SpotGamma @spotgamma
We analyze the options market. Daily commentary: https://t.co/XTAUMUtGlI YouTube: https://t.co/s0HBvNufnw… Disclaimer: https://t.co/3dBKPL2sgx… spotgamma.com United States Joined July 2019-
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Really excited that @alphaarchitect will be joining us at 2:30 PM ET next Tuesday for our Excess Returns and @spotgamma PNL for a Purpose charity day, Also really excited that things have improved enough in the factor world that we can title his interview "The Return of Value…
Less that 1 week to 4/30 Live-Stream Charity Day, featuring the "Viceroy of Volatility" @NoelConvex Join Noel, @practicalquant & 23 other amazing speakers on Tuesday: spotgamma.com/pnl-for-a-purp…
Get a full schedule & reminders for 4/30 Charity Day featuring @BobEUnlimited and 23 other amazing speakers. 👇 spotgamma.com/pnl-for-a-purp… 👆
Get a full schedule & reminders for 4/30 Charity Day featuring @BobEUnlimited and 23 other amazing speakers. 👇 spotgamma.com/pnl-for-a-purp… 👆
The @excessreturnpod and @spotgamma PNL for a Purpose livestream to help fight cancer is now a week away. As we approach the event, we wanted to highlight each of the great guests that will be joining us. At 9:30 AM ET, we will talk technical analysis with @StocktonKatie. We…
$TSLA was great this morning. Was looking at 2 setups.. the bearish setup materialized. @spotgamma HIRO showed strong negative deltas but positive price action 🤔 We can see price finally roll over in #bookmap (3) for an entry at (4) looking for continuation to 139.
Mark your 📅 for the EPIC 4/30 "PNL for a Purpose" live streaming charity event! 12 hours of live streaming with an incredible list of speakers, including: @options_insight @dampedspring @Mike_Taylor1972 @jam_croissant @StocktonKatie @profplum99 @choffstein @rjparkerjr09…
Yesterday tied for the 5th longest streak of negative 1-day SPX returns. But where is the vol? For all days with >=4 consecutive negative returns (17), this is the 3rd lowest realized volatility. Top periods: 1) Feb '20 (6 days) 2) Oct & Sep '22, Jul '19 (5 days)
somewhere out in time lurks the ultimate right tail
somewhere out in time lurks the ultimate right tail
Remember: We've been in a state of very low, '17-like volatility This is still the 3rd longest period in 20 yrs w/out a <-2% SPX move So this feels rough, but realized vol is only up to ~13%, which =<1% daily SPX moves & while I think 5,000 holds, its <5k that vol really pops
Signs of short term capitulation? This is single stock put volume - calls. Similar spikes have corresponded with local stock lows in the past.
$NFLX reports tonight with a ~7% implied ER move. Reports increase next week with $META $TSLA $SPOT spotgamma.com/free-tools/imp…
So VIX exp was supportive of markets? to be clear i thought market would be higher, but there does seem to be a “release” this AM.
So VIX exp was supportive of markets? to be clear i thought market would be higher, but there does seem to be a “release” this AM. https://t.co/Na5QPFtn0h
Simplify is proud to sponsor PNL for a Purpose, a one-day event for traders to make a difference. Join a star-studded cast including Simplify's @profplum99 and @Mike_Taylor1972 to support the fight against breast cancer with @SusanGKomen. Hosted by Brent Kochuba from @spotgamma…
Check out the April OPEX Effect with @practicalquant We cover how vol has simply mean reverted from ultra-low levels, with realized vol remaining contained into the face of triggers like geopolitics & rates. youtu.be/SIAm-GisVTc?si…
While the ultra-short-dated IV crush is on, possibly through Wednesday AM, H4L (higher-for-longer) is likely here for longer-dated IV as traders have to hedge more "known-uknowns". Here is 2 month SPX skew showing the shift from 2 weeks ago (yellow) to this morning (green).
i think there are positive, sizable, short dated flows that can come into the market through Tuesday night & VIX exp. volatility needs a place to go & if your positions expire Wed then geopolitics may not factor in if things don’t immediately escalate
Andy Constan @dampedspring
133K Followers 326 Following DampedSpring active macro & beta @2Graybeards for beta. Both for investor education, Brevan Howard, Bridgewater, Salomon, Dad of 4. Go Penn, No tweet is advice
Eliant Capital @eliant_capital
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JE$US @WallStJesus
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I'm happy to participate with @spotgamma, hopefully adding some value and support @SusanGKomen cancer charity.
Less that 1 week to 4/30 Live-Stream Charity Day, featuring the "Viceroy of Volatility" @NoelConvex Join Noel, @practicalquant & 23 other amazing speakers on Tuesday: spotgamma.com/pnl-for-a-purp…
@practicalquant @spotgamma Look fwd to it and what a great cause
@spotgamma @3PeaksTrading Don’t short stocks into earnings whose expectations can’t get lower. Rarely works great.
@spotgamma it is now, it was saying Tuesday all morning mate.
Really excited that @alphaarchitect will be joining us at 2:30 PM ET next Tuesday for our Excess Returns and @spotgamma PNL for a Purpose charity day, Also really excited that things have improved enough in the factor world that we can title his interview "The Return of Value…
The @excessreturnpod and @spotgamma PNL for a Purpose livestream to help fight cancer is now a week away. As we approach the event, we wanted to highlight each of the great guests that will be joining us. At 9:30 AM ET, we will talk technical analysis with @StocktonKatie. We…
Vol Smile Legend is smiling tonight. @jam_croissant @spotgamma @Ksidiii
With what turned out to be my usual impeccable timing, I retired from teaching at Columbia a year ago.
Remember the expected move for $TSLA was over 8%. So this is not a big move as its still well within the implied move of the options market.. but many on here saying its 'surging'
Check out my #VIX analysis on @tradingview: tradingview.com/x/m8iH7CXK/ $VIX 1 Hour chart
When the waitress with a nose ring and more tats than I can count compliments my cardigan I know I’m doing something right.
hi @chamath I'm the Junior Breakthrough winner from Bangalore you mentioned on the @theallinpod! Missed seeing you at the @brkthroughprize I've just graduated and moved to the bay area — would be amazing to grab some doordash with you sometime haha :) big fan of the pod btw!
$NVDA pulls back to the 805 @spotgamma Hedge Wall and moves higher as traders buy calls and sell puts, market makers buy stock to hedge delta exposure, and aggressive buyers move NVDA higher. Market maker hedging flow shown by HIRO. Order flow shown on @bookmap_pro chart.
$TSLA Loads of call (orange = all expiry, green=weekly expiry) buying today into earnings - its down 30%ish for YTD, below its put wall at $150. I would laugh so hard if Theta gang wins this. chart courtesy of @spotgamma HIRO
Tail risk got crushed today as implied vol's of far OTM options down hard. $TDEX shows this nicely as it was -23%. Not quite an all clear signal but like to see it at least for short term lows in place maybe
$TSLA was great this morning. Was looking at 2 setups.. the bearish setup materialized. @spotgamma HIRO showed strong negative deltas but positive price action 🤔 We can see price finally roll over in #bookmap (3) for an entry at (4) looking for continuation to 139.
Vol couldn't stay bid today, a concern I expressed yesterday. In #bookmap we can see a strong rejection at (1) and in @spotgamma HIRO we see C/P shift from flat to call buying then put selling. Total shows the violent shift in participation. Great OR-M setup long @bookmap_pro
Going a little deeper we can see in the Fixed Strike Matrix on @spotgamma vol dashboard comparison to last week. And we can also see the skew shift substantially looking towards May OpEx.
5000 es el nivel que importa. Un cierre <5.000 mantiene la puerta abierta a un salto importante en la volatilidad realizada. Gráfico vía @spotgamma
@spotgamma I guess we can't measure the 70s since the VIX was not invented
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