Richard McElreath 🦔 @rlmcelreath
Anthropologist @MPI_EVA_Leipzig - telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves eva.mpg.de/ecology/staff/… Leipzig Joined October 2014-
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The proper method for estimating π is to toss sausages (from week 4 of my stats course)
Yes yes confusion is what thinking feels like
They do not sow or reap, they have no storeroom or barn
@rlmcelreath your video lectures are exceptional in information content and intuition. Can you share how you also achieve such visual excellence with respect to graphics software/special fonts, animation, slide composition software, etc.? #Statistics
Black-capped Chickadees and Tufted Titmice visit the Hand of Snacks. The second Tuftie has to work to hunt down a peanut but is ultimately successful.
Cooking with Mischka: Basmati with turmeric cumin ginger soffritto garlic scallions peas chicken broth. Mischka smells chicken but cannot find it
I have finally worked through all of @avehtari & Gelman's "Active Statistics". Advertised as a resource mainly for stats instructors, I think it's prob just as useful for students and self-learners. The case studies alone would be a worthwhile text. avehtari.github.io/ActiveStatisti…
(Updated with press PDF) We have likewise written these papers, but we are trying to stop. If we could all avoid producing, reviewing, and reading these papers ever again, we would divert a substantial amount of talent toward productive research. elevanth.org/blog/2024/02/0…
Open science narratives can be highly solutionist, implying that cranking up N or preregistering can guarantee that your study will be informative for your purposes. I use an analogy to helping someone improve their writing to discuss why this bothers me statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/08/peo…
The Queen, a Northern Cardinal, grabs a suet nugget for breakfast. She is usually along the boardwalk, which seen in the background is on the right-hand side. Also in the background is the Great Blue Heron rookery; their nests are on the little island at the top of the trees
The spirits of dead scholars have deposited a PDF copy of this chapter within the digital inferno xcelab.net/rmpubs/McElrea…
The spirits of dead scholars have deposited a PDF copy of this chapter within the digital inferno xcelab.net/rmpubs/McElrea…
On coffee consumption and health outcomes: x.com/statsepi/statu…
On coffee consumption and health outcomes: x.com/statsepi/statu…
Great example of an encrypted joke, two memes deep. Those of us with wasted childhoods recognize these bridges. It has no solution, but Euler was able to *prove* these is no solution by developing a framework for graphs: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven_Bri…
Great example of an encrypted joke, two memes deep. Those of us with wasted childhoods recognize these bridges. It has no solution, but Euler was able to *prove* these is no solution by developing a framework for graphs: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven_Bri…
@rss_teach @rlmcelreath @MineDogucu The videos of the Teaching Bayesian Methods seminar with talks by Ben Lambert, Mine Dogucu (@MineDogucu), Richard McElreath (@rlmcelreath), and me are now on YouTube, links etc are at talmo.uk/2024/teachingb…
One of the things I really like about the new Human Behavioural Ecology textbook is the final chapter, in which @rlmcelreath & co-editor Jeremy Koster critique human behavioural ecology & reflect on its future. A model for other textbooks to follow
I finally joined the silicon future for my work laptop. Going to run a bunch of tests just to cackle as they complete in record time
Maarten van Smeden @MaartenvSmeden
42K Followers 836 Following Statistician • associate prof • statistics/epidemiology/AI methodology, Julius Center @umcutrecht • own viewsChelsea Parlett-Pelle.. @ChelseaParlett
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12K Followers 1K Following CH & UK stats imposter, skier & Munroist: disappointing, humourless, confusing or disingenuous. DOI https://t.co/JN2UJQW1LgAndrew Gelman et al. @StatModeling
49K Followers 0 Following Automatically tweets new posts from https://t.co/A8uFi473gj Please respond in the comment section of the blog. Old posts spool at https://t.co/HLEEe8oMCd\mathfrak{Michael "Sh.. @betanalpha
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The proper method for estimating π is to toss sausages (from week 4 of my stats course)
@rlmcelreath So many wonderful extremely cumbersome ways to compute pi. My favourites: 1. Colliding blocks: youtube.com/watch?v=jsYwFi… 2. This weird ass shit with the mandelbrot set: youtube.com/watch?v=d0vY0C…
@rlmcelreath I especially appreciated the words of encouragement sprinkled across the book. They seem to arrive just at the right moment. I've never seen a textbook be so honest.
In this sense - have a productive day! Quote from: Richard McElreath (2020): Statistical Rethinking - A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan, p. 212 @rlmcelreath
Learning to See: Literature, Moral Perception and Early Confucian Virtue Ethics. Coming to a bookstore near you....well, probably not super soon. Nice to be writing again, though—and still using the method I learned in 7th grade.
@rlmcelreath Thank you Richard! The result is beautiful. And I've never seen base #rstats graphics look so good. One of the secrets to great instructional videos that you also practice is not devoting much space to a talking head.
Cultural evolution is better with kittens.
@rlmcelreath Richard -- Imagine if The Berzerker had come out to destroy The Rock last night and assist Cody Rhodes in beating Roman Reigns at WrestleMania for WWE Championship Belt.
@rlmcelreath Absolutely fucking love that thumbnail
Actual photograph of me in the wild:
Making slides for a talk tomorrow — This is a prompt to talk about the importance of showing problems in implementiing Bayesian workflows, not just successes
I just imagine this flying in on a few dusty undergrads and bellowing, "FEAR NOT (BAYESIAN STATISTICS)!"
Making slides for a talk tomorrow — This is a prompt to talk about the importance of showing problems in implementiing Bayesian workflows, not just successes
lindley namedropped but not mentioned is the fact that he arrived at Bayes starting at decision theory i feel the omission of that first stage in present day attempts at making the case for Bayes is a key reason that makes them feel incomplete (in a Gödelian sense even)
This talk (the Biblically accurate Bayesian -or- Bayes without Frequentist Language) was recorded and is available on the ytube now: youtube.com/watch?v=oHWNex…
@rlmcelreath Just started to listen to it. Your language grammar example got me to think about this sketch youtube.com/watch?v=7GYPf0…
@rlmcelreath LOVE the vibes of this & will be watching :))
Re-reading this fantastic paper by @kstark8, Mary Shenk, and @rlmcelreath on women's and men's complementarity among Shodagor fisher people in Bangladesh for my grad HBE class. It's nuanced and important re socioecology: cambridge.org/core/journals/…
One of the things I really like about the new Human Behavioural Ecology textbook is the final chapter, in which @rlmcelreath & co-editor Jeremy Koster critique human behavioural ecology & reflect on its future. A model for other textbooks to follow
@rlmcelreath Some updated references, for those that don’t like memes: carlislerainey.com/blog/2023-08-3…
👀 HT @rlmcelreath @danielneuroglia
@AlexandraDelbot @ONeyrolles @internetarchive @altmetric @RetractionWatch @joelving @HollyElse @byamandahoover @JeffreyBrainard @n6g6c @gvconroy @DalmeetS @cdurandparenti @rhysblakely 🥴 Apparently the ‘Chimeric Rat’ Review Article passed peer review (as implements by Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology) with at least 2 reviewers, see the comments on the right hand side... web.archive.org/web/2024021605… (PDF: web.archive.org/web/2024021608…)