The Paraball Notes @ParaballNotes
Lifetime sports and strategy enthusiast, with a big interest in statistics. Writing analyses in NFL, MLB, NHL, soccer, tennis, hockey, and more. paraballnotes.com New York Joined September 2023-
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The xwFIP leaderboard for June is out! For the second month in a row, we have a new pitcher atop the board. #mlb @MLB #baseball paraballnotes.com/blog/who-is-th…
The May #xwFIP leaderboard is out! Who tops the league as the best pitcher and best starting pitcher so far this season? #MLB @MLB paraballnotes.com/blog/xwfip-may
#MarchMadness is here! What is the most likely bracket? paraballnotes.com/blog/what-is-t…
Which quarterback has had a bigger impact on his team’s success when it matters most? #Mahomes #Brady @NFL #NFL paraballnotes.com/blog/who-has-b…
How can the Chiefs stop Saquon in the Super Bowl? In this analysis I’ll take a look at Barkley’s rushing patterns to see how the Chiefs should plan against him. #SuperBowl @NFL @Chiefs paraballnotes.com/blog/how-to-st…
The Giants are coming off one of their worst seasons in franchise history, finishing 3-14 and landing the 3rd pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. How should they rebuild to become a top 3 contender? @Giants #NFL @NFL paraballnotes.com/blog/what-do-t…
In this analysis, I’ll dive into NFL teams' run/pass decision-making on 2nd down and evaluate whether their play-calling aligns with game theory optimal strategies. Has the league cracked the code or if there’s room for improvement? #NFL @NFL paraballnotes.com/blog/do-nfl-te…
With Statcast’s new baserunning and basestealing data released to the public, I wanted to take a look at the top base-stealers in 2024. How does @Yankees short stop Anthony Volpe compare to the rest of the league? #MLB paraballnotes.com/blog/can-volpe…
How have NFL defenses have performed in each of man and zone defense against passing plays? In this analysis, use WPA and EPA to assess effectiveness of each of the two types of defenses @NFL paraballnotes.com/blog/man-vs-zo…
Last offseason, I examined the trend in $/WAR for free agent signings since 2018. In this analysis, I’ll revisit the $/WAR figures for this year’s free agency market and dive deeper into the evolving spending patterns #MLB #Baseball paraballnotes.com/blog/dollarwar…
The Dodgers lineup averaged 5.2 runs per game this season (second to only the Diamondbacks). How should the Yankees pitch to them in their attempt at capturing their 28th title? @Yankees @MLB paraballnotes.com/blog/how-shoul…
In today’s post, I’m highlighting the 15 batters with the lowest and highest first-pitch swing percentages among all qualified hitters in 2024. This might especially come in handy for the @Yankees in the upcoming ALCS against the Guardians. paraballnotes.com/blog/which-bat…
October baseball is in full swing, and the Wild Card round didn’t disappoint! With eight teams remaining, it's time for my final xwFIP analysis of the season. @MLB #baseballPlayoffs paraballnotes.com/blog/which-pla…
Which teams do @fangraphs overvalue/undervalue in their playoff simulation? #baseball @MLB paraballnotes.com/blog/evaluatin…
Who will win the AL and NL Cy Young Awards? In this analysis, I’ll introduce a new cumulative win value statistic, Paraball Wins Above Replacement, or pWAR, in order to identify the most deserving candidates. #baseball @MLB paraballnotes.com/blog/introduci…
Conventional hockey wisdom puts the goalie as the most important player on the ice, akin to the quarterback in football or the point guard in basketball. But what is the relative value of goal scorers versus goalies? #NHL @NYRangers #hockey
In this post, I’ll be examining the batspeed-tracked swings of Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Giancarlo Stanton. How do their swing speeds vary depending on the count, and how do these variations impact their performance? @Yankees paraballnotes.com/blog/does-chan…
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