Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

Joined July 2012

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

a month ago

@jonasholmdk

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

a month ago

@thorborg Du er spot on. Og derfor at OpenAI og Anthropic er desperate for at lave regulatory capture - de vil indføre standarder for at smadre opensource. @DavidSacks har 100% ret

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The Baptists And Bootleggers Of AI Economists have observed a longstanding pattern in reform movements of this kind. The actors within movements like these fall into two categories – “Baptists” and “Bootleggers” – drawing on the historical example of the prohibition of alcohol in the United States in the 1920’s: “Baptists” are the true believer social reformers who legitimately feel – deeply and emotionally, if not rationally – that new restrictions, regulations, and laws are required to prevent societal disaster. For alcohol prohibition, these actors were often literally devout Christians who felt that alcohol was destroying the moral fabric of society. For AI risk, these actors are true believers that AI presents one or another existential risks – strap them to a polygraph, they really mean it. “Bootleggers” are the self-interested opportunists who stand to financially profit by the imposition of new restrictions, regulations, and laws that insulate them from competitors. For alcohol prohibition, these were the literal bootleggers who made a fortune selling illicit alcohol to Americans when legitimate alcohol sales were banned. For AI risk, these are CEOs who stand to make more money if regulatory barriers are erected that form a cartel of government-blessed AI vendors protected from new startup and open source competition – the software version of “too big to fail” banks. A cynic would suggest that some of the apparent Baptists are also Bootleggers – specifically the ones paid to attack AI by their universities, think tanks, activist groups, and media outlets. If you are paid a salary or receive grants to foster AI panic…you are probably a Bootlegger. The problem with the Bootleggers is that they win. The Baptists are naive ideologues, the Bootleggers are cynical operators, and so the result of reform movements like these is often that the Bootleggers get what they want – regulatory capture, insulation from competition, the formation of a cartel – and the Baptists are left wondering where their drive for social improvement went so wrong. We just lived through a stunning example of this – banking reform after the 2008 global financial crisis. The Baptists told us that we needed new laws and regulations to break up the “too big to fail” banks to prevent such a crisis from ever happening again. So Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010, which was marketed as satisfying the Baptists’ goal, but in reality was coopted by the Bootleggers – the big banks. The result is that the same banks that were “too big to fail” in 2008 are much, much larger now. So in practice, even when the Baptists are genuine – and even when the Baptists are right – they are used as cover by manipulative and venal Bootleggers to benefit themselves. And this is what is happening in the drive for AI regulation right now. However, it isn’t sufficient to simply identify the actors and impugn their motives. We should consider the arguments of both the Baptists and the Bootleggers on their merits.

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

a month ago

@AndreasSteno Sådan en havde mine børns børnehave også besøg af. Havde intet med wokeisme at gøre. Hun fortalte bare at man som forældre ikke nødvendigvis skulle være bange, hvis ens barn var med i “doktor” leg, så længe alle deltager frivilligt og at børnene har nogenlunde samme alder

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

5 months ago

@LarsAnders1620 Velkommen tilbage til friheden ❤️

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Calvin Hamilton @calvinrhamilton

a year ago

Polymarket is in a pickle right now. 20+ news outlets, including @Polymarket themselves, have covered President Zelenskyy wearing a suit in June 2025, and yet the market remains unresolved. A market worth $14.8M USD may about to be rugged:

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

2 years ago

@TomJensen1966 Katastrofal håndtering af COVID epidemi

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

2 years ago

@PeterRa58783464 @RosenvoldGeo @SteffenFrolund @thorborg @AndreasSteno Stine Bosse (og så gør det modsatte af hvad hun foreslår)

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

5 years ago

@DavidTrads Du glemmer ligeledes at fortælle at Kyle Rittenhouse prøvede at flygte fra en folkemængde, blev indhentet og overfaldet (de råber "Get Him!", "Take him down!" mm), og han blev forsøgt skudt med en pistol. Se video og dan din egen mening youtube.com/watch?v=iryQSp…

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Oscar Vingtoft @OVingtoft

5 years ago

@DavidTrads Igen spreder @DavidTrads misinformation. 1) De dræbte var begge hvide 2) Hans våben var fuldt lovligt 3) Det var ikke demonstrationer men voldelige optøjer. Sluk nu for CNN, David