PDI @Political_Data

PDI is trusted by thousands of candidates and organizations to help them mobilize voters, activate supporters and win on Election Day. politicaldata.com Joined August 2012

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CA120 @CA_120

5 months ago

Oops, we did it again. Polled 1,200 CA voters and had them again watch clips of the "This is @GavinNewsom" podcast, to get their open-ended responses and answer a few questions. capitolweekly.net/ca-120-is-news…

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CA120 @CA_120

6 months ago

A new poll in the City of Irvine. Do people know about the upcoming special election? Do they know that it is only being held in District 5? Do they know that the state law would say that this election has to be held citywide? Memo: dropbox.com/scl/fi/qearaks…

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Capitol Weekly @Capitol_Weekly

9 months ago

In other states, they’re packing up the campaign office in mid-November; in CA races are still being won & lost through organized field programs doing ballot signature “curing” that was unheard of just a few election cycles ago. @paulmitche11 @CA_120 capitolweekly.net/ca120-curing-c…

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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11

10 months ago

Ok, lots of questions about how results have been changing in CA Congressional races as more votes are tallied. So, I created a new tool to help explain it, providing breakdowns by party, age, ethnicity and more. Here is a video to walk you through it. #CA45 #CA41

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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11

10 months ago

For those who want the explanation of why the later ballots in CA skew more Democratic, here is a quick snippet from the @Capitol_Weekly post-mortem.

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

CA has 10.7 million ballots tallied with an estimated 5.5 million outstanding. The PDI tracker gives details on 11.6m of these. Check out the shares of party, age and ethnicity over time… late ballots are more Dem and Ind, Younger and Latino. Late voters shift results blue.

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

Over 9 million ballots cast in CA. Nearly one million already this am as counties report day-of and in-person. Check out aggressive change in voting among young people (18-34) who are now beating Seniors on the EDay vote.

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

Huge 330k update from @LACountyRRCC - big increase of 30k ballots in #CA27 with @gtwhitesides vs @RepMikeGarcia Big increase in young voters - 8,500 18-34 vs 5,200 Seniors.

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

Keep focused today with a podcast featuring ⁦@paulmitche11⁩ - all about the polling and data and early vote. Perfect for that mid-day lull… podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cap…

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

VP of ⁦@Political_Data⁩ - ⁦@paulmitche11⁩ on the early vote and what to expect today as votes roll in. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pol…

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

California passes the 8 million voter mark! And returns today have been decidedly younger. Early on, we had days were 48% of returns were Seniors, only 12% were 18-34. Now it's about parity for each. Look at the age lines converging on the second page with daily rates.

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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11

10 months ago

Always fun to join @KCRAEdieLambert and @ZavalaA to talk elections and turnout and data.

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

Hard work over the weekend to get what county updates we could, and we have reached over 7 Million ballots in CA.

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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11

10 months ago

This week I stress-wrote a 4,500 word brain dump on polling, polling averages, models, predictions markets, early vote and more! If you or a friend are trying to make sense of the numbers, give it a read. Send any comments my way! capitolweekly.net/ca-120-underst…

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PDI @Political_Data

10 months ago

An important and haunting message from PDI. 👻

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Capitol Weekly @Capitol_Weekly

10 months ago

There is likely nothing more confusing to voters than the avalanche of often-conflicting polls that spill forth every election year. @paulmitche11 offers a valuable guide to understanding how polls are conducted & presented to you, the voters. @CA_120 capitolweekly.net/ca-120-underst…