_Jeffrey A. Hirsch @_AlmaanacTrader
CEO Hirsch Holdings, Publisher Almanac Trader, Editor Stock Trader’s Almanac | “Those who understand market history are bound to profit from it!” stocktradersalmanac.com White Plains, NY Joined September 2014-
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Typical Post-Election Year May performance impressive vs recent trend. Strength 1st 6 days avg gains >1%. Weakness 6th-9th days. Briskly higher through month-end. If this keeps tracking, we’ll likely push thru 200DMAs mid-month. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/783094154…
On my latest podcast @McClellanOsc nails tariff impacts and why a turning point may be on the horizon.
Check out my podcast conversation w/ @McClellanOsc. Tom’s indicators remain rather cautious on this market.
Great call on $HIMS from @herbgreenberg on my podcast.
Fantastic conversion with Tom! We should compare notes more frequently.
S&P 500 logged first 9-day winning streak since November 2004. S&P 500 has gained 10.25% during the current streak. Largest gain of any 9-day or longer streak since 1930. Performance after past streaks mixed. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/782466396…
It was also a pleasure to join Victoria Greene and @fitz_keith on @CNBC's 'Power Lunch' with @KellyCNBC and @TheDomino to discuss our market outlooks and my “Thrust, but Verify” mantra.cnb.cx/42Za6XD
Thanks to @KellyCNBC and @TheDomino for having me on @CNBC's ‘@PowerLunch’ yesterday to reflect on the first 100 days of President Trump’s second term and how 2025 is tracking some old-school Republican post-election year market weakness. cnb.cx/42UNXJI
R2K best on first trading day of May last 27 years, higher 70.4% of the time. Avg gain 0.22%. NASDAQ bullishness fading recently, down 5 of the last 6 years. Best SP500 gain 1.71% in 2008, worst loss –2.82 in 2020. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/782276498…
I’ll be live on @CNBC @PowerLunch w/@KellyCNBC & @TheDomino top of the hour 2pm. Discussing Trump 2.0 1st 100 days, todays negative GDP weak ADP number the selloff & what it means historically for the market this year.
Last trading day of April bearish over the last 21 years. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 weakest, down 9 of last 10. Average losses range from –0.39% by DJIA to –0.95% from Russell 2000. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/782192437…
Thrust & Verify. Technicals flashing green. Stocks likely higher a year from now, but not out of woods. V-Bottom/Zweig Thrust/VIX Spike Scenario has a few hurdles. Until we clear 5500, declining 50DMA, April 2-3 Tariff and Election gaps market likely choppy thru summer.…
May 2025 Almanac: Best Russell 2000 month in post-election years, up 10 of 11 with average gain of 3.6%. 2nd best NASDAQ month, up 10 of last 13 average gain 3.0%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/782102853…
Breaking down the Bear Market signals on my latest podcast w/technician extraordinaire @FrankCappelleri @CMTAssociation
Bear Market Rally? Near-Term Bounce? Uncertainty still hangs over the market. But based on $VIX retreat from 60 to 30, our waterfall decline research, and Republican post-election year seasonal trend, a short-term bottom could be in. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/781546868…
Critical support. 👇
DJIA up 34 of last 43 April monthly option expiration weeks. Avg weekly gain 1.08%. S&P 500 & NASDAQ are nearly historically strong, avg weekly gains of 0.83% and 0.84% respectively. Declines in 2024 & 2022 have tarnished the longer-term performance. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/780924149…
Tariff pause rebound could continue during historically bullish Good Friday week. Avg gains during week since 1980: NASDAQ +1.26%, Russell 2000 +0.99%, S&P 500 +0.89%, DJIA +0.85%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/780820553…
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