bitcoin:native is very close to my area of interest for a local bottom/potential reversal back to the upside and our ~82.8k target.
If we can hold around this region (after sweeping these local lows) then I think we will see some nice upside across the board in the coming days as bitcoin:native grinds higher.
We are currently getting the scenario on bitcoin:native described in the short vid I put out yesterday- that is that we had an initial rejection off of our highs and have now pulled back into the local range that we broke out from (I've changed this local range to BLUE for
Bitcoin is sitting at the level that decides the entire cycle:
50-week MA.
MACD, RSI and Stoch RSI have all turned bullish.
But none of that matters unless Bitcoin breaks $81K and HOLDS.
So far, Bitcoin has been rejected there multiple times:
Above $81K → real reversal.
Rejected again → bull trap continues.
Bitcoin is still only down 54% this cycle, less than in 2018 and 2022.
And September is the key macro month.
That still points to the real cycle bottom in October-November.
There is a 0% chance Bitcoin will hit $100,000 this year.
The reason is simple:
Every Bitcoin bear market follows the same rules:
→ At least 350 days
→ Bottom comes after the 350D MA gets tagged
→ Every rally before that is a trap
→ Final low goes deeper than most expect
By the cycle clock, the bear market is already around 80% complete.
But price hasn’t caught up.
BTC: $78K
350D MA: $47K
Still untouched.
That means the final flush is still ahead.
When Bitcoin finally tags that zone, I’ll turn aggressively bullish.
Until then:
The cycle is not finished.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Bitcoin’s cycle has never broken in 10 years.
1,064 days up. 365 days down.
Same pattern, every cycle.
The math points to one date: October.
That is where the real bottom happens.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Bitcoin dumped to $77K for a reason.
$82K resistance rejected exactly as expected.
Every $2K lower = another $1B in liquidations.
Insiders can see the liquidity stacked all the way down to $60K.
Now BTC is following the same path:
$77K → $74K → $68K → $71K → $60K
Retail sees a dip.
Insiders see targets.
Next:
→ $70K in days
→ Market-cycle bottom in autumn
For the record: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
bitcoin:native its official. august confirms the first stochastic momentum cross to the upside in the extreme zone.
green vertical bars represent all previous iterations
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