Jeff Mendez @macro_observer0
Joined March 2020-
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Tinker is cool. If you're a researcher/developer, tinker dramatically simplifies LLM post-training. You retain 90% of algorithmic creative control (usually related to data, loss function, the algorithm) while tinker handles the hard parts that you usually want to touch much less…
Tinker is cool. If you're a researcher/developer, tinker dramatically simplifies LLM post-training. You retain 90% of algorithmic creative control (usually related to data, loss function, the algorithm) while tinker handles the hard parts that you usually want to touch much less…
Finally had a chance to listen through this pod with Sutton, which was interesting and amusing. As background, Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" has become a bit of biblical text in frontier LLM circles. Researchers routinely talk about and ask whether this or that approach or idea…
Finally had a chance to listen through this pod with Sutton, which was interesting and amusing. As background, Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" has become a bit of biblical text in frontier LLM circles. Researchers routinely talk about and ask whether this or that approach or idea…
How is it possible that Claude Sonnet 4.5 is able to work for 30 hours to build an app like Slack?! The system prompts have been leaked and Sonnet 4.5's reveals its secret sauce! Here’s how the prompt enables Sonnet 4.5 to autonomously grind out something…
People in crypto will say this is stupid and it probably is but that's missing the point. The point is: Wall Street is obsessed with stablecoins and they're right that by 2030 we'll have trillions onchain. One implication people haven't fully grokked yet is how much activity…
People in crypto will say this is stupid and it probably is but that's missing the point. The point is: Wall Street is obsessed with stablecoins and they're right that by 2030 we'll have trillions onchain. One implication people haven't fully grokked yet is how much activity…
That website refers church fathers quoted from the New Testament. To contextualize how unusual it is to be able to reconstruct the New Testament from early writings: we don't even have a full manuscript of the Iliad until 10th century AD. By contrast, the New Testament can be…
I don't know how it will go for Elon, but for midwit atheists like me (now Christian), there are stages: The first realization is that Christianity *works.* This leads to statements like "We need religion." When people say this, they mean other people need it, not them. "The…
I don't know how it will go for Elon, but for midwit atheists like me (now Christian), there are stages: The first realization is that Christianity *works.* This leads to statements like "We need religion." When people say this, they mean other people need it, not them. "The…
Here's a simpler write-up on the Contrarian Fusion Bet: Almost all approaches to fusion involve making a plasma extremely hot, and then confining it with magnetic fields, when really all you're interested in is making ions collide with each other at high speeds. These are…
Here's a simpler write-up on the Contrarian Fusion Bet: Almost all approaches to fusion involve making a plasma extremely hot, and then confining it with magnetic fields, when really all you're interested in is making ions collide with each other at high speeds. These are…
@CCrowley100 "Our culture is superior. Our culture is superior because our religion is Christianity and that is the truth that makes men free." "Somewhere in the last century, Western man suffered a catastrophic loss of faith—in himself, in his civilization, and in the faith that gave it…
my dream is to build this so i’m putting it out there. what does an "alt business school" look like? business school is broken. case studies from the 90s, professors who’ve never shipped, debt that takes a decade to crawl out of. it doesn’t answer the real question: how do…
NEWS: BYD has launched its next-generation battery energy storage system. It has a unit capacity of 14.5 MWh, the highest globally to date. The energy storage system achieves an ultra-large capacity of 10 MWh within a space equivalent to a 20-foot container, BYD said. For a 1…
@dwarkesh_sp Most people misunderstand books as data for pertaining when it’s more a set of prompts for synthetic data generation.
having a gf is insane because you can literally talk to her like it's a podcast
The Search for a Black-Scholes of Prediction Markets TLDR: - Options only took off once Black-Scholes gave traders a shared model for pricing risk. - Prediction markets lack that: no universal way to structure probabilities, hedge event risk, or map uncertainty. - A…
you cannot imagine how rigged your reality will become when prediction markets reach real liquidity the less likely something is to happen the greater incentive there is to make it happen, until every expectation is adequately hedged powerful traders will cause crises to cash…
you cannot imagine how rigged your reality will become when prediction markets reach real liquidity the less likely something is to happen the greater incentive there is to make it happen, until every expectation is adequately hedged powerful traders will cause crises to cash…
Huawei will focus on super nodes since it can't compete vs Nvidia on single chips: “Because of U.S. sanctions, we cannot manufacture our chips at TSMC, so our single-chip performance still lags behind NVIDIA. But Huawei has more than 30 years of experience in connecting people…
Huawei will focus on super nodes since it can't compete vs Nvidia on single chips: “Because of U.S. sanctions, we cannot manufacture our chips at TSMC, so our single-chip performance still lags behind NVIDIA. But Huawei has more than 30 years of experience in connecting people…
Terraforming Earth 🌱 Domestic robots are cool and all that, but there is much more to robotics than doing your laundry, going to Starbucks for you, walking your cat, etc. There are tech startups working on automating reforestation, and the greening of deserts. Planetary scale…
I don't think I'm exaggerating by saying that this truly is the US's Suez moment: Saudi Arabia just entered into a NATO-like alliance with Pakistan whereby "any attack on either country is an attack on both." The symbolic is extraordinary: Saudi Arabia was in many ways THE…
I don't think I'm exaggerating by saying that this truly is the US's Suez moment: Saudi Arabia just entered into a NATO-like alliance with Pakistan whereby "any attack on either country is an attack on both." The symbolic is extraordinary: Saudi Arabia was in many ways THE…
China’s SMIC Begins Trial Operation of 7nm DUV Equipment… Moving Away from ASML Dependence and Pushing Localization-FT According to the Financial Times, China’s largest foundry SMIC is currently trialing a deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machine developed by Shanghai-based…

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