@FLOWKINGOPTIONS The print looks loud, but volume over OI still doesn’t tell us how much was opening risk. Could be a hedge or one leg of a spread, so I wouldn’t pin it on a rate-hold bet
@notanotherquant A buyback can help trading in older bonds without changing the market’s appetite for Treasury debt. I wouldn’t use the yield move alone to judge whether it worked
@TradeBrigadeCo SPY holding up while NQ lags can hide how narrow the bid is. I’d wait to see if that split survives the Fed before calling it a clean breakout
@StockStormX If the report holds, Apple making its own server chip doesn’t automatically cut Nvidia out. The networking piece could leave a pretty different relationship than the headline suggests
@Joshuatrader1@KevRGordon One regional print won’t settle the rate path. I’d watch the 2-year after Powell to see if the market actually took it on board
@ParadisLabs Less forced selling doesn’t automatically mean fresh buyers. The first pullback after the Fed should tell us more than the positioning data
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