First look of 2026-27 basketball season now available at JThom Analytics. 37 teams have >80% probability to make the NCAA Tournament. Last season, all 22 teams identified as >80% probability in the preseason actually made the tourney. Find details here: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/see…
See current CFP probabilities for top teams as compared to preseason one month ago. Florida, Alabama and Utah have risen the most while Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Oregon have dropped the most. More details at jthomanalytics.com/football/cfp/?…
Analysis of multi-bid probabilities for CFP of the Big 12 and ACC conferences. Each conference currently has around a 1 in 3 chance to receive multiple bids. See additional information here: jthomanalytics.com/football/conf-…
LSU currently has 28% probability to make SEC conf champ game. With win vs Ole Miss that increases to 36% (drops to 17% with a loss). For CFP, LSU 75% with win and 46% with loss; Ole Miss is 40% to CFP with win and 16% with loss. More details here: jthomanalytics.com/football/whati…
In Group of 6, BSU has highest probability to make CFP; Memphis 6th. Big probability swings based on today's game. BSU (26% chance now) up to 31% with win or down to 9% with loss. Memphis - 6% now - will end at 4% or 12%. More details at link: jthomanalytics.com/football/whati…
New feature - in Season Info tab see Biggest Upsets, Best Wins, and Worst Losses for past week, 2 weeks, 4 week or the season.
jthomanalytics.com/football/seaso…
Last night UMass won their most difficult projected game of the season and Rutgers lost their 2nd easiest projected game.
See how your favorite team’s schedule stacks up here: jthomanalytics.com/football/compa…
New feature - Game Impact for current week games. Select team to see which impact their CFP chances. For Notre Dame their game is most critical - next biggest swings are UTEP/OU; Miami/Stanford; and N Texas/Indiana.
See summary for your team here: jthomanalytics.com/football/whati…
Below are 4 teams with highest probability to win college football conference championship - based on preseason ratings.
See more details here: jthomanalytics.com/football/conf-…
Preseason college football projections loaded at JThom Analytics. Summary below of performance last season vs preseason CFP probabilities. All playoff teams were in the top 36 playoff probabilities. Is your team among the top 36 this preseason?
jthomanalytics.com/football/seed/…
First look at projections for 2026-27 football season at jthomanalytics.com using pre-season rating projections. Big 12 is conference most likely to join Big Ten and SEC as multi-bid leagues in playoff.
New feature: Next Game Preview. From team page, on Schedule Chart click Preview to access key stats, information and probability impacts related to the next matchup. Sample of output provided for today’s top 15 matchup between Kansas and Arizona. Follow link to check your team’s preview: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Big implications for Big Ten showdown. Winner of MSU-Purdue likely to end top 4 in Big Ten and bye to conference tournament quarterfinals. Loser likely to be 5th or worse, forcing a Thursday game on Championship Week. In NCAA - win likely leads to one seed line improvement for each team vs a loss. See summaries for other games: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/wha…
New feature: Next Game Probability Impact. See how your team’s conference and NCAA tournament seeding probabilities change depending on whether they win or lose their next game. Featured here are outcomes for the 4 teams participating in ranked matchups today (Houston, Kansas, UNC and Louisville). Follow link in profile to see projections for your team: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/wha…
Most likely to have 1 or 2 bid stealers this year. Only 4 conferences with expected at large bids have teams with >1% probability of winning those conference tournaments. This assumes Miami(OH) earns at large bid - if that is not the case most likely to have only 1 or 0 bid stealers. Follow link for more details: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/con…
Arizona/Houston is huge game for Big 12 conference tourney seeding. Houston with 78% probability of 1 seed with win and 10% with loss. Arizona - 63% probability of 1 seed with win and 4% with a loss.
Also - announcing conference specific tiebreaker logic (before all followed Big 12 logic). Create your own what if scenarios here: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/wha…
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