John Homenuk @jhomenuk
Consulting meteorologist, storm chaser, photographer. Drinker of large amounts of coffee. Owner: @empirewx, Words: @nymetrowx youtu.be/ovniRKTdYyA NYC/MSP Joined March 2009-
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You’re gonna want to be there for this one!
Confidence continues to increase in a period of heightened severe weather activity from late April into May. The period from 4/25 - 4/28 in particular has growing, multi-model ensemble agreement on a notable wave packet & signals for a broad warm sector. Intricacies still TBD.
Confidence continues to increase that the period from late April into mid-May will feature a very favorable pattern for severe weather across the Central US. Subseasonal forecasting processes have hinted at this for a while now, and we're getting close to show time.
The voice of my childhood! So many great memories spent listening to his commentary and so many amazing Yankee moments that he managed to capture perfectly. What a career!
The voice of my childhood! So many great memories spent listening to his commentary and so many amazing Yankee moments that he managed to capture perfectly. What a career!
This has to be up there with some of the most impressive low level mass responses I've seen in a while. Explosive cyclogenesis. Synoptics Monday are absolutely screaming severe weather over much of the Southern-Central Plains.
Ensemble, deterministic and machine learning guidance has begun to strongly hint at the potential for a significant severe weather event on Monday 4/15. A strong mid/upper level trough ejects into the Plains with several days of moisture return prior. Worth watching very closely.
Early indications are that a significant severe weather day could be on tap this coming Monday, April 15th across the Plains states. Still many details and intricacies to work out, which we will do in the coming days. More later!
I’ve simply never seen anything like it. Feeling lucky to be here.
Intercepted this sad attempt at a supercell yesterday in Kansas. A fun chase regardless, and just a warmup for what’s to come this season. Now it’s eclipse time!!
Me: This should be an easy Friday Earth:
Me: This should be an easy Friday Earth:
So far, we are on track with this forecast from a few weeks ago. The first phase of this evolution comes next week, with severe wx expected 4/1 - 4/2. The next sequence will offer the potential for a notable severe weather event in the Central US 4/6 - 4/10. Video coming soon!!
So far, we are on track with this forecast from a few weeks ago. The first phase of this evolution comes next week, with severe wx expected 4/1 - 4/2. The next sequence will offer the potential for a notable severe weather event in the Central US 4/6 - 4/10. Video coming soon!!
Major model discrepancies continue this evening in regards to the potential severe weather event on 4/1. The GFS remains the most aggressive as a result of a more effective phase, while the Euro and other guidance is far less impressive. Here's a visual explaining why ⤵️
The potential severe weather event on Monday (4/1) will be heavily impacted by the degree of phasing between two disturbances along the US West Coast. Watch the intensification of the jet that occurs as result of the phase on the GFS. This dramatically enhances the setup.
Tomer Burg @burgwx
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W
Confidence continues to increase that the period from late April into mid-May will feature a very favorable pattern for severe weather across the Central US. Subseasonal forecasting processes have hinted at this for a while now, and we're getting close to show time.
That was … not a great ending. Some poor decision making. I actually think the Rangers played a really disjointed game, looked a little off. Granted the officiating was a disgrace, but that was a cardiac event at the end. Tighten it up
John Homenuk Seal of Approval ™️
You’re gonna want to be there for this one!
Beautiful goal. Way more beautiful than the one the Caps scored. #LGR
No shade on the lead wave Thu/Fri, but Sat 4/27 looks like the caliber of S Plains synoptic setup we haven't seen much of since May 2019. Both the ceiling and floor appear high. There are always flies in the ointment, but it's hard to see any giant dealbreakers as of now.
This is Maple. She knows you're a fan of your personal space. She's also a fan of your personal space. 12/10
@jhomenuk It seems it missed the dews in the plains last time though with kinda similar gulf flow. Maybe slightly less annoying this time but not by much. The billion mph & dry se winds probably didn't help last time. Always hate that first way high cu sighting and knowing it's pointless.
We heard your feedback last year. You wanted extra room, extra comfort, and more entertainment options for when we’re on the road. You’re getting all of those things this season. Check out those captain’s chairs! We have 2 spots left if you want to get in on the action.
Bandwagon Blue Shirts is BACK. First episode of 2024 out now! Go Rangers!
An active weather pattern develops across the AG Belt later this week. Widespread rain and thunderstorms with the risk for heavy rain. Severe weather is also possible across the S. Plains. Full details in today's reports! empireweather.com/ag/ #agwx #plant24
My Christmas ornament arrived yesterday. Thought it was flat when I ordered it but it has dimensional layering. Quite adorable.
Juan Soto walked out of the Yankees clubhouse wearing an Artemi Panarin jersey for all you New York Rangers fans.
Live view of me 3 strawberry margs deep looking at round trip plane tickets to/rental car options out of Kansas City
Buckle up, folks. Details, risks, and more in today’s reports: empireweather.com/ag/ #agwx #plant24
TWO DAYS of severe weather ahead next week on Thursday-Friday first across the southern Great Plains (Thursday) and expanding across the Upper Midwest again on Friday with ski jump trough ejection. THEN, another large upper-level trough ejects toward the end of April (27th and…