Watkins vs Ipswich (A)
Watkins has picked up five goal involvements in his last four games having blanked in the first two matches of the season.
Watkins only averages 2 AA per match over the last 6 months and I think this comes down to his number of Big Chances Missed. Watkins has had the most big chances this season in the league with 10 (tied with Haaland). Haaland has scored 10 goals while Watkins has 7 big chances missed, also top in the league.
Last season was much of the same, Watkins had 33 big chances in the whole season but missed 22 of them.
The big difference was however Watkins scored 19 goals and assists 18. 1 goal involvement per his 37 games.
Watkins is slightly underperforming his xG of 3.19 with 3 goals but a trip to Ipswich could see him improve this rate.
Ipswich are top of the league for xG conceded with 11.1 but have only conceded 8. This means they are either a better defence than the average at keeping out these chances or have been lucky.
Rice vs Leicester (H)
In the three games that Rice has played 90 this year (not including City) he has averaged 20 AA.
In the cup this midweek he scored a goal and provided an assist. He did this during the international break and posted 100.
Leicester give up an average of 55 for players in Rice’s position. Arsenal have scored from set pieces in their last two league games and Rice is a regular corner taker and this could be an area where Leicester could be found weak.
All of his 3 shots he has taken this year have been inside the box and he has created one big chance without scoring or providing an assist.
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