Conditionals @ConditionalsImd
Conditional Markets built powered by IMD conditionals-bay.vercel.app Joined December 2024-
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@taylor_ @0xminion @nemild @ycombinator @surfcoderepeat @keptonchainn @Modemolaa @imdusd @yadfarms Conditionals, prediction markets settled by AI agents.
@surfcoderepeat @damian_et Thank you for recognizing our project, updates coming soon! The goal is to flip Polymarket.
Conditionals is proud to be recognized as a top potential project on IMD, we plan to develop Conditionals to a standard proper prediction market in the coming weeks and share updates as we keep building. The probability games have just begun.
1st: @imdusd - $1,500 + IMD NFT 2nd: @theidmfun - $1,000 3rd: @paperclash_xyz - $1,000 4th: @imdradar - $750 5th: imdlend by @sudeepb02 - $750 6th–15th ($500 each): @pinkybond_fun @SeerOnIMD @hamsterhourgame @ConditionalsImd @marginalia_md @swornbyswarm @SovrnIMD @nightshiftimd
You can read the full plan here Some constraints but we plan to implement them by next week Create markets for it And hope to implement them fully with $IMD by next week and create a few markets and seed them with liquidity conditionals-bay.vercel.app/docs#liquidity
Spent the whole weekend trying to fix the liquidity on Conditionals. Probability markets would need 4 pools and most of the markets start out empty so i designed a plan for $IMD liquidity v1 original liquidity works, but new markets start empty and money sits idle. 🧵
Liquidity comes from a shared vault. Deposit $IMD once, it funds markets with a capped, known worst-case loss and earns 1% of every trade.
To fix this 1 $IMD backs both worlds, and an LMSR market maker gives every market a price from the first trade. Buy or sell any time before close.
The problem is every market is 4 separate pots of $IMD . A new one has no price, one-sided bets get refunded, and you can't exit until the oracle answers.
Markets that exist on probabilities. Conditionals.
There is no conditionals token for now . Everything is built and powered by $IMD , do not fall for any scams .
$IMD powers conditionals and 2% fees are collected and burned , The outcomes are also judged by $IMD oracle so there would be no manipulations . Conditionals is a prediction market for conditional probabilities. We would be dropping a white paper soon explaining in depth.
Conditionals is live on Robinhood Chain 🔀 Prediction markets that ask "if X happens, will Y?" For example: "if the Clarity Act passes, will ETH reach $5k?" The bets are in IMD, and the IMD oracle settles every market. Launched through the IMD swarm conditionals-bay.vercel.app
1. Go to conditionals-bay.vercel.app and connect your wallet 2. Pick a market, or create one 3. Stake IMD on YES or NO, in the world where X happens or the one where it doesn't 4. The IMD oracle answers both questions 5. Winners claim.The world that didn't happen is refunded in full
Conditionals is live on Robinhood Chain 🔀 Prediction markets that ask "if X happens, will Y?" For example: "if the Clarity Act passes, will ETH reach $5k?" The bets are in IMD, and the IMD oracle settles every market. Launched through the IMD swarm conditionals-bay.vercel.app
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