@MyAITrading @Poback2012
Learning AI trading through experiments Sharing my tests, mistakes & results Personal journey in quantitative trading Murfreesboro, TN Joined January 2012-
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THE HARDEST PART OF THIS BITCOIN CYCLE MAY STILL BE AHEAD. The last time BTC showed a similar setup, it spent another 153 days moving sideways before the real breakout began. The market didn’t reward impatience. Most traders will get bored. Many will give up. But Bitcoin cycles are often built through long periods of uncertainty before the biggest moves happen. Patience may be the biggest advantage. $BTC #Bitcoin
$BTC One of the most interesting things about this cycle: Bitcoin has dropped 53%, yet global liquidity has remained relatively stable. In previous bear markets, liquidity contraction was one of the biggest factors driving BTC lower. This time looks different. Liquidity is holding up much better than previous cycles. If global liquidity starts expanding again after a relatively shallow correction, Bitcoin could find its cycle bottom much earlier — and at a much higher level than past bear markets. Something worth watching closely. 👀 $BTC #Bitcoin
🚨 THE MOST DANGEROUS BITCOIN SETUP THIS CYCLE For 8 years, Bitcoin has respected the same expanding channel. Every cycle: Top → upper resistance Bottom → lower trendline capitulation Now BTC is once again approaching the same resistance area for the third time. Previous touches triggered brutal sell-offs. The question is: Will history repeat again? $BTC #Bitcoin
THIS IS NOT NORMAL. I’ve followed multiple Bitcoin cycles, but this setup stands out. Over $10B in long positions are sitting below the market. If BTC falls toward $40K, a massive liquidation event could unfold. The chain reaction: → Longs get liquidated → Selling pressure increases → More positions get wiped out That’s how major cascades begin. Many traders who believe “the bottom is already in” could be caught off guard. But here’s the part most people don’t want to hear: The moment of maximum fear is often where the biggest opportunities appear. Not during the hype. Not after the easy bounce. But when the market feels completely broken. Previous cycles: 2018 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → A similar setup is developing Once excess leverage is cleared, the market can begin a new cycle. Real bottoms are usually built through fear, panic, and capitulation. Stay alert. I’ll share updates as this develops. $BTC #Bitcoin
THE SIGNAL THAT PRECEDED EVERY MAJOR BITCOIN CRASH HAS TRIGGERED AGAIN. And the historical data is hard to ignore. Previous cycles: 2014: -51% from this level 2018: -46% from this level 2022: -55% from this level The key level for this cycle: $78K A similar 50% drawdown would put Bitcoin near $47K. $78K is now the critical line in the sand. Lose it → historical cycles suggest a move toward the $45K-$47K zone. Hold it → this cycle may prove different. Three cycles have shown the same warning. The question is not whether volatility comes — it’s whether you’re prepared for both scenarios. $BTC #Bitcoin
THE NEXT $BTC MOVE COULD BE BRUTAL Historically, Bitcoin cycle bottoms have formed around similar long-term trendline support zones. Price drops into the lower channel. Fear takes control. And the market starts calling for even lower prices. Today, BTC is approaching another critical area. The levels I’m watching: $61K → $57K → $54K A deeper flush could become the final capitulation phase before the next major market cycle begins. Remember: extreme fear has often appeared near important turning points. The real question: Is this the next major breakdown, or the final shakeout before recovery? Stay focused. Don’t become exit liquidity. $BTC #Bitcoin
Market Alert: Geopolitical risks are rising again. Reports of escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have reignited concerns across global markets. With the region playing a critical role in global energy supply, any further escalation could impact: • Oil prices • Shipping costs • Inflation expectations • Global risk assets Markets had been pricing in a more stable geopolitical environment, but renewed uncertainty could quickly change sentiment. Oil has already moved higher, and investors are watching closely for any further developments. The next few days could be critical for energy markets and risk assets. Stay informed. Volatility can create both risks and opportunities. #Bitcoin $BTC #Crypto #Markets
$BTC update The next major expansion may come when price clears two key levels at the same time: 1️⃣ The resistance of the ascending broadening wedge 2️⃣ The 4H swing invalidation level at $64.8K These two levels are closely aligned. A clean breakout above both could open the path toward the $67K pivot. Until then, BTC may continue moving sideways as the market waits for confirmation. Watching the structure, not the noise
$BTC update This is probably the last time I’ll talk about this setup. What we’re watching for is a change in market structure: Right now, price action remains corrective on the way up and impulsive on the way down (blue lines). The key signal would be a flip — where BTC starts moving impulsively to the upside (green lines). After that, we want to see a healthy corrective pullback. That would confirm the formation of a new bullish trend structure. The positive sign: Each channel is becoming steeper, which suggests downside momentum is weakening. Bears are losing control, while buyers are becoming more active and accumulating around these levels. The trend shift is not confirmed yet, but the structure is starting to improve
🚨 BREAKING: Major development in U.S. digital asset regulation. The Major County Sheriffs of America (MCSA) has announced it is now NEUTRAL on H.R. 3633 — the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. After further review and ongoing discussions, MCSA highlights the need for stronger collaboration between federal and local agencies in handling digital asset–related crimes. They are now encouraging Congress to: ✔ Amend Section 604 ✔ Give state & local law enforcement a formal role in Treasury studies and interagency working groups This marks an important step toward a more structured and coordinated regulatory framework for digital assets in the U.S. This is how policy evolution happens — through iteration and alignment between stakeholders
Testing an AI-driven quantitative trading bot for experimental purposes. Evaluating how the model behaves with market data and rule-based execution. This is an early-stage research project focused on observation and iteration rather than performance claims. I’ll continue sharing updates as I learn
ETH/BTC break out is a sign of Altcoin season Focus on low-cap under $50M market cap is so safe and big opportunity 5x 10x
$BTC DUMP BELOW $56,000 WILL BE BRUTAL I've NEVER seen so much liquidity on the long side in one zone before $2 BILLION+ in long positions will be liquidated when price drops below $56K Do you understand how much that is? That $2 BILLION in leveraged bets will be wiped faster than you can refresh the chart A new bull trap will form at $65K–$70K, then flush below $56K Everyone who's writing me in the comments saying "THE BOTTOM IS ALREADY IN" will cry That's how every macro bottom forms As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE
MARK MY WORDS $BTC will close the FVG at $70K... Then the real move begins. My plan: 1. Rally to $70K 2. 7–14 days of distribution 3. Then breakdown below $59K 4. Flush to $48K 5. Final bottom test in the $38K–$44K zone Most people think the bear market is over. I
🚨 I TOLD YOU BITCOIN WOULD REPEAT THE 2022 TRAP And history proves the bigger move is still ahead. 2022: Top 1 → correction → Top 2 → 120-day range → bull trap → dump → manipulation → accumulation. 2026: Top 1 → correction → Top 2 → 120-day range → bull trap → dump → manipulation → accumulation. Most people think the worst is already behind us. But in 2022, this was exactly what the market looked like before the most painful part began. Only after the manipulation came real fear. Only then did most people capitulate. So far, all I see on the chart is manipulation designed to take liquidity from both longs and shorts. Hide the dates on both charts. The resemblance is too strong to ignore. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
I told you before Bitcoin would repeat the 2022 pattern. Everything is going according to the plan. Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this.
BITCOIN COULD BE HEADED TOWARD $400,000 🚀 THE LONG-TERM CHART REMAINS EXTREMELY BULLISH. MOMENTUM IS BUILDING. 📈
NEXT MAJOR $BTC PIVOT: LATE JUNE/EARLY JULY. Both prior bear markets bottomed locally on these exact dates. Both were followed by a 30 to 40% rally within 30 to 40 days. 2018: +47%. 2022: +42%. 2026: ? This is likely the next opportunity.
When life seems burdensome, keep in mind that challenging periods are fleeting, and sunnier times are approaching soon to raise your spirits.
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