Legion @btc_legion
Investor. Mainly focused on BTC. Joined April 2021-
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When we want abnormal returns a mistake that can be made is assuming that means we need to take abnormal risk The sweetspot for risk is to take risk on positions but not at the portfolio level
People get confused by this but every holder is not the same Within #Bitcoin there are speculators and users and over time btc is transferred from speculators to users Like when banks were failing or now with geo political things - speculators sell but users add An overtime…
Financial markets are not the same as real world as financial markets are denominated in dollars and real world is denominated in people People in the real world can be struggling but the markets be up because there is more money then people Here is a hypothetical for you: If…
Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow GBTC US$ Flow: -124.9 million For all the data and disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-10 TOTAL NET FLOW: 123.7 (Provisional data) IBIT: 33.3 FBTC: 76.3 BITB: 24.3 ARKB: 7.3 BTCO: 0 EZBC: 0 BRRR: 0 HODL: 0 BTCW: 0 GBTC: -17.5 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-08 TOTAL NET FLOW: -223.8 (Provisional data) IBIT: 21.3 FBTC: 6.3 BITB: 40.3 ARKB: 9.3 BTCO: 0 EZBC: 0 BRRR: 0 HODL: 0 BTCW: 2.3 GBTC: -303.3 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Why is consolidation/chop/ time and price based capitulation so important to longer term success - eventhough these are considered negative individually? 1) You want the avg price held in aggregate of all users always as high as possible 2)This is because a high avg price…
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-05 TOTAL NET FLOW: 203 (Provisional data) IBIT: 308.8 FBTC: 83 BITB: 7.4 ARKB: 0 BTCO: 2.7 EZBC: 0 BRRR: 0 HODL: 0 BTCW: 0 GBTC: -198.9 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-03 TOTAL NET FLOW: 113.5 (Provisional data) IBIT: 42 FBTC: 116.7 BITB: 23 ARKB: 0 BTCO: 0 EZBC: 3.8 BRRR: 0 HODL: 0 BTCW: 3.1 GBTC: -75.1 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-01 TOTAL NET FLOW: -85.7 (Provisional data) IBIT: 165.9 FBTC: 44 BITB: 1.1 ARKB: -0.3 BTCO: 4.2 EZBC: 0 BRRR: 0 HODL: 2 BTCW: 0 GBTC: -302.6 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
The first iPhone commercial aired during the Oscars in 2007.
Writing about a decision forces you to put words to your blind spots, causing you to confront reality and see where you don't fully understand the process behind your decision.
“A big skill, if you want to play for a long time, is just being honest in assessing how you’re playing. If you wait until the coach tells you you’re not playing well, a lot of times it’s too late.” – Jason Spezza
The rising tide of #bitcoin
The earlier you are in your trading journey, the more you put Prediction above Risk Management. The more seasoned you become, the more you put Risk Management above Prediction.
.@naval's advice to 24-year-olds: spend more time on making the big decisions. 1. where you live 2. who you are with 3. what you are doing
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-03-28 TOTAL NET FLOW: 178.9 (Provisional data) IBIT: 95.1 FBTC: 68.1 BITB: 67 ARKB: 27.6 BTCO: EZBC: 0 BRRR: 6 HODL: 20 BTCW: 0 GBTC: -104.9 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
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“He’s a good trader, it’s Iran’s fault”
We overpay for safety in individual positions that are considered safe because thats what everyone seeks - as they dont know how to structure risk in a portfolio An therefore what you want to do is not expect a top bell curve outcome at the position level but by stacking risk…
When we want abnormal returns a mistake that can be made is assuming that means we need to take abnormal risk The sweetspot for risk is to take risk on positions but not at the portfolio level
People get confused by this but every holder is not the same Within #Bitcoin there are speculators and users and over time btc is transferred from speculators to users Like when banks were failing or now with geo political things - speculators sell but users add An overtime…
Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow Fidelity US$ Flow: 0 million For all the data and disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
@FinvestL @EleanorTerrett @DeatonforSenate @SenWarren They are only allowed to donate a certain amount each individual
@FarsideUK Please no more news like this, for the sake of our industry
Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow GBTC US$ Flow: -166.2 million For all the data and disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$ million) - 2024-04-11 TOTAL NET FLOW: 91.3 (Provisional data) IBIT: 192.1 FBTC: 4.6 BITB: 11.1 ARKB: 0 BTCO: 0 EZBC: 0 BRRR: 8.4 HODL: 0 BTCW: 0 GBTC: -124.9 DEFI: 0 For all the data & disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
@farnamstreet This sounds smart, but it’s likely not true. Circumstance (very important) AND incentives seem to play key roles in success, often even for the most extraordinary people. You need the right mix of both.
@farnamstreet Not true. There is a reason that certain countries have higher percentage of extremely successful people in certain fields.
@farnamstreet I'd say extraordinary individuals are more able to adapt, but the incentive system absolutely can make a huge impact on people.
More often than not, the person is the problem, not the incentive system. No incentive system turns mediocre into extraordinary.
Bitcoin ETF Flow - 11 April 2024 GBTC Outflow $125m
Its no coincidence that people operating on heuristics back from pre gold standard economics where money was more sound stopped working once governments started mass printing With sound money - markets crash downwards With weak money - markets crash upwards
Financial markets are not the same as real world as financial markets are denominated in dollars and real world is denominated in people People in the real world can be struggling but the markets be up because there is more money then people Here is a hypothetical for you: If…
Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow Franklin US$ Flow: 0 million For all the data and disclaimers visit: farside.co.uk/?p=997
Has anything generated as much fear recently as AI has? As far as technological advances?
@FarsideUK Here we go again. It's just a shit product and everybody wants to get out of GBTC...
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