Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ@PrometheusCHT
MD Rosherville Investments. Advisory Board @StrategyRisks. Exited co-founder, investor, trader, quant, secular humanist. MAppFin. MDSc Advanced Stats (underway) ๐ฆ๐บ Joined December 2021-
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Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
9 minutes ago@SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 Such as? I think you might be amiss on the definition of a fact. Under this much uncertainty, you ought to be adding much greater error bars to your claims.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
17 minutes ago@CovFactCheck @SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 Several lines of 'evidence' that require huge error bars due to uncertainty.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
18 minutes ago@SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 There is no error of omission in Richard's thread. You've got it backwards.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
22 minutes ago@SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 There's still opacity. One wouldn't precisely know who/what/when was patient zero. Albeit, the math seems to support Richard's claim.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
31 minutes ago@CovFactCheck @SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 So 0.0036% of the population? Lol. Is that sample size sufficient to you?

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
48 minutes ago@gtuckerkellogg @BrianRWasik @SaskiaPopescu @wanderer_jasnah Trying to backfit your narrative Greg. Standard for you.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
a hour ago@Rebelbanker @PetrTrades I'll have to come visit mate!

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
2 hours ago@Stephengm99 Sorry to hear mate. Get him on a high protein diet and try to get his strength back.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
2 hours ago@SashaGusevPosts @stuartjdneil @R_H_Ebright @itsmeagain4126 Why would one assume we have perfect optics on the earliest cases, especially given presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission?

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
3 hours ago@PetrTrades They got #1 correct at least.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
3 hours ago@Jimmyjude13 @davidbelle_ @SandyLaneHotel Nobody's drawing any green lines on this pic! ๐

Dow @mark_dow
3 hours agoIf you follow any of these tweeps non ironically, you should not be managing anyone's money--not even your own twitter.com/mark_dow/statuโฆ

Ralph Sueppel @macro_srsv
8 hours ago"The pandas-market-calendars package...provides access to over 50+ unique exchange calendars for global equity and futures markets...with the holiday, late open and early close calendars for specific exchanges and OTC conventions." pypi.org/project/pandasโฆ ๐บ๐ฆ

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
9 hours ago@BortzGroup @yoshkapundrick @Auraya25 @jbkinney Perhaps I'd need to read the notes for yours! ๐

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@lpachter Why do you think it came up? Because people were citing prior probablities ignoring Marburg. That was misinfo. People attempted to clarify, now your colleagues are playing the most embarrassing game of semantics I've witnessed.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@lpachter Irresponsible? Simply because it doesn't support your pet narrative. Shame on you for deciding what ought to be censored.

Chris Weston @ChrisWeston_PS
14 hours ago
Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago
Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@lpachter Not all SARSCov2 origin theories relate to GoF.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago
Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @Auraya25 @jbkinney We're not talking about SARSCov2 dipstick.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney And yes, I appreciate the admission about your dearth of brightness.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney You're really emotional about SARS leaking from a lab multiple times. I feel for you.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @Auraya25 @jbkinney What's the hurdle of knowledge required? Bet I could pass those tests today.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney If you had studied risk, I would welcome you tk the conversation. Your dim view this fits within one narrow domain is indeed dim.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @Auraya25 @jbkinney Neither are necessary here. Neither contain unique knowledge that suggests a LAI which escapes into the phblic, isn't a leak.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
13 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney And you unfortunately didn't take risk management, probability, fat tailed statistics, critical thinking, epistemology, philosophy of science, and instead decided to be a tosspot on the internet.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
14 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @Auraya25 @jbkinney I'm sure I could pass undergraduate biology exams, today, without preparation. Competent.

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
14 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney If two lab workers were infected and eight people total were infected, how many were infected with an escaped pathogen? How many were LAIs?

Carl Hodson-Thomas ๐บ๐ฆ @PrometheusCHT
14 hours ago@yoshkapundrick @AwakenedJoyce @Auraya25 @jbkinney I do not.