Levent Caglar @LCaglar
Joined May 2020-
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Market not always right…. Once it realizes it has made a mistake, we typically see significant corrections - right direction…. Micron $MU has long been abused by market biased on the cyclical nature of memory, while market never truly challenges its own assumptions that “this is just another typical cycle.” BUT the fact is that we are entering a MAJOR Industrial Revolution and memory does not just fuel up AI but also Robotics. I tend to think we are in a 10-15 year very strong demand period for memory all the way into 2036-2037. Micron should guide $800+ EPS five years from now by end of 2031. Even a 10X P/E would put it at $8000, meaning a potential 10 fold into long term. By whatever metrics, that’s one of the best ever in history.
$MU This is starting to get ridiculous… One of the lowest forward P/E and PEG in the market And we can almost buy it under $800
BofA UPDATED price targets across Semis/AI ecosystem: - $NVDA: $350 - $AMD: $720 - $MU: $1,550 - $SNDK: $2,500 - $WDC: $732 - $AMAT: $650 - $MRVL: $400 - $AVGO: $460 - $TSM: $620 - $ON: $120 - $SNPS: $600 - $INTC: $145 - $CRWV: $140 - $NBIS: $310 - $CRDO: $340
BofA: Our $MU $1550 PO is based on a sum-of-parts valuation that values the traditional memory business at $1,127/sh at 3.0x CY28E P/B during a memory upcycle, and the AI HBM business at $422/sh at 21x CY28E PE 🔥🔥
BofA: Our $MU $1550 PO is based on a sum-of-parts valuation that values the traditional memory business at $1,127/sh at 3.0x CY28E P/B during a memory upcycle, and the AI HBM business at $422/sh at 21x CY28E PE 🔥🔥
BofA: Our $NVDA $350 PO is based on 22x CY27E PE ex cash, within its historical 15x-56x forward range, justified by leading share in fast-growing AI compute/networking markets
UBS says the 19% selloff in memory stocks is an opportunity, not a sign the cycle is breaking. AI agents are driving stronger server DDR5 orders into 2027. UBS expects HBM4 to grow from 17% of HBM demand in 2026 to 39% in 2027. It also expects Samsung to add 120,000 wafers a month of DRAM capacity by late 2027, but sees little real impact on supply until late 2028. $MU
Michael Dell just told the Wall Street Journal that the memory crunch is going to get WORSE. On CNBC this week he said supply and demand get worse next year, and when asked about memory he called it "maybe a four year problem because there's just not enough supply." His
$MU 100% 🎯
UBS says the 19% selloff in memory stocks is an opportunity, not a sign the cycle is breaking. AI agents are driving stronger server DDR5 orders into 2027. UBS expects HBM4 to grow from 17% of HBM demand in 2026 to 39% in 2027. It also expects Samsung to add 120,000 wafers a
JP Morgan calls for a re-rating in memory stocks: - The memory S/D inbalance is deepening - Rising AI/hyperscalers CAPEX - Rising HBM content per AI accelerator - HBM/DRAM wafer tradeoff becoming steeper with HBM4E consuming 4x more wafers per bit than DRAM - SCA/lTA framework is significantly improving the forward visibility for memory producers Just observe how cheap the Memory Big 3 have become: Samsung: 2.99x FY2027 earnings SK hynix: 2.72x FY2027 earnings Micron $MU: 4.96x FY2027 earnings Samsung and SK hynix are trading BELOW 3x next year's earnings, that is quite insane. Why? Is 2028 going to be a horrible year compared to 2027? No, 2028 profits will be even higher than 2027. What about 2029, will that year become horrible then? Nope, profits may moderate a bit but there is no sign of any earnings collapse with AI demand continuing to rise. $MU $SKHY $SNDK $005930.KS $DRAM
JP Morgan calls for a re-rating in memory stocks on “business model transformation” with “unprecedented forward visibility” “The setup for memory is meaningfully stronger than 90 days ago, with the structural S-D imbalance deepening and business model transformation gaining
BofA: we continue to expect supercycle-level ASPs, revenue, and margins not only in 4Q26 but also through 2027-28 for memory. $MU $DRAM $EWY
KeyBanc analyst John Vinh reiterated a $1,750 target price on $MU Micron and called it one of his favorite ideas following a trip to check supply chains in Asia. His findings included that pricing for DRAM in the fourth quarter is expected to rise by 15%-20% from the previous quarter and Google is looking at extending long-term memory-supply agreements through to 2035. -Barrons
JP Morgan calls for a re-rating in memory stocks on “business model transformation” with “unprecedented forward visibility” “The setup for memory is meaningfully stronger than 90 days ago, with the structural S-D imbalance deepening and business model transformation gaining pace.” $SNDK $MU $SKHY
Wow. $MU just fell under $900 per share MU is expected to generate $176.55 of EPS this year and trades at 5.09 times earnings. The Consensus EPS estimates on the street are the following: 2027: 176.55 2028: 206.89 2029: 203.33 2030: 138.96 2031: 69.16 2032: 53.60 2033: 41.44 2034: 31.63 Over the next 8 years the street expects eps to peak in 2028 then sequentially decline. Hypothetically if this happens $MU would generate $921.56 of EPS which is more than 100% of the share price. I will say that this seems like a ridiculous valuation and if the analyst community is wrong about when EPS peaks MU is going to look even cheaper than it already is.
MIcronは2026Q4のSSD価格を大幅アップ、40〜45%で提示中
‼️ JUST IN: Micron is quoting 4Q26 SSD pricing +40-45% q/q while consensus is only expecting +20% q/q. Major expectations beat incoming. $MU $SNDK
New DRAM Demand Source Could Surge 20-Fold By 2030 zerohedge.com/technology/new…
JUST IN: Google is talking to memory suppliers to extend SCA’s another 5 years to 2035! $GOOG $MU $SKHY
Micron bucking the SK Hynix curse for the first time....
You got that right $MU
JP Morgan just put out a new note that’s super bullish on memory and storage!!! $MU now has 26 long term deals covering 35%+ of revenue through 2030. $150B in contracted backlog. $32B in customer cash already committed. Over 75% of next year's output already sold. $SKHY $SNDK
Today’s selloff just makes the worries look overdone in the semi/AI space. The market is nervous about three things right now and I don't think any of them hold up in the next couple of weeks; 1) CXMT. China's memory champion is the fear of the week. But its push into the next
So do people ACTUALLY understand what this means for Micron $MU?!?!?
JUST IN: Elon Musk said the AI problem is "RAM supply"
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