Outsider Projections @OutsideProjectn
The only place on X focusing on the performance of outsider parties and elections. 📊 Twinned with @HVilday and Interviewer-Line. sites.google.com/view/interview… United Kingdom Joined February 2026-
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🚨 Interviewer-Line/Outsider Projections Holborn & St Pancras by-election model: 🌹LAB: 41.0 (7.9) 🌍GRN: 29.2 (+18.8) 🌳CON: 8.6 (+1.4) 🔶LDM: 7.1 (+1.3) ➡️RFM: 6.9 (+0.8) 🔁RES: 2.9 ⚙️WPB: 1.9 💷UKIP: 0.54 🇪🇺REU: 0.4 👤IND: 0.38 ✝️CPA: 0.36 🛠️CLG: 0.29 🎩MRLP: 0.24
🚨 BREAKING: all parties standing in Holborn & St Pancras: 🌹 Labour 🎩 MRLP 🌳 Conservative 👤 Independent 🍃 Climate ⚙️ Workers’ 🔁 Restore 🇪🇺 Rejoin EU ➡️ Reform ☂️ UK Voice 🌎 Greens 🛠️ Communist League ✝️ Christian Peoples Alliance 🔶 Liberal Democrats 💷 UKIP
🚨 UPDATE: The Climate Party was missing from this projection, they stand at 0.12%, with other parties rounded accordingly
🚨 Interviewer-Line/Outsider Projections Holborn & St Pancras by-election model: 🌹LAB: 41.0 (7.9) 🌍GRN: 29.2 (+18.8) 🌳CON: 8.6 (+1.4) 🔶LDM: 7.1 (+1.3) ➡️RFM: 6.9 (+0.8) 🔁RES: 2.9 ⚙️WPB: 1.9 💷UKIP: 0.54 🇪🇺REU: 0.4 👤IND: 0.38 ✝️CPA: 0.36 🛠️CLG: 0.29 🎩MRLP: 0.24
Interviewer-Line and Outsider Projections have just seen our biggest update EVER. Go onto the site to check out: - Our House of Commons Nowcast - Our US Senate Nowcast - Interviewer-Line: Opinion, where YOUR opinion piece can be featured and more! sites.google.com/view/interview…
House of Commons Nowcast (20/09/2026) Labour: 325 Conservative: 120 Reform: 77 Lib Dem: 72 SNP: 9 Green: 9 Plaid: 8 Your Party: 7 Independents: 4 Restore: 1 sites.google.com/view/interview…
Check out our all new Nowcast! the first nowcast with 0 'other', every constituency has the exact candidates for each party that you could predict! sites.google.com/view/interview…
US Senate Nowcast DEM: 54 GOP 45 IND 1 sites.google.com/view/interview…
Check out Interviewer-Line: Opinion! where YOUR opinion piece can be published on our site!
read our new article: GAIN from reform: what happens next? where we interviewed councillors who gained their seats from Reform on their experiences. sites.google.com/view/interview…
Interviewer-Line and @OutsideProjectn’s H&SP by-election prediction: 🌹 LAB: 38.5 (-10.4) 🌍 GRN: 23.6 (+13.2) 🫵 YRP: 11.4 (-7.5) 🌳 CON: 8.2 (+1.0) 🔶 LDM: 6.3 (+0.5) ➡️ RFM: 5.5 (-0.6) 🔄 RBN: 3.8 🇪🇺 🟣 REU/VUK: 2.0 🗑️ BIN: 0.3 🎩 MRL: 0.2 ☑️ OTH: 0.1 (-2.6) Change w/ GE2024
@_francophobe @HVilday Our expressed purpose is to track and include outsider parties, hence Outsider Projections. If you wish for a simpler VI graph, might I recommend @electionmapsuk
*lib dems surviving better, lol
Everyone is talking about the Labour overtaking reform crossover, but one that hasn’t been mentioned is the greens surviving better than the greens, overtaking them! Look at the most detailed VI graph here: sites.google.com/view/interview…
And after all the votes are done it's confirmed we had the most accurate model, accurately predicting the first preference winner for every borough in GM! Turns out taking outsiders into account also gets you greater accuracy!
Labour (Bev Craig) by borough Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, 30 July 2026 FIRST PREFERENCES Manchester: 54.0% (49,326) Stockport: 50.2% (35,571) Trafford: 50.0% (30,966) Wigan: 47.0% (26,200) Bury: 46.9% (18,837) Salford: 46.8% (21,445) Tameside: 41.8% (18,289) Oldham:
the only place to track how our democracy may go!
check out Interviewer-Line and @OutsideProjectn 's PR Referendum Nowcast! four maps, broken down by regions and nations, out now! sites.google.com/view/interview…
check out Interviewer-Line and @OutsideProjectn 's PR Referendum Nowcast! four maps, broken down by regions and nations, out now! sites.google.com/view/interview…
@LetcalfeLark @HVilday If you wish to see our polling sources, we'd be happy to show them, bit I can assure you that nobody at OutsiderProjections or InterviewerLine can afford coke
The only tracker that allows you see the outsiders polling stats without rooting through the crosstabs!
Check out Inteviewer-line and @OutsideProjectn 's VOTING INTENTION Tracker! utilising every aspect of polls, even the ones that break down other! the only place to track the performance of Your Party, the SDP< Workers' and more! sites.google.com/view/interview…
Check out our's and Interviewer-Line's Potential 2nd Referendum Nowcast! broken down to nations and regions! sites.google.com/view/interview…
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