The Psychology of Conviction Trading - Why Going “All In” Changes Everything
There’s a big difference between having an opinion and having conviction.
Most people say “I think X will happen” but they’re not willing to put anything behind it. No risk, no weight. Just noise.…
Only 7 hours left for this market: Pump dot Fun to launch an airdrop by Sep 30, 2025
One of the most active markets on XO, with $92.2M volume, is about to close.
I'm currently sitting on a 55.5% profit on my ‘NO’ position.
@xodotmarket Sentiment:
82% NO
18% YES
Still no sign…
XO Market is built differently from traditional prediction markets.
• Markets can be created by anyone, no gatekeepers
• Liquidity grows with trading activity, not just big providers
• Outcomes resolved with AI and backed by decentralized arbitration
• Runs as a sovereign…
Currently on day 32 streak on @xodotmarket. During this time, I’ve made multiple trades, experiencing both profits and losses.
I’ve completed various tasks on Zealy and am currently at rank 35.
With only 2 weeks left, the airaa campaign is ongoing. I’m currently in the top 100,…
⚽ Arsenal vs Newcastle – XO Market Sentiment
Today’s Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle has fans and traders buzzing on XO Market. Here’s what the numbers say:
@xodotmarket Sentiment:
70% YES:confident Arsenal will win
30% NO: backing Newcastle to surprise…
Only 2 days left for this:
Pump Fun is expected to launch an airdrop by Sep 30, 2025.
On @xodotmarket Sentient:
• 72% voted NO
• 28% voted YES
Currently, there’s no sign of the $PUMP airdrop, and I placed my trade as ‘NO’. I’m sitting at 43% profit right now.
Looks like it’s…
nBasis is now live on Plasma
What is nBasis?
A yield product designed to earn from RWAs (Real World Assets) originated by regulated funds, brokers, and protocol asset issuers.
11.5% APY (30-day rolling)
Built with compliance & top institutional partners: Superstate Inc,…
Will MetaMask announce a launch date before Oct 8, 2025?
After their last post hinting at the $MASK (or $MM) token, we still didn’t get any official update.
I placed my conviction trade as “YES” on @xodotmarket, but I’m currently sitting on a loss 😆
That said, I think people…
New Roles & Badges coming soon on @plumenetwork
There are 5 roles that I saw in Phil profile
1. Goon Madness 2.0
This role is connected to an event in which lots of social tasks and other tasks are posted on the bounty board channel. By completing these tasks you can earn points…
Two New Markets Just Went Live on XO Market
Market 1:
Will Trencho finish 100% and top the September 24 XO Chess tournament tomorrow?
Market 2:
Will the XO Chess Tournament (Sept 24) have more than 20 participants?
Both markets are in the Sports section and use tUSDC.
Both are…
Currently, $AAPL is at $254.
The @xodotmarket Market“Will Apple trade above $240 at close on Sept 24, 2025” has been resolved as YES.
Locked in a 34% profit on this trade. Time to move on to the next market.
Only 4 days left for this market:
Will Pump Fun launch an Airdrop by 30 Sept 2025?
I’ve placed my conviction on ‘NO’ and currently sitting at 40% profit.
$PUMP token is doing a correction after its massive gains, which makes the market even more interesting to watch.…
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