ESTOFEX @Estofex
European Storm Forecast Experiment - A complete archive of ESTOFEX forecasts can be found at https://t.co/hEH1jE626U estofex.org Europe Joined April 2011-
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Due to the kinematically very impressive environment, a level 2 was issued across N Germany and NW Poland mainly for (strong) tornadoes and damaging wind gusts Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
An active severe weather situation is expected on Thursday with tornadoes and severe wind gust being the primary threats. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Numerous areas with potential for severe weather are forecast on Sunday. There are a number of uncertainties in many areas, including the effects of the dust on the solar insolation. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Lvl 2 has been issued for damaging wind gusts and tornadoes across NW France and BENELUX. Read more at estofex.org Please also note that ESTOFEX covers the contribution of convective storms to severe weather.
A late-season severe weather outbreak is forecast across the E Aegean Sea, W and S Turkey and possibly also over Cyprus. Numerous rounds of storms are forecast with multiple different hazards. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Another Saturday, another severe weather situation over parts of Greece, Turkey and Bulgaria. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Definitely a high-end day tomorrow concerning severe weather. The highest potential for extremely severe storms will exist in a belt from NW Turkey through E Bulgaria to E Romania. Read more in the forecast: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
On Monday, severe weather primary in the form of heavy convective rainfall is forecast across parts of Italy, large hail threat will be present especially in the western Lvl 2. Tornado threat conditional on the presence of surface-based storms. Read more: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
A fast-moving short-wave trough and a cold front will move from the Balearic Sea towards the Adriatic Sea and SE Europe. Heavy rainfall will be dominant at the N edge of the threat areas with wind and tornado risk increasing further S. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Severe weather expected to continue across parts of the Mediterranean on Saturday. One difference to the previous days is the availability of high CAPE and thus also increase in the threat of large to very large hail. Read more: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Active convective weather will continue across S France, Italy and the eastern Adriatic Sea coastline tomorrow. Very strong low-level wind shear is forecast especially over the northern part of Italy. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Low CAPE, high shear situation is forecast tomorrow across parts of central Europe. The main severe weather hazard will be severe wind gusts. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
On Sunday, the highest risk of severe weather is forecast in a belt from N Greece to Romania with all hazards possible and main risks being very large hail and damaging wind gusts. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
On Friday, severe weather is expected especially over Corsica, Italy, W Slovenia and W Croatia. All hazards will be possible in this quite complex setup. Make sure you read the whole forecast here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
A large part of Europe may experience severe convective storms on Sunday! All hazards will be possible in a belt from E Spain to N France. For details, read the forecast here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Forecast for Tuesday. High risk of dangerous flash flooding is expected over Greece with "persistent easterly onshore and upslope flow of very moist and at least slightly unstable air from the Aegean Sea" as written in the forecast. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
A new forecast was issued with a level 2 risk across the Baltic States, where all hazards may occur, and across Tunisia, where hail and flash floods are the greatest risk. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Both warm and cold front will bring some severe weather on Tuesday. Bow-echo with severe wind gusts seems likely over Poland. It is uncertain whether any surface based supercells will form along a warm front, where impressive hodographs can be found. Text: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
Another big storm day tomorrow across several parts of Europe, but the Western Mediterranean and Western Alps in particular. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
A triple Lvl 3 for Saturday! Severe storms are expected in a large belt from E Spain through N Italy, S Germany, Czechia into Poland. Lvl 3 areas highlight the regions with the highest threat of extremely severe storms. Read more here: estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygo…
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Severe weather in Denmark, lots of flooding in Slagelse. DK @DECGNwx I'll post some more later
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