parker fleming @statsowar

football • economics • data science cfb-graphs.com Somewhere, USA Joined October 2018

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parker fleming @statsowar

a hour ago

i would draft spencer rattler

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parker fleming @statsowar

a hour ago

re-upping my best weird take about the draft

parker fleming @statsowar

11 months ago

re-upping my best weird take about the draft

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parker fleming @statsowar

a hour ago

If you're looking for some #slow and thoughtful content about the draft, this conversation I had with @bcmassey on uncertainty last summer holds up quite well: youtube.com/watch?v=mIA-r6…

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I know we're all thinking about the Draft, but my friend @EdWithSports just published a neat blog post comparing UFL teams using different power rating methods. Check it out here: open.substack.com/pub/edwithspor…

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Grant McGalliard @grantmcgalliard

2 hours ago

@statsowar “Mom, can we have Caleb Williams?” “No, sweetie, we have Caleb Williams at home.” Caleb Williams at home:

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Seth Walder @SethWalder

2 hours ago

Four ways to screw up the NFL Draft. 1. Market-price trade-ups for non-QBs 2. Reaching for players well before consensus indicates they will be selected 3. Frequently using premium picks on non-premium positions 4. Paying to move future picks to present

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Timo Riske @PFF_Moo

2 hours ago

better to be lucky than good

Ari Meirov @MySportsUpdate

2 hours ago

better to be lucky than good

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parker fleming @statsowar

2 hours ago

My solution to this problem, from a technical sense, is just that PFF needs to include a trade probability that is strictly (and starkly) decreasing with the number of trades you make. Conditional on trading the first time, the second trade should become substantially less likely