Lawrence McDonald Private @Convertbondprv
l'll discuss mainly about the Price Action analyses of the Stock Market. Exclusively for Elite Traders, Just for a Selected Few. MAIN PAGE: @Convertbond Joined January 2013-
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A very big day, thanks for being a part of it. It’s a whole new year, the rest of the decade is waiting. #gratitude
.@JeffBezos Dear Jeff, one of the smartest human beings, who’s ever walked on two legs on this planet 🌏 is selling stock like it’s his last meal before the electric chair? What does he know?
August 2022 — “Bezos sold nearly $27 billion worth of Amazon stock since the company went public in 1997, most of that in the last two years.” - Forbes
Middle class families trying to buy a car while getting ripped off on credit card payments? cc @Lavorgnanomics (chart)
Middle class families trying to buy a car while getting ripped off on credit card payments? cc @Lavorgnanomics (chart) https://t.co/vmmwftOSvp
If we sell a million books… we’ll break even on our Lehman stock : ) #Gratitude
If we sell a million books… we’ll break even on our Lehman stock : ) #Gratitude
Taiwan stocks pop an all-time high on China invasion speculation...
COIN - up 130% since October, here come the upgrades...
COIN - up 130% since October, here come the upgrades...
For 24 months now we have been hearing ugly economic data out of the EU, Germany - and stocks rip to all-time highs...
For 24 months now we have been hearing ugly economic data out of the EU, Germany - and stocks rip to all-time highs... https://t.co/Sj41clvrmQ
A special day with family. Wishing you a memorable Valentine’s celebration. #Gratitude
Term Premium (Premia) is the extra compensation investors demand for the unknowns in a multipolar world associated with holding longer-term debt. Other factors include -- mkt risk preferences, views about the economy, and global financial conditions.
Please share with the "inflation is dead" crowd...
Burgers 🍔 and Beer 🍺 —Similar to McDonald’s — Heineken shares plunge (9% of the Feb highs) after sales warning, CEO says volumes - profit margins are being hurt by price increases. At some point companies wound the consumer to the extent they can’t pass it on, at the bone.
S&P 500 --- The last time we were off 180bps (close to 2%) was March 9, 2023 - just before the SVB (bank) blow-up.
Russell 2000 IWM (-4.5%) -- last 4% single-day decline was in June of 2022. *A lot of these companies have leveraged balance sheets. The index has become FAR more interest-rate sensitive than the rest of the market. Every minute rates stay up here, the Fed will guarantee a large…
Inflation - it's like trying to lose 20lbs. The first 10 come off like butter. The last ten are a root canal.
Looking at the "Supercore" or core CPI excluding shelter, there was a sharp acceleration to 0.85% m/m from 0.34% in Dec, mostly driven by Transportation services which went from effectively no contribution in Dec to a 0.23%-pt contribution to supercore inflation in Jan. via…
Inflation - 3.1% was "hot" on the way up, now "cool."
Inflation - 3.1% was "hot" on the way up, now "cool."
Last time investors were this bullish equities - front-end rates were 0.14% vs. 4.86% today.
Last time investors were this bullish equities - front-end rates were 0.14% vs. 4.86% today.
Take a Picture, and put it on the wall... S&P 500 Composition MSFT 7.3% AAPL 6.5% NVDA 4.2% AMZN 3.7% GOOGL 3.7% META 2.5% Berkshire 1.7% Others JPM 1.2% TSLA 1.2% XOM 0.98% KO 0.55% MRK 0.75% CVX 0.63% ORCL 0.44% NKE 0.31% via @BearTrapsReport
It's NOT a chart of Nvidia NVDA - it's One-Year Inflation Expectations - in white below...
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