Pavel|Robuxio @joshi9898_joshi
Algorithmic Crypto Trader | Trading robust portfolios of uncorrelated strategies for institutional and retail clients. Co-Founder & CEO @robuxio.com Read our esearch Joined June 2015-
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Traders are risk managers. We always have to think about the worst case scenarios. Do you remember May 19 2021? Average drop from open to low of the day was 60%! 200% allocation in longs would blow the entire account. In robustness tests it is always necessary to simulate…
Trading mindset often determines long-term profitability. Especially if you are trading robust trading models. This market update is all about properly set expectations:
1) Would you trade this portfolio? In 2020, there were 5 months when it was flat—no money made, just drawdowns.
Days in drawdown for well-diversified portfolio: 84% Longest drawdown period: 140 days Is it too much?
Depends on you expectations: The whole crypto market: 96% of the time The longest drawdown: 1168 days and counting...
Updated performance of new strategies that have been running in the incubation phase since May: The main reason for the development of these strategies was the possibility of participating in smaller price movements. I really like classic trend or momentum strategies. However,…
Updated performance of new strategies that have been running in the incubation phase since May: The main reason for the development of these strategies was the possibility of participating in smaller price movements. I really like classic trend or momentum strategies. However,… https://t.co/0XkL8GMijT
Do you know the requested profit from professional capital allocators? In crypto, 25-40% p.a. Most retail traders and investors have been set unrealistic short-term expectations by fake trading gurus. Is it possible to make more in crypto? With a well-diversified trading…
Expectation, expectations, expectations... Manage them properly and you're way ahead of the other retail traders. Why?
And what about 2024? Big pump up on the start of the year and then flat for 4 moths... Would you stop trading it after all these examples?
Do the drawdowns matter? Yes, as long as your expectations are set for monthly profits. Not so much if your expectations are correct and your investment horizon is 1 year +. Yes, portfolio trading brings great stability. However, the market conditions still need to be right to…
Buy BTC if C > MA(50) vs. buy and hold: Overperformance since 2018: 7X. Basic models work...
We finalize Robuxio alternative fund: We will be able to provide in-house capital management. The reasons: 1. Not everyone has the opportunity to open accounts on multiple exchanges and diversify. 2. Not everyone wants to deal with crypto exchanges. They only want exposure to…
I'm looking forward to presenting at this year's @TraderLion_ Conference! I will be speaking about algorithmic portfolio crypto trading. Main topics: - why are digital assets so interesting to trade - what is their profit potential - how to reduce trading account volatility…
Immature vs mature asset cycle It's always the same: Low liquidity = high volatility + big market inefficiencies Opportunities are huge. This environment brings a lot of new capital. Liquidity grows = volatility + inefficiencies are getting smaller Opportunities are smaller…
Volatility is the name of the game: The higher the volatility the better for us, traders. Broad crypto index is 8X more volatile than S&P 500. Add compounding effect and you have the reason for such a huge profit potential on digital assets.
Great results of trend following strategy: You know what the problem is?
Don't play fortune-teller! You have to test without bias. If you want to trade Top 10 coins, it must always be Top 10 for every single day in the test. Otherwise you are lying to yourself. And the differences can be truly staggering:
This is one of the most common mistakes I see: A trader chooses a set of coins to trade on because he likes their historical performance. But that has nothing to do with future performance. It's past performance. And we can't trade past data (unfortunately)...
That's how we trade at Robuxio in 2 minutes:
That's how we trade at Robuxio in 2 minutes:
Recently, we have been establishing more and more cooperation with institutional investors and professional capital providers. You know what's interesting? It turns out that our solution of trading a large number of relatively slow directional strategies is a huge advantage and…
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