Sarah Foster @sarahffoster
Federal Reserve and economy reporter @Bankrate. Previously @business & @chicagotribune. @MedillSchool & @illinois_alma. ✉️: [email protected] bankrate.com/authors/sarah-… New York, NY Joined January 2016-
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@Bankrate’s @sarahffoster asks if rising loan delinquencies are becoming a big problem. @Austan_Goolsbee says it bears watching and is concerning.
“Young people always see their wages rise the fastest,” says Chris Clarke, assistant professor of Economics at WSU. “They’re at the early point in their careers. They get a job at the entry level and move up the ladder within five years. But even considering that, wages have…
Powell: The Fed isn't cooking up a secret digital dollar "in a lab" and waiting to "spring it on Congress."
On two months of hotter inflation, Powell says: "We don't really know whether this is a bump in the road or something more." "The economy is strong, the labor market is strong, inflation has come way down. That gives us the ability to address this question [of cuts] carefully."
On tapering balance sheet run-off, Powell says FOMC discussed it at the March meeting. No decision, but officials concluded it "will be appropriate to slow the pace of run off fairly soon." bankrate.com/banking/federa…
Happy Fed Day! After two months of hotter-than-expected inflation, do Fed officials still project three rate cuts in 2024? Only time — and the new dots — will tell. Read our preview via @Bankrate to get up to speed: bankrate.com/banking/federa…
The big takeaway from Powell's prepared remarks for his upcoming testimony: FOMC wants "greater confidence" that inflation is moving back to 2% before cutting rates.
On the balance sheet: -Run off so far has "gone very well" -FOMC plans to have in-depth discussions at the March meeting about the pace of the run off For more, read our explainer: bankrate.com/banking/federa…
Powell says the greater risk isn't that inflation reaccelerates — but that it gets stuck above 2%. "That's why we keep our options open and why we are not rushing .. You've had six good months, very good months, but what’s really going to shake out here when we look back?"
On feeling confident enough to cut rates: "We have confidence, and it has been increasing, but we want to get greater confidence." "It's not that we're looking for better data but a continuation of the good data we've been seeing."
FOMC statement: "The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent." I feel like I could be confident enough after two more jobs/CPI prints. But can they?
Happy Fed Day! Inflation is slowing. Even the Fed's gauge hit 2% for two quarters. But the economy grew faster than expected in Q4. Job openings also picked up in December. How will the Fed judge what to do next in an economy that's defying theory? bankrate.com/banking/federa…
Jeanna Smialek @jeannasmialek
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Congratulations to my tremendous @Bankrate colleague Matt Goldberg (aka @MattAtBankrate) who won re-election to the @SABEW board. SABEW is the leading association of business/financial journalists. Thank you to Matt and all the others who volunteer for this worthy cause!…
Looking forward to a great conversation on Bloomberg News radio this morning ahead of Friday’s all-important PCE report.
@Bankrate’s @sarahffoster asks if rising loan delinquencies are becoming a big problem. @Austan_Goolsbee says it bears watching and is concerning.
I have a new working paper out! Using public data, I estimate experimental county-level regional price parities (RPP) for all counties in the United States. commerce.gov/sites/default/… 1/
These professionals talk about the U.S. economy and consistently provide good analyses and insights. Consider following them 👇 ☑️Sarah Foster @sarahffoster ☑️Anna Helhoski @AnnaHelhoski ☑️Steve Matthews @SteveMatthews12 ☑️Chris Rugaber @ChrisRugaber #economy
Jan. 21, 2016 — First print article in The Daily Illini Feb. 25, 2024 — First print article in The New York Times Dreams are real, and the best ones happen when you’re wide awake. A tangible reminder to work hard, honor my opportunities and stack days — 2,957 to be exact. ❤️
I compulsively check to make sure my stove is off before I leave the house, as if I ever turn it on
Young Americans Are Finding New Ways To Build Wealth In A Tough Economy bankrate.com/investing/youn… @Bankrate @sarahffoster
Tweeting NY Fed and FRED charts before 7am. Living the good life. (Not sarcastic.)
Job opening!!
I'm excited to share that today was my first day as Business Editor for @thehill, where I will be leading our excellent Finance and Technology reporters with a focus on the connections between politics and policy.
I don't know how much of a vibe shift it'll be but all the normie econ reporters now have to start talking about rate cuts instead of hypothetical Fed hawkishness.
to all you chief economists and Wall St macro analysts rushing to revise your prewritten 2024 Macro Outlooks before Christmas.....now you feel the pain of economics journalists who cover you lol