-industrial).😑 50-60 years at current emissions. 😬
Theres an important new study from many of the leading researchers on paleoclimate and climate sensitivity. They provide a new, more robust estimate of climate sensitivity from the last glacial maximum, suggesting a sensitivity of 2.9C (95%: 2.1 to 4.1C) science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
Just a reminder that current global government’s actions will follow my highlighted area here. Pledges are closer (ish) to the red line but actions are no where near even pledges.
The ship has largely sailed on limiting warming to 1.5C at this point, barring us getting very lucky with low climate sensitivity or actively geoengineering the climate. But there still are viable paths to limit warming to below 2C this century, as shown in the figure below:
@_david_ho_ Is it my imagination or is the deep damage orange band the result of an emissions track that is now considered profoundly implausible? As per @Peters_Glen @hausfath here pnas.org/doi/full/10.10… #rcp85
Big changes in extreme precipitation are happening. Here is the observed change in the severity of heavy precipitation events, due mostly to climate change. nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2/
For every degree C that Earth’s atmospheric temperature rises, the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere can increase by about 7%. A warmer world is a one with heavier precipitation events, even in places where average rainfall may remain unchanged. carbonbrief.org/explainer-what…
I'm excited to share a new paper in @ScienceAdvances led by UW's @VTCoop showing that the last ice age provides much stronger constraints on Earth's climate sensitivity and future warming when ice-sheet driven temperature patterns are accounted for. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
@hausfath For those of us working on adaptation, it would be helpful to quantify the range of uncertainty for extreme events at local scales, specifically 100yr RI events (both precip and flooding). We need better specs for stormwater and river hydrology & hydraulic designs. Cites welcome.
@MTrider16 @hausfath More rain in one dump kinda sucks if you don't have the drainage, storage, and irrigation infrastructure to handle it. Adding 7% is a lot when 1" rainfall per acre is 25,000gal, that's nearly an extra 2,000gal to deal with.