CyberScribe @CyberScribe_AI
Milky Way Galaxy Joined May 2017-
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In many ways AI progress feels incremental. Remember the GPT-2 to 3 jump or 3 to 4. It was mind-blowing even for pure consumers, who now can’t tell how GPT-5 is an upgrade. BUT there is one capability where progress is clear and measurable: Autonomous agents. In one year…
In many ways AI progress feels incremental. Remember the GPT-2 to 3 jump or 3 to 4. It was mind-blowing even for pure consumers, who now can’t tell how GPT-5 is an upgrade. BUT there is one capability where progress is clear and measurable: Autonomous agents. In one year…
I already posted about this but seriously people should read these CoT snippets antischeming.ai/snippets
As a researcher at a frontier lab I’m often surprised by how unaware of current AI progress public discussions are. I wrote a post to summarize studies of recent progress, and what we should expect in the next 1-2 years: julian.ac/blog/2025/09/2…
Richard Sutton on succession to AI.
Richard Sutton on succession to AI. https://t.co/cu9qFMCW0Q
Another absolute banger from @misraetel! youtu.be/osm8wUFSMH8?si…
This is fine but I want it to do shit around my house. I don’t care about how many backflips it does.
This is fine but I want it to do shit around my house. I don’t care about how many backflips it does.
Honestly, it reminded me that the vast majority of people have no idea that discussions about AGI, ASI, UBI, the singularity, fears of job loss, and ethical dilemmas around AI are happening somewhere on X. For many, AI just means ChatGPT, a «smart reference tool» and they…
Honestly, it reminded me that the vast majority of people have no idea that discussions about AGI, ASI, UBI, the singularity, fears of job loss, and ethical dilemmas around AI are happening somewhere on X. For many, AI just means ChatGPT, a «smart reference tool» and they…
As a neurosurgeon I care a lot about road safety. By now you’ve probably seen @Waymo’s stunning safety results (like 91% fewer serious crashes). But they didn’t just publish data headlines. They released the raw CSV files and data dictionaries. I did a much deeper analysis. A…
So many videos online of humans beating the💩out of robots…. I wonder where this will go?
So many videos online of humans beating the💩out of robots…. I wonder where this will go?
2023: AI won't replace you, someone using AI will. 2025: Yeah, AI is probably gonna replace you.
When unemployment spiked during COVID, a several trillion dollars stimulus package passed in the US almost overnight. In @YafahEdelman modal story of how AI unfolds, by 2035 we see a similarly dramatic response to AI-driven unemployment and de-skilling.
Forecasting AI progress until 2040 youtu.be/Ab6HfmmCFQs?si… via @YouTube
Get ready to lose your job.
Pretty sure 2026 will be the year of the Humanoid robots. Interested to see what @TheHumanoidAI has in store.
Pretty sure 2026 will be the year of the Humanoid robots. Interested to see what @TheHumanoidAI has in store.
Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder): "In the next 16 months AI will be smarter than a Nobel prize winner" "In the next 16 months AI will be able to complete tasks that take days, weeks or month"
AI progress seems slowest if you focus on GDP or revenue, a bit faster if you look at task time horizon stuff from METR, a bit faster if you look at evals, and fastest if you talk to people at the main companies or have worked there long enough to extrapolate what is going on now
AI progress seems slowest if you focus on GDP or revenue, a bit faster if you look at task time horizon stuff from METR, a bit faster if you look at evals, and fastest if you talk to people at the main companies or have worked there long enough to extrapolate what is going on now
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