. @biancoresear_h

Macro investment research at https://t.co/qZxm3IKV8f Our total return index is at https://t.co/XIjIOjtDPz The ETF WTBN tracks our Index. biancoresearch.eth biancoresearch.com Chicago, IL Joined February 2012

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 months ago

Mid-year update We review the performance of the Bianco Research Total Return Index and the ETF that tracks it, the WisdomTree Bianco Fund (WTBN). Also, the fair value of bonds and why Trump's demand that the Fed cut rates can lead to higher LT yields. biancoadvisors.com/2025-mid-year-…

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Cook refusing to leave puts the Fed in a difficult position. If they allow her to continue with her duties as Fed Governor, starting this morning, and the courts find that the President does have the authority to fire her, even if it's months later during an appeal, anything she…

Ben Casselman @bencasselman

2 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Why is Trump firing Lisa Cook? It may be bigger than you think. A little-known fact is that all twelve Federal Reserve District Bank presidents serve five-year terms. They end in February of years ending in “1” and “6.” So, February 2021, February 2026, February 2031, and so on.…

zerohedge @zerohedge

2 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Maxi screaming into the ether

Fred Krueger @dotkrueger

2 weeks ago

Maxi screaming into the ether

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Trump back with more

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

1/2 Reading the opinions of many professionals about Powell's speech yields little consensus. There seems to be as many interpretations as people I read. In other words, it was a somewhat ambiguous speech; Powell was unclear about what he wanted to do next month. This…

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

2/2 To paraphrase Miracle Max in The Princess Bride, a September rate cut is mostly a done deal, but that means it's also slightly not a done deal.

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

I agree with this

Bill Gross @real_bill_gross

2 weeks ago

I agree with this

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Trump posted this on Truth Social about an hour ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Fear of Powell coming out against a September rate cut continues to grow. --- Note: the odds are still more than 50% for a cut, so it is still priced in. But the trend is toward more, not less, uncertainty. Speech at 10 AM ET ... two hours from now

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

Zervos trading to be the next Fed Chairman took a hit in the last 36 hours, going from 18% on Tuesday, August 19th (and in second place behind Waller!) to 8% earlier today, a loss of more than 50%. I've been reliably told that MIGHT have something to do with the repost below.

Kuppy @hkuppy

2 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

2 weeks ago

One Fed Chairman on his way out, the other on his way in???

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

Weak-Kneed About Powell's Speech Tomorrow? (That he will push back about a rate cut) --- Note that the probability of a rate cut is still 70%, so it is still greater than 50%. It was 88% yesterday.

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

Most econ stats are surveys. Falling response rates are reducing accuracy, resulting in larger revisions. Gov't surveys, such as those conducted by the BLS, request personal information. Now, Fed scammers are doing the same (below). We need a new way to measure the economy.

Federal Reserve @federalreserve

3 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

And don't think for a minute that the public can distinguish between a Fed scammer and a legitimate BLS survey. Hang up on all of them.

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

We have been told that if the central bank cuts are not “too late,” long term rates fall, including mortgage rates. It did not happen in the US a year ago when the Fed cut and it’s not happening now in the UK (or throughout Europe). FYI, the Bank of England cut rates last week.

Richard Tice MP 🇬🇧 @TiceRichard

3 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

The last 125 bps of bank rate cuts by the BoE have seen the 10-year Gilt rise 87 bps. Cutting rates is NOT lower long rates!

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

Home prices have been 🚀 for years. The problem is not mortgage rates, it's inventory (not enough). Cut rates and home sellers raise prices, and monthly payments remain unchanged. The affordability problem remains. Greedy boomer homeowners get richer. How to fix…

Edward McKernan @EdwardMcKernan

3 weeks ago

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Jim Bianco @biancoresearch

3 weeks ago

The median home price in the United States in June 2025 was $415.2k (seasonally adjusted), a new record. It is up 51% from five years earlier, $273.9k in May 2020. This is the problem ... "the price is too damm high."