Subu Trade @SubuTrade11
Trading large trends/key themes and smaller opportunities in between. subutrade.com/p/markets-repo Free Markets Report: Joined October 2014-
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New Markets Report (free): Is the Bottom in? Here's what history says Included: 50+ charts on stocks, commodities, bonds, currencies subutrade.com/p/markets-repo…
AAII Bears is now at 51.5% This is 11 straight weeks with more than 50% Bears, a new record. Despite the rally, bears won’t give up.
Today the S&P 500 is on track to be Up 8 days in a row, while under its 200 day moving average. Could we get a small pullback soon? ⬇️
Looking at this from a different angle: Here's what happens next when the S&P is up 8 days in a row, with a total gain exceeding +8%
AAII Bears is now at 59.3% Bears' 10 week average is at 58%, a record high Relentless bearish sentiment
This is the 10th consecutive week with more than 50% AAII Bears This has never happened before.
S&P 500 is up 7 straight days, while under the 200 day moving average Forward returns over the next few days ⬇️
The S&P 500 fell more than -10% during this month, but is on track to close within -2% below last month's Close. What a reversal. The last time this happened was during the Great Depression.
If the S&P closes green today, it will be Up 6 straight days with a total gain exceeding 7% S&P 500’s forward returns ⬇️
The % of Consumers Expecting Stocks to Decline jumped by +23.7% over the past 3 months A record jump in bearish sentiment.
48.5% of consumers now expect Stocks to fall over the next 12 months (according to the Conference Board). This is the most pessimism since October 2011
The S&P 500 went up 5 days in a row, gaining over +7% A short-term pullback is possible. But historically, stocks were consistently higher 6–12 months later.
The NASDAQ Composite is up more than 1% for 4 straight days. In the past 30 years, this often led to short-term pullbacks.
Record outflows from $XLE (energy sector ETF) over the past 3 weeks. Just non-stop selling. This is a bullish sign for energy.
Zweig Breadth Thrust has officially triggered! 👇
Zweig Breadth Thrust is on track to trigger today What the S&P 500 does next ⬇️
Here’s how the S&P 500 performed in the days after Zweig thrusts:
Update: AAII Bears is at 55.6% This is the 9th consecutive week with over 50% Bears A new record streak of bearish sentiment
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