Moneeb Mir @MoneebMir

@AsmaKhawaja5 It talks about how regional states are inclined toward a different security order. However, there are fears of further divisions among regional powers following the Iran war. Therefore, it remains to be seen what kind of region the Iran war will leave behind.

@AsmaKhawaja5 I recently wrote on the topic for a Turkish Think Tanks. tasam.org/en/Icerik/7549…

My analysis, “The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement: Middle Powers Hedging Through Strategic Complementarities,” published on 11 August, highlights six key insights 👇 1️⃣ The principal strategic value of the Mecca Agreement is not the immediate aggregation of military power, but the creation of interoperability, resilience and strategic depth across multiple theatres. 2️⃣ Its significance lies in the fact that the three signatories operate within distinct regional security complexes and different threat environments. 3️⃣ What unites them is a shared political vocabulary centred on sovereignty, resistance to external coercion and opposition to perceived strategic domination or oppression. 4️⃣ The signatories are constructing overlapping partnerships that enhance their strategic autonomy and strategic advantages. 5️⃣ Middle powers increasingly seek to become producers of security, not merely consumers of defence alliances. The Mecca Agreement may therefore represent a response to uncertainty through the creation of durable and reliable political conditions for reshaping contemporary security architecture. 6️⃣ The pact may eventually contribute to a layered security architecture** in which **US power, NATO connections, GCC arrangements and regional coalitions coexist. The broader takeaway: middle powers are increasingly hedging through strategic complementarities to expand their autonomy and shape the evolving security order. #Mecca #Defence #Saudia #Pakistan #Turkey @ciss_ajk @Rabs_AA @RadioactiveFrnd For complete analysis click follow⬇️ strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk/?p=23538

My take on the Mecca Agreement

TASAM @TASAMorg

2 months ago

The Region’s Middle Powers’ Quest for a New Security Order | Moneeb MIR Link > kisa.link/FCoSZ #regional #power #building #cooperation

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@RadioactiveFrnd No amount of unilateral posturing can alter the truth that Jammu and Kashmir is a disputed territory, as recognized by the UN. International law cannot be rewritten by daydreaming.

@s_m_marandi If they had the capability and capacity to do it, they would have done it. They are overstretched, with depleted weaponry, shrinking their fake bravado. Escalation from here would only accelerate the destruction of the American bloody empire. They are already exposed and frail.

@MoneebMir @ciss_ajk @AsmaKhawaja5 @AbdulKashar @AbdulBa34671597 it accelerates the arms race, erodes strategic stability, and incentivizes hardline posturing in India’s domestic politics. With missile ranges now exceeding 12,000 km, the implications are no longer regional they’re setting off alarm bells in Western capitals as well.

The Indian Agni VI system with a range of 12000 kms is a threat to all major powers, China, Russia and even the United States. The development of such a destructive system is the act of an irresponsible and reckless state, that wants to pose a challenge to the rest of the world.

India. ICBM. Ready. Range: enough to reach the West and around the globe. Warheads: multiple. Deterrence: "minimum." Sure thing. 🙂 @ZohaibCISSAJK @NimrahJaved_ @AbdulBa34671597 @Second_Strike01 @AbdulKashar

Dr. Asma Shakir Khawaja @AsmaKhawaja5

6 months ago

On May 1, 2026, Indian DRDO officially confirmed an Agni-VI program of 12,000 km range. 1. Pertinent Question on Agni-VI is "Who is the target?" 2. Pakistan and China are already within range of Agni-III/IV/V. 3. A 12,000 km ICBM (Agni-VI) covers all of Europe, Africa, and

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Post-Op Sindoor, India quietly signals it's ready for Agni-VI, nuclear-capable, MIRV-armed, with 10,000km+ range. The neighborhood isn't the target anymore. The West & the World should probably pay attention. @ciss_ajk @AsmaKhawaja5 @Second_Strike01 @AbdulKashar @AbdulBa34671597

Zahir Kazmi @ArmsConAdvisor

6 months ago

🛡️ DRDO Chairman Kamat confirmed: India is “ready” for Agni-VI ICBM development witch’s a nuclear-capable beast with speculated 10-12,000 km range & MIRV warheads. Enough to reach Europe, US & Canada. Govt nod pending. Who is this really for? Pakistan & China are already covered

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Beyond deterrence, Agni-VI has domestic political utility for the Modi government. High-end missile capabilities signal technological prowess, project national strength, and reinforce a prestigious identity to domestic audiences. In this sense, Agni-VI is as much about India’s global aspirations as it is about seeking recognition as an anxious power. #modi4peoplescapital

@DRDO_India Chairman Samir V. Kamat has reportedly said that India is ready to move ahead with the #Agni-VI programme whenever the government gives approval. This statement is important because Agni-VI is likely to have a range of around 12,000 km. If this range is achieved, India would move closer to a true intercontinental missile capability. Several factors explain India’s interest in ICBM development. First, India’s missile thinking is no longer limited to Pakistan or China. A longer-range missile gives India a wider strategic reach and supports its image as a rising global power. Second, India already has a strong space programme. Space rockets and long-range missiles are not the same, but they share some knowledge, such as propulsion, guidance, heat protection, and long-distance flight control. This gives India a technical base for future ICBM ambitions. Third, Agni-VI also has a domestic for political meaning @narendramodi. Advanced missiles create prestige at home. They show technological success, national strength, and great-power identity. So Agni-VI is about India’s global ambition and its desire to be treated as a major power. @AsmaKhawaja5 @ciss_ajk @IndiaToday @Second_Strike01 @Nimra_Javed_ @Tabsstrat @RimshaM62719126 @MoneebMir @engr__sehrish @ciss_ajk @IAF_MCC #india

DRDO: Agni-VI ICBM ready, 12,000km range with MIRVs. Can hit US/Canada/Europe. China & Pakistan already covered by current missiles, so who’s the target? #GlobalSecurity #AgniVI

On May 1, 2026, Indian DRDO officially confirmed an Agni-VI program of 12,000 km range. 1. Pertinent Question on Agni-VI is "Who is the target?" 2. Pakistan and China are already within range of Agni-III/IV/V. 3. A 12,000 km ICBM (Agni-VI) covers all of Europe, Africa, and North America. It is a capability beyond “minimum credible deterrence” and regional threat perception. 4. India’s draft 1999 doctrine cites “credible minimum deterrence.” A US/Canada-range ICBM suggests movement toward “extended deterrence” or “global power projection.” This breaks the “regional deterrence” logic used to justify India’s 1998 tests and 2008 NSG waiver. 5.Notably, no state currently threatens India at 12,000 km range. Therefore, capability would be seen as “status-driven,” not "threat-driven." 6. Islamabad would link a new ICBM to the risk-acceptance pattern demonstrated during operation sindoor. The pattern is: Conventional strikes + expanded nuclear reach = crisis instability. 7. Agni-VI with MIRV compounds warhead growth potential. 8. Indian ICBM is moving from “minimum” to “flexible response” posture, forcing Pakistan into costly counter-buildup. 9. NSG waiver 2008 exempted India from NPT/CTBT. Agni-VI without additional safeguards reinforces “exceptionalism” rules for others, and waivers for India. 10. It enables “compellence” against distant states or gives India escalation dominance in regional crises. 11. Combined with “Cold Start” doctrine and public “enter their house” statements, Pakistan reads long-range MIRV as lowering threshold for India to absorb first strike and retaliate globally. 12. 1 vs 3-10 warheads changes first-strike stability math. 13. Canisterized/road-mobile vs silo. Mobile = survivable second strike = more offensive potential. An Agni-VI at 12,000 km is not about China or Pakistan as they’re already covered. It is; a. "Status signaling" to enter US/Russia/China ICBM club; b. "Insurance" against future US/Western pressure; c. "Doctrinal expansion" from regional deterrence to global power projection. #Indiawantsanswer #IndiaOut #India #modidrama #Bharat #BJP #RSS #DRDO @ciss_ajk @CISSS_Karachi @bttn_quetta @RadioactiveFrnd indianmasterminds.com/news/defence/d…

🛡️ DRDO Chairman Kamat confirmed: India is “ready” for Agni-VI ICBM development witch’s a nuclear-capable beast with speculated 10-12,000 km range & MIRV warheads. Enough to reach Europe, US & Canada. Govt nod pending. Who is this really for? Pakistan & China are already covered by existing arsenal. In a nuclear South Asia, after Op Sindoor’s boldness, a Hindutva-driven push for global strike capability? The West watching this “minimum deterrence” stretch? #AgniVI #StrategicShift m.economictimes.com/news/defence/d… @RadioactiveFrnd @orfonline @EconomicTimes @bttn_quetta @ciss_ajk @ciss_ajk @dratiaalikazmi @arooj_kaz

Compelling observation. The Agni-VI represents a shift from 'Regional Containment' to 'Intercontinental Reach.'

Zahir Kazmi @ArmsConAdvisor

6 months ago

🛡️ DRDO Chairman Kamat confirmed: India is “ready” for Agni-VI ICBM development witch’s a nuclear-capable beast with speculated 10-12,000 km range & MIRV warheads. Enough to reach Europe, US & Canada. Govt nod pending. Who is this really for? Pakistan & China are already covered

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Pakistan’s EO-3 launch marks a leap in indigenous space capability. Beyond earth imaging, its AI-powered processing, multi-geometry payloads, and energy storage enable smarter data use, boosting agriculture, climate tracking, disaster response, and national planning for faster decisions. Space tech is now core to Pakistan’s state capacity and long-term power. It is Pakistan's move from imaging to intelligence. EO-3 is more than a satellite: it’s a statement of capacity embedding space technology into national development and strategic power. @ciss_ajk @RadioactiveFrnd @ACDC_ISSI @UNIDIR @GlobPeaceIndex @UNDPPA @IST_org #SUPARCO

Zohaib Altaf @ZohaibCISSAJK

6 months ago

Pakistan’s successful launch of the indigenous EO-3 satellite marks an important step in the country’s space development. Its value is not limited to earth imaging. The satellite’s advanced payloads, including multi-geometry imaging, energy storage, and onboard AI-powered data

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My latest for @ipi_pk

IPI Pakistan @ipi_pk

6 months ago

In IPI's latest Strategic File, @MoneebMir of @ciss_ajk argues that Trump’s ceasefire hint suggests escalation with Iran may cost more than it can achieve, risking global shocks via the Strait of Hormuz: ipi.org.pk/the-cost-of-es…

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Whoever sides with the oppressed over the oppressor will be with me as my companion in Paradise. The Prophet (S) Bihar al-Anwar, vol. 75, p. 359 #Iran

Pakistan’s concerns over unsafeguarded indigenous nuclear reactors in India cannot be overlooked. With several facilities remaining outside International Atomic Energy Agency oversight, risks of fissile material diversion and regional imbalance persist. @AsmaKhawaja5

Rafael Mariano Grossi @rafaelmgrossi

7 months ago

Impressive progress by India in achieving criticality of the Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor at Kalpakkam, a key step forward in fuel sustainability and the future of nuclear energy. The @iaeaorg will continue supporting the safe and secure development of 🇮🇳’s nuclear programme.

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