Walter Deemer (parody) ✪ @_WalterDemer
Retired institutional market analyst (1964-2016) walterdeemer.com Palm City FL Joined April 2025-
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This is not a failed breadth thrust. Yet
The advance-decline line hit a new high yesterday, so you can worry about something else now...
Things I'd like to see to indicate this isn't the Nifty Fifty (1972-73) redux: A new high in the advance-decline line. Needs 3287 net advances to get there.
Per famed technical analyst Phil D. Gapp: To fill this morning’s gaps -- which have left island tops behind them -- $SPY would have to rally to 606.80 and $QQQ to 528.15. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
The real ugliness is in small-caps:
Just gonna put this out there again...
I'm old enough to remember when $META went up 20 days in a row.
Advance-Decline Line easily surpassed its February high -- and is now only 769 net advances below its all time-high.
The NYSE All Issues Advance-Decline Line made a new high today. This. Is. Not. Bearish.
Just gonna mention that the gap through the 200 day MA was never filled. (Neither was the one on April 27th.)
Today was a 70% downside day. Nothing special...
Today was an 89.6% Upside Day. UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data: wsj.com. See docs.cmtassociation.org/docs/2002DowAw… for explanation. N. B. Another 80% day tomorrow would have the same significance as a 90% day (also, April 9th's 98.5% Upside Day hasn't been…
If the Advance-Decline Line is able to push above its February high it would be a significant indication of the rally's internal strength. Only needs 418 net advances to do so...
The current State of the Thrusts I trust: Breakaway Momentum: Not yet. Currently 1.46; threshold is 1.92. Need 1660 net advances tomorrow or 3030 net advances Friday + Monday to generate it. Whaley Breadth Thrust: Not yet. Currently 68.36%; threshold 73.67%. Can’t get there…
The current State Of My Trusted Thrusts: Breakaway Momentum: Not yet -- and won’t get it Monday. Currently 1.76; threshold is 1.97, but would take 2600 net advances Monday to get there, and only 2800 stocks trade/day. But market may have a chance to generate it mid-week if – if…
The current State Of My Trusted Thrusts: Just – just – missed getting a Whaley Breadth Thrust today by 50 net advances: came in at 73.47% and threshold is 73.67%. Would now take a virtually-unachievable 2335 net advances tomorrow to generate one. Breakaway Momentum: Not yet;…
Breakaway Momentum Watch -- The door is wide open: the market will generate Breakaway Momentum Monday with any breadth reading that's better than 60 net declines (i. e., any positive reading or minimal net declines). Explanation/historical record here: walterdeemer.com/bam.htm
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