Liberty 💚🥃 @LibertyRPF
OSV | I write about business & investing 🏦 💰, science & technology 🧪🔬, and the arts 👉 https://t.co/1cGQKu5z98 (free 1x/week, podcast, 22,900+ subscribers) LibertyRPF.com Subscribe here → Joined October 2013-
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This cognitive hack will never cease to amaze me: Whenever I have a coding problem, or a design problem, or a story problem - something that definitely requires a discrete yet creative solution - and I can't work through it at all, I do this: I go to bed, but as I'm falling…
Looking at Capex to Gross Profit (to normalize for biz models; I deduct fulfillment expense from AMZN) for GOOG/AMZN/META/MSFT. From 2017 to 2024, Capex/GP is surprisingly only up from 23.2% to 25.8%. MSFT: 13% -> 26% GOOG: 20% -> 22% AMZN: 48% -> 26.7% META: 19% -> 29.7%
GERMAN OFFICIALS FALSIFIED EXPERT ADVICE TO MISLEAD ON NUCLEAR LIFE EXTENSIONS German officials blocked the legally-required release of crucial documents for twenty months to avoid this story coming out. Journalist @dg_graeber pursued in court and then sifted for weeks through…
GERMAN OFFICIALS FALSIFIED EXPERT ADVICE TO MISLEAD ON NUCLEAR LIFE EXTENSIONS German officials blocked the legally-required release of crucial documents for twenty months to avoid this story coming out. Journalist @dg_graeber pursued in court and then sifted for weeks through… https://t.co/539AI6bb3F
I still really like how Roper will break out organic, M&A, and FX for each division of the company. More companies should report things like that:
Google has had its fair share of skeptics, including yours truly. While the stock price used to embed some tension about Search's future, following AH rally it appears that $GOOG is finally priced as "AI winner". Here’s my highlights from earnings: mbi-deepdives.com/goog1q24/
🚨 New podcast alert 🚨 @jimmyasoni, author of "The Founders", stopped by to tell the fascinating origin story of PayPal. This one is PACKED with fintech history and some great anecdotes, so grab your 🎧 Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/0Vrex1… Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/s7-…
Frederik Christopher .. @NeckarValue
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132K Followers 2K Following Equity Analyst. I publish one in-depth research on a public company every month. Subscribe: https://t.co/bBHyta1OmyLawrence Hamtil @lhamtil
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13K Followers 1K Following Because I am an innocent man. This is the end of the innocence. Not investment advice. Do your own work. Relentlessly pragmatic. You are all “Pedo Guys”.Mike @NonGaap
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223 Followers 6K Following “I would say I am exactly like a ship carrying a cargo that will never reach any port. As long as I am alive, that ship will always be at sea, so to speak”Kevin Stevens 🔋⚡.. @kevindstevens
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64 Followers 421 Following You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.”Gonzalo Martin @qualitysnowball
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0 Followers 10 FollowingMa'moon Ali - مأم�.. @Mamoon89
3K Followers 308 FollowingFrederik Christopher .. @NeckarValue
85K Followers 1K Following at the intersection of Money and a Meaningful life master money before it masters youJerry Capital @JerryCap
41K Followers 564 Following Not selling anything. Not investment advice. My personal but public journal. Arguing with you to spare my family. DMs open. DM a mutual friend to unblock.Brandon Beylo @marketplunger1
73K Followers 2K Following Writer | Investor | Listener || ~ There are no great businesses, only great bets. Nothing you read here is investment advice. Read 👉 https://t.co/rVOdJUnxQIPythia Capital, Baron.. @PythiaR
54K Followers 688 Following Multibillionaire space pirate. CIO of Vader Capital LP. Activist engagements include Jeddha and Alderaan.Gavin Baker @GavinSBaker
126K Followers 4K Following Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. Barbarian, Diablo 4. Warlock, Destiny 2. No investment advice, views my own.Mostly Borrowed Ideas @borrowed_ideas
132K Followers 2K Following Equity Analyst. I publish one in-depth research on a public company every month. Subscribe: https://t.co/bBHyta1Omymodest proposal @modestproposal1
100K Followers 807 Following I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection. https://t.co/NuC25VaSffLawrence Hamtil @lhamtil
31K Followers 2K Following Business collector🚬🏋️♂️🛩️. Tweets are not financial advice & should not be construed as solicitations. They are for informational purposes only.Alex Morris (TSOH Inv.. @TSOH_Investing
55K Followers 4K Following Founder of the TSOH Investment Research Service Long-term equity research and 100% portfolio transparency https://t.co/AVAjy2LgI1Bill Brewster @BillBrewsterTBB
48K Followers 2K Following “I know this game got valleys and peaks; Expectations for dips; For precipitation we stack chips, hardly.” Be curious, not judgmental. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.Mike @NonGaap
32K Followers 2K Following Mostly tweet about investing, governance, strategy, board dynamics, & random equity research topics. DM open..Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre
23K Followers 530 Following I invest in unrecognized/underappreciated excellence. "Trying to spot a great manager remains a game very much worth playing". Mostly small capsLeandro @Invesquotes
42K Followers 725 Following Research on high-quality companies at Best Anchor Stocks and Invirtiendo en Calidad. All links below. Spanish account: @InvEnCalidadTrevor Scott . AI @TidefallCapital
33K Followers 1K Following No Management Fee. No Closet Indexing. Just Investing. Tweets are not investment advice.T-Val🧃 @valueterminal
27K Followers 3K Following Lapsed CFA Charterholder; shamanic aesthetician; cruise ship Zumba instructor; 20 years of experience with ChatGPTAlex Hormozi @AlexHormozi
627K Followers 108 Following Day Job: I invest and scale companies at https://t.co/gQN7OehYd2 | Co-Owner, Skool. Side Hustle: I make content showing how we do it. Grab my new book here ⬇️Kyle Chan @kyleichan
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4K Followers 2K Following Making Beautiful Books for Indie Authors at OtterpineBen Wilson @BenWilsonTweets
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1K Followers 355 Following 🌌 Gazing at the $CSU Constellation Software universe one insight at a time. 🇨🇦Small-Caps📈 $TOI.V Topicus $LMN.V Lumine Group💙 of 🏒⛳️ 🔭 🎶Nick Tawil @nicktawil
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1K Followers 1K Following Here for: Finance, Business & Investing. Friend of the FinTwit Community 🤝. I'm also that guy that'll strike up a conversation with you on the airplane 🙂 OSVIf you haven’t seen @falloutonprime, I really recommend it. It’s really entertaining and well done. Not simple to take an amazing video game and translate it to a series in a way that’s compelling and true to itself. Customer response has been pretty amazing thus far. After just…
Not sure I have ever heard a CEO talking about negative synergies of their acquisitions, but it's probably a good sign if the CEO feels comfortable sharing it. Good interview of $XPEL CEO.
@natfriedman A chatbot that doesn't moralize.
@LibertyRPF It went well! I'll write down some thoughts and advice I picked up and send them your way in the morning
@borrowed_ideas Well when I say lower quality I’m just saying FCF conversion is going to be lower. On growth vs maintenance, I take a different view. I don’t think it matters. We should look at all capex as the same: the value we get as owners is what is left over plus whatever growth is…
@JohnHuber72 @borrowed_ideas Capex runs ahead of depreciation (2x higher for Meta for example) so it follows that earnings are overstated, but it’s not clear if they are over or under earning on a cash flow basis unless you take an opinion of growth capex. The maintenance vs growth capex matters because…
Fave part of “Office Space” is when the Bobs interview Bill Lumbergh. They hit him with “Peter is a straight shooter with upper middle management written all over him.” Then at (0:29) in this vid, one Bob has to hold the other Bob back when Bill disagrees.
More notes on big tech earnings quality, GAAP and FCF. Asset growth at these companies has been so extreme & so recent (PP&E up 3x in 5 yrs) that I'm not sure it's fully appreciated. Great businesses, but $200b of annual capex is likely a headwind to ROICs:
One counterpoint to this idea that intangible investments are causing GAAP earnings to be understated at companies like $MSFT... Their capex is far greater than their D&A currently (e.g. MSFT D&A is ~15b but they will spend 50b+ on capex this year). So perhaps the R&D spend…
@JohnHuber72 isn't the debate entirely on what's maintenance vs growth capex here? I don't think neither side (bulls or bears) can be confident about answering that but I think it may be bit of a stretch to say the earnings is lower quality. Unless the depreciation schedule proves to be quite…
Recording a new Smart Friends with @FoundersPodcast and @baldridgecpa today -- some of my favorite episodes. Will be incredible to look back on over the years.
@LibertyRPF At least in tech, the exit isn’t to IPO, which is too hard, it’s too sell to Google, Apple, etc … you want to go after antitrust and think the big companies are too big … then make it easier to IPO
@LibertyRPF Sarbanes dramatically increased regulation of public companies, and I believe there was a 2018 law that sharply deregulated private markets. Honestly I would like the US gov to reevaluate this, more public companies are good.
THREE MILE ISLAND COULD RETURN TO NUCLEAR SERVICE TO POWER AI REVOLUTION Three Mile Island, famous for a meltdown in 1979 in Unit 2 but with the reactor at Unit 1 in operation until 2019, could return to service in coming years. TMI closed due to cheap natural gas prices and…
VOGTLE 4 ENTERS SERVICE: PLANT VOGTLE OFFICIALLY NOW USA'S LARGEST Vogtle 4, a Westinghouse AP1000 reactor, has now entered full service. This means that with four large reactors, Vogtle will pass Palo Verde's three large reactors in Arizona as the largest power plant in the…
The romantic narrative that hunter gatherers only “worked” 15-20 hours a week to acquire their food and the rest of their time in rest and leisure never made sense to me. When I was 18, following a romantic neo-luddite idea of going back to the land, I moved to the Yukon…
Extreme Couponing (TLC, 2010-2012) was by far the best TV show on the topic of female autism
Wrote a White Mirror story about this..
If birth rates continue to plummet, human civilization will end youtu.be/Pb8fX30QuR0?si…