B.S. Econ & Math from @BinghamtonU | Interested in fiscal-monetary interactions, self-insurance, monetary theory, and banking.profiles.stanford.edu/sid-gundapaneni New York / Palo AltoJoined February 2020
New episode! Jon Hartley on the Legacy of John Taylor and his New Measure of R-Star
@Jon_Hartley_ and @DavidBeckworth question if we are leaving the era of sticky prices?
Some peoples’ incorrect view of what economists do may be because we don’t teach them what economists (especially macro) actually do!
Fixing undergrad Econ may be crucial for repairing the name of economics. People see IS-LM and they see a hand wavey field lacking rigor.
Some peoples’ incorrect view of what economists do may be because we don’t teach them what economists (especially macro) actually do!
Fixing undergrad Econ may be crucial for repairing the name of economics. People see IS-LM and they see a hand wavey field lacking rigor.
Exactly. This reminds of a point that I believe Sargent made in a conversation some years ago: the math is simple compared to the complexity of the phenomena that economics tries to model
Exactly. This reminds of a point that I believe Sargent made in a conversation some years ago: the math is simple compared to the complexity of the phenomena that economics tries to model
Mainstream economics does not “rely on calculus to optimize.” It assumes people have objectives and that they act on those objectives, subject to constraints. If one would rather understand/interpret behavior by assuming people have no objectives or constraints, feel free. 😇
Mainstream economics does not “rely on calculus to optimize.” It assumes people have objectives and that they act on those objectives, subject to constraints. If one would rather understand/interpret behavior by assuming people have no objectives or constraints, feel free. 😇
Many predicted a slowdown much larger than we’re observing. We should still not rule out future softening.
But one possible rationalization of the robust growth numbers: Fed and treasury have both been accelerating short debt issuance for ~2 years.
Is the Quantity theory back?
Here are FOMC members views on where the FFR should be at year end.
Avoiding groupthink is great but I really hope that all of those dots--including that outlier at the bottom calling for five cuts at the the next two meetings--reflects independent thought and not orders.
Impact of tariffs on inflation rate is complicated. If monetary policy accommodates tariff shock, then a burst of inflation is possible. Offsetting this effect is policy uncertainty, which has likely had a deflationary effect so far. Fed just has to keep monitoring situation.
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