Ryan @paddmadfad
life is like a box of chocolates, you never know what ya gunna get Joined January 2022-
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I think this is probably right. thetimes.co.uk/article/474f81…
How can two polls be so different?
Hahahahaaha
Seems entirely reasonable. Most bizarre Political story of the parliament and there’s some contenders
Seems entirely reasonable. Most bizarre Political story of the parliament and there’s some contenders
Why didn’t she say this 6 weeks ago?!? (Assuming it’s true). It would have killed story there and then. Rather than have this drag out for so long. thetimes.co.uk/article/22e9cf…
Reform aren’t getting 13% so the diff between wipeout and a very bad defeat is what happens to that. My guess is most won’t vote so it won’t help tories.
Reform aren’t getting 13% so the diff between wipeout and a very bad defeat is what happens to that. My guess is most won’t vote so it won’t help tories.
I remember the 92-97 parliament being particularly sleavy with MPs ending up in prison.
I remember the 92-97 parliament being particularly sleavy with MPs ending up in prison.
Man our political class….what the hell? thetimes.co.uk/article/28f948…
I find this argument so odd, so cos AR is working class and a women means they’re beyond reproach?
I find this argument so odd, so cos AR is working class and a women means they’re beyond reproach?
They’ve played this so badly.
😂😂😂 April showers in April. Who knew.
😂😂😂 April showers in April. Who knew.
Bank still should be considering a rate cut
Why would you tag AR twice 😭😭
Why would you tag AR twice 😭😭
Even the Belgian PM is angry...
Even the Belgian PM is angry...
Funny cos I swear I saw protests on the streets and doctors/train drivers striking in the last 6 months Perhaps they were cancelled like the Nat Con conference Oh wait….
Funny cos I swear I saw protests on the streets and doctors/train drivers striking in the last 6 months Perhaps they were cancelled like the Nat Con conference Oh wait….
Looks contaminated skip
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47K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" and "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF@paddmadfad Definitely, but I think there’s also something about being a local champion for the whole area, neither Houchen or Street go in for divisive.
Further reflection on Andy Street, clear win or lose he will significantly out perform the Tory vote. Given he’s governed as a moderate/big tent Conservative might it give some pause to those at NatCon this week who argue tacking populist right is the sole path to Tory success
2 weeks ago: "Those objecting to so-called 'crazy' decisions by the ECHR are actually objecting to the rule of law - and even logic itself. All for sordid political gain" Today: "Errr chaps maybe tone down the crazy decisions a tad."
The ECHR has been a huge force for good but it now needs saving from itself. Reforms are needed to blunt populist challenges ft.com/content/7abbd4…
@paddmadfad YouGov previously found ~30% would vote Tory if Reform were not on the ballot paper. You could argue that's an under-estimate (they could go higher by election time), or an over-estimate (Reform will be on the ballot paper, after all). But useful starting point IMO.
‘Hearing rumours’
Hearing rumours that a GE may be called in late June to coincide with Glastonbury week. Potentially, 300,000, mainly young voters, might not get to vote. Another Tory ploy?
To be fair the Chief Executive and senior management team have changed a fair few times….
🚨Stuart Rose - Conservative peer & Asda Chair - tells me: "If this was a government judged like a chief executive of a corporation might have been judged, he or she wouldn't have lasted 14 years - the shareholders would have said on your bike" Full interview 7pm #PoliticsHub
@Scotty221 @scottiebateman @MotoFinchE I think a few years back (mid 2010's) there was an impression that you needed to go to one of 'the big three' (Jerez, CTC or Oxford) to have any chance of getting a job at the airlines afterwards. By 2018 that had fallen away and airlines were accepting people from all paths 1/n
Liz Truss may be an imperfect messenger, but the response to her book highlights one of Westminster's biggest flaws - it has stopped listening to ideas it doesn't agree with: inews.co.uk/opinion/laughi…
🚨Our latest @Moreincommon_ voting intention poll finds Labour’s lead steady at 17 points and very little change at all 🌹 Labour 43% (-) 🌳Conservatives 26% (-) 🔶Liberal Democrats 10% (-) 🟣Reform UK 11% (-1) 💚Greens 6% (+1) N: 2,051 15/4 Tables: moreincommon.org.uk/our-work/votin…
Over 48 hours, the Business Secretary @KemiBadenoch has made not one, but 4 really impressive & brave interventions across education, health, business & liberties. They show the best combination of conservative & classical liberal thinking & are deeply encouraging! A short 🧵
I'll double down. The owner of the land is entitled to evict anyone from their property for any reason, or no good reason. Though, they are not entitled to suppress free speech on their property, whatever the cause. Also, when an event is paid for by a university / private…
Had the Bank of England not intervened to salvage functioning of the gilt market in wake of her mini-budget, Truss would have lasted even less time than her record setting 49 days of office. Mental.
Liz Truss addresses the infamous “lettuce-cam” In an interview with @ChrisMasonBBC the former UK PM calls the live webcam “pathetic” Listen to the full #BBCNewscast interview bbc.in/3UetpJ7
What happened at the Claridge today is unacceptable. Municipal autonomy is a cornerstone of our democracy but can never overrule the Belgian constitution guaranteeing the freedom of speech and peaceful assembly since 1830. Banning political meetings is unconstitutional.Full stop.
But remember it was funny to plenty of UK MPs.. shoddy state of affairs.
What happened at the Claridge today is unacceptable. Municipal autonomy is a cornerstone of our democracy but can never overrule the Belgian constitution guaranteeing the freedom of speech and peaceful assembly since 1830. Banning political meetings is unconstitutional.Full stop.
Quite clearly wrong to send police to try and shut this event down and a mistake for those who disagree with Nat Con message to think it does anything other than amplify their message and provide a data point to support their claims that free speech is being suppressed.
'It's a shame the thought police, instructed by the Mayor of Brussels has saw fit to try and undermine and denigrate what is free speech and free debate' Conservative Suella Braverman speaks to @darrenmccaffrey about the Mayor shutting down the National Conservatism Conference
Braverman objected to disruptive protests, such as ones causing traffic standstills. To compare closing down a conference, where mere speech is exercised, to preventing disruption is fatuous.
Suella Braverman, who repeatedly tried to ban protests she personally didn't approve of, suddenly gets concerned about politicians trying to "undermine free speech"
My actual hot take is that your country not enacting your favourite climate policies is not an ECHR violation but shutting down political speech you dislike (beyond very narrow parameters) is an ECHR violation, and one would expect an experienced ECHR lawyer to know this.
Ken Clarke asks Cameron to provide a cast-iron assurance that govt won't countenance leaving ECHR. Cameron says there are no plans to do that, but warns "overreach" of institutions "plants the seeds of their own destruction".