@Lord_Beesus@TNewsAU ALP is too strong in these seats to trail BOTH the greens and libs, we'd need a loss of 20+%. The libs aren't gaining many votes either because of ON (who preference the ALP ≈30%). ALP-GRN 2PP contests are inevitable in seats like Cooper, Fraser and Wills, which ALP would sweep
@Lord_Beesus@TNewsAU Cooper
ALP 42, GRN 25, LIB 15, ON 5, ALP-GRN 2PP 60-40
Fraser
ALP 43, GRN 25, LIB 17, ON 5, ALP-GRN 2PP 59-41
Macnamana
ALP 36, LIB 33, GRN 25, ON 3, ALP-LIB 2PP 62-38
Wills
ALP 36, GRN 35, LIB 13, ON 4, ALP-GRN 2PP 51-49
(Only doing Victoria bc word count)
@soyVelazquez11@FormulaPace@F1GuyDan If Checo was about to be lapped by Bottas in any race it would be quite obvious that something is up. They are neck-and-neck in terms of quality
@AussiesElectYT Wow the nats are dead
And if Barnaby Joyce is contesting New England that 2 seats is definitely down to 1
Hell just his presence in the campaign would give One Nation a win most likely
@PoliwaveEU It's ridiculous how much damage Saarikko's leadership of Keskusta has done for rural communities. We've fallen for the boogeyman in PS while they are selling thousands of acres of arable land to data centres which will also have the effect of sucking up all of our freshwater
@kurkkusalaattii@cytrusf1 To be fair to him the presidential election is basically just a popularity contest for who becomes the senior diplomat for Finland, and Stubb had the strongest CV
@FhisyG@lucianodnb_@AsymptoticAF@formularacers_@wearetherace You could easily find multiple instances of the majority of the grid 2025-now where they made mistakes that led to other crashing, I don't understand why it's different when it is him
Also 26 Japan just plainly wasn't his fault, that was how to maximize the ridiculous regs
@AustinPND69@RealAlbanianPat Yes, and BSW likewise. Popular creators love to talk out their ass about German politics but never read what the actual parties themselves are putting out, and it's quite frustrating
@RealAlbanianPat People really think BSW and AfD would work together like they haven't both taken a coalition with ANYONE (never mind each other) off the table
BSW would have zero to gain, it'd be Thuringen all over again but more farcical
@austinjpark@AndrewDahDude This isn't 100% correct, it's ranked-choice so the candidate who got the least votes get removed one-by-one until there are only 2 left. Quite often the top 2 don't actually end up being the final 2 candidates, take for example the Hunter electorate in 2025
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