Jorge Manuel Lopes @jmlopes2
@jmlopes2.bsky.social Vila Nova de Gaia Joined October 2009-
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Breaking: Final Israeli pre-election polls in three major TV channels: • Netanyahu coalition parties win 50 out of 120 Knesset seats. • The Bloc for Change gets 52-56 seats. • Eisenkot favored over Netanyahu as national leader by 6-10% gap. • The Arab parties (including Abbas’s party Raam with Jewish former police officer and MK Segalovitz) are projected to score about 16 seats. • Small non-bloc parties may or may not get the threshold of 4 seats. ==> My take: • Eisenkot and his partners will need the Arab parties to back them; hopefully as full coalition members rather than supportive outsiders. • The predicted 50 Netanyahu bloc seats are not what I would have liked in the aftermath of 7 October, but not all of its voters are bibists. The ultra Orthodox parties have their separate agenda. Eisenkot’s party scores better than Likud. • The polls can be very wrong, in either direction. And so much can still happen before and during 27 October. • The great election odyssey I mentioned in an earlier tweet, 70K Israelis flocking from abroad to vote, is of course not included in the polls. • For liberal democracy and some horizon for peace, this is probably the last stand. Fingers crossed.
“My hope is that they will invite the Arab parties — both of them, or even just one — to join this coalition, in the interests of the future of Israeli society.” en.gariwo.net/magazine/middl…
France: At the heart of the current protest there’s a noble cause, from a long pedigree of rallies and revolutions. It’s the demand for greater civil and social justice. Égalité But seldom has a noble cause been undermined to such a degree by unbridled street-level violence. My heart is with the peaceful demonstrators.
French intelligence expects 400,000—500,000 people to march across France tomorrow. Warns of likely attacks on public buildings and other symbols of the state plus "opportunistic looting". So a repeat of last Saturday expected. But with some shopkeepers organising their own
*The Great Election Odyssey* Israelis are not permitted to vote from other countries, except diplomats and ship crews. But myriads of citizens working or studying abroad are currently flocking to Israel for the 27 October election. To the tune of 70K incomers, and counting. This is worth at least 1 Knesset seat. Most of them are here to oust the Netanyahu regime. For some, this election will decide whether they can return to live in the country they still call home. (Bottom right: a member of my own little Oxford tribe)
I’ve seen a lot of abhorrent things on this app, but the immediate dismissal and ridicule by the British Left of a forthcoming government report on antisemitism towards Jewish children is just appalling. I naïvely thought that, when it came to children specifically, the usual suspects would be more empathetic (or at least more cautious), but alas. The abject cruelty is profoundly disturbing. Ironically, of course, they make the case for Zionism better than any Zionist ever could. Herzl is vindicated time and time and time again.
Things are moving so fast that everyone seems to have completely missed how insane it is that AI companies have been allowed to unleash agentic AI products with no regulatory guidelines.
SCOOP: Major U.S. banks are detecting unauthorized third-party AI agents inside customer accounts, including some attempting to take actions that appear to be independent of user instructions, sources told Axios. The findings have alarmed banking executives, who are racing to
Carmel Gat survived 11 months in Hamas captivity. She endured hunger, abuse and the darkness of Gaza’s tunnels. Then her captors, Hamas, murdered her. She was an innocent soul, yet they murdered her anyway.
Really glad the BBC is standing up for itself, in a way other US networks didn’t. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…
Israeli actress Sarai Givaty has filed a NIS 500,000 defamation lawsuit against UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese. Albanese shared a 3-second clip from a 2025 interview of Givaty, using the actress’s remarks to compare them to arguments used by Nazi officials in justifying the murder of children. In the lawsuit, Givaty states that the short clip was taken out of context, and not once did she call for the murder of children. Nevertheless, the post reached over 2 million views, resulting in death threats and harm to the actress’s career. How Albanese still has any affiliation with the UN is beyond me, but hopefully, for once, she can be properly held accountable.
The more you think about the New Statesman's decision to try and compare Sally Rooney to Salman Rushdie, the more abysmally stupid it becomes.
Plus her Japanese translator would have to be murdered, her Italian translator stabbed and her Norwegian publisher shot.
"La más siniestra victoria de Pedro Sánchez el próximo 29 de noviembre no sería ganar otra vez, sino que quien lo derrote, si eso ocurre, adoptara su desvergonzado manual de supervivencia". Es jueves, hay Patente de Corso. zendalibros.com/perez-reverte-…
“Yet something remarkable is happening”, I write here. “As Israel finally stumbles toward long-overdue elections in late October, despair has begun to give way to civic confidence, political imagination and even guarded excitement. That shift has received little attention abroad. International observers remain largely unaware—or worse, dismissive—of the constructive energies now stirring among Israeli liberals and moderates.”
In less than one week, Israelis will decide if Netanyahu stays or goes. Is a new Israel possible? @faniaoz has more. momentmag.com/day-after-isra…
“What can be undone, and what can’t?” My new article, @MomentMagazine Fall 2026 cover story. “The victims of October 7 will not return. Nor will the Palestinian civilians killed during the Gaza war. No election can erase those tragedies. But harmful laws can be repealed, democratic institutions restored, civic norms recovered.” momentmag.com/day-after-isra…
O romance Nação Crioula, de José Eduardo Agualusa, foi esta semana distinguido com o Prémio Iasnaia Poliana. Criado em 2003, o Prémio Iasnaia Poliana foi já atribuído pela prestigiada Fundação Lev Tolstói a Orhan Pamuk, Mario Vargas Llosa, Amos Oz, Julian Barnes, Yu Hua e Mo Yan.
Islamist terrorists tried to murder Salman Rushdie and everyone associated with The Satanic Verses. Who precisely is threatening to murder Sally Rooney and the staff at Faber & Faber? Yvette Cooper?
If you ever sought out the novels of Sally Rooney in bookshops – when that was still possible – you’d know they sit in the fiction stacks adjacent to the novels of another SR whose books have been withdrawn in dastardly political circumstances. Until last week, “Rooney” and
Netanyahu is shamelessly boasting of “returning all the hostages from Gaza”. Families of the 46 people returned in body bags are demanding that he remove their loved ones from his electoral campaign. 🖤
President Zelensky refusing to surrender 20% of his country to Russia is not an “obstacle.” Russia demanding 20% of Ukraine is. You’re welcome. And #SlavaUkraïni
She was only four when Trump said he would end the war in 24 hours. Just turned six when Musk decided to join Trump on Putin’s side and help the Kremlin killers murder her
At the funeral of one of the Ukrainian kids murdered by Russians this week, while the U.S. hobbled the country's defenses. Elizaveta Sorochyshyna, age 6. Relatives and friends left stuffed toys near her coffin. Elizaveta was one of three children among the 23 people killed by
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