ProprStats @ProprStats

⚾ PITCHER ZONE | Blake Snell Over 6.5 Ks -120 vs ATL | 8:00 PM ET ERA 1.90. Whiff% 34.8%. Chase% 40%. xwOBA allowed .228. HardHit% against 15.8%. These aren't stats. They're a different category of pitcher. → Curveball: 41.5% overall whiff | ATL whiffs 30.7% → Changeup: 41.2% overall whiff | ATL whiffs 31.6% → Slider: 50% overall whiff | ATL whiffs 34.6% → Dodger Stadium: +3% K-friendly park When Snell is locked in and goes deep: 📊 8/29 vs DET: 10 Ks 📊 9/11 vs MIA: 8 Ks 📊 9/4 vs WAS: 7 Ks Model projects 8 Ks vs book's 6.5 — +1.5 above the line. Playoff game. Dodger Stadium. Blake Snell's best stuff against Atlanta. -120 on the guy who makes hitters look completely lost. proprstats.com

🏈 TD ZONE PLAY | D'Andre Swift Anytime TD -105 vs NYJ 54% of his touchdowns come from inside the 5-yard line. He scores in 47% of his games. CHI runs their offense through him near the goal line and the numbers are impossible to ignore. 📊 43% of CHI's red-zone touches — vs 29% for a typical RB 📊 Goal line: 7 TDs in 20 touches (35% conversion rate) 📊 1.1 goal-line touches per game — 2x the average back 📊 0.68 TDs per game — nearly 2x a typical RB (0.36) 📊 9/19 games scored (47%) over 25-26 📊 Wk 1 vs CAR: 6 RZ touches, 3 inside the 5 → 3 TDs NYJ inside-5 middle ranks 22nd (soft) — and 65% of Swift's goal-line carries go up the middle. He runs directly into their weak spot. CHI implied total: 23.2 (around league average). They'll score. When they do, the ball goes to Swift. proprstats.com

Drew cashes us out !!! ✅✅ Pitching props been going crazy on ProprStats App Lock in🔒 Try us free for 7 days !! ➡️ proprstats.com/trial

ProprStats @ProprStats

3 days ago

⚾ PITCHER ZONE | Drew Rasmussen Over 6.5 Ks +110 vs NYY | 6:30 PM ET 11 strikeouts. Last time he faced the Yankees. Validated. Tonight: same arm, same lineup, same matchup. The data says he does it again. → Changeup: NYY whiffs 32.7% on it — primary K weapon → Curveball: NYY

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@0wlmob Its insane , loll. All good he will lock in!!

Parker Messick one more K , please don't go brick on us!!!

@HammerTimeLays Let him get the 7 first lol… hopefully he can get 2 in the 5th ….

@NBA someone needs to render the fusion picture man!!!

That's our boy!!!

MLB @MLB

3 days ago

Parker Messick has racked up 6 Ks already 😤

23 54 727 296K 29

@100Guts Should have checked out our model, Pitcher Zone Post said Messick was a 🔒. proprstats.com . Let us know what you think!

⚾ PITCHER ZONE | Drew Rasmussen Over 6.5 Ks +110 vs NYY | 6:30 PM ET 11 strikeouts. Last time he faced the Yankees. Validated. Tonight: same arm, same lineup, same matchup. The data says he does it again. → Changeup: NYY whiffs 32.7% on it — primary K weapon → Curveball: NYY whiffs 35.1% — can't pick it up → 8 LHBs in projected NYY lineup — plays into his 28.3% K rate vs LHB (his strength side) → Tropicana Field: +2% K-friendly park → Chase%: 33.1% (avg 28%) 📊 ERA 2.67 | W-L 16-5 | xwOBA-a .271 | HardHit%-a 33.8% (avg 39%) 📊 Model: 7.4 Ks projected vs 6.5 book → OVER +1.1% EV 11 Ks the first time. Model leaning over again. +110 on the repeat. proprstats.com

⚾ PITCHER ZONE | Parker Messick Over 6.5 Ks +100 vs CWS | 1:00 PM ET He already showed you the blueprint. Two weeks ago vs this exact lineup: 8 Ks on 86 pitches. The pitch mix eats CWS: → Changeup (K weapon): CWS whiffs 30.7% on it → Slider: CWS whiffs 35.2% — complementary K pitch → Chase%: 31.6% (avg 28%) — they'll chase 📊 ERA 2.56 | xwOBA-a .275 (avg .315) | HardHit%-a 34.4% (avg 39%) 📊 CWS K rate: 24.4% vs LHP 📊 9/5 vs DET: 12 Ks — this ceiling is real 📊 Model projects 7 Ks vs book 6.5 +100 at even money on a guy who just posted 8 Ks against this same lineup 17 days ago. proprstats.com

We are going to have a day with Pitcher K props !!!!

JEUDY ✅✅

ProprStats @ProprStats

5 days ago

🏈 NFL PLAY | Jerry Jeudy Over 14.5 Rec Yds -105 PIT allows +36% more yards to WRs on deep routes. That's 30th in the NFL. Last time Jeudy played Pittsburgh, he had 7 targets, 5 catches, and 54 yards. Tonight the line is 14.5. 📊 Model probability: OVER 76% 📊 Model

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@100Guts We on one for sure!!!!

🏈 NFL PLAY | Jerry Jeudy Over 14.5 Rec Yds -105 PIT allows +36% more yards to WRs on deep routes. That's 30th in the NFL. Last time Jeudy played Pittsburgh, he had 7 targets, 5 catches, and 54 yards. Tonight the line is 14.5. 📊 Model probability: OVER 76% 📊 Model projection: 33 rec yds median (18.7 over the line) 📊 Defense adds +11 yds to his projection — biggest single driver 📊 8 of last 10 games over this line 📊 Propr Score: 79 — Notable PIT's deep WR coverage is one of the biggest holes in the NFL this season. Jeudy's game is built to exploit exactly that. -105 on a 76% probability. This is one of the cleaner numbers on the board tonight. proprstats.com

🏈 TD ZONE PLAY | DK Metcalf Anytime TD +260 He scores in 44% of his games. Tonight he's priced at +260. His end-zone role is elite: → 44% end-zone target share (WR avg: 37%) → 7.3 targets/game on 92% snap share — never off the field → 0.44 TDs/game — 47% above a typical WR → 5 of his 8 TDs came inside the 20 → Goal line: 2 TDs in 6 touches (33% conversion) When PIT reaches the red zone, the ball goes to DK. The headwind: CLE is 1st in fewest RZ TDs allowed and PIT's implied total sits at 20.5. The price reflects that. But +260 breaks even if he scores once every 3.6 games. He's done it every 2.3 historically. proprstats.com

Need Gausman to go into his bag today!!! Cubs need a big game from him. The data is aligned , he just needs to show up!

🚀 BOMB SQUAD 🚀 Yordan Alvarez HR +325 vs Sean Burke There is no safe pitch in Burke's arsenal. Every offering is green on Yordan's side. 📊 Yordan vs RHP: AVG .316 | OBP .432 | SLG .601 | OPS 1.033 vs Burke's pitch mix: → 4-Seam (37% usage): wOBA .437 | SLG .640 | 13 HRs | HH% 61.2% → Curveball: wOBA .467 | SLG .689 | HH% 63.6% → Slider: wOBA .420 | SLG .603 | 5 HRs → Sinker: wOBA .455 | SLG .564 | HH% 61.5% Burke's primary pitch is the 4-seamer — Yordan's hit 13 HRs off it this season. His go-to pitch is Yordan's favorite. +325 on one of the cleanest power matchups on the board. proprstats.com

Kevin Gausman K Ladder vs SD | 10:00 PM ET Model projects 7.4 Ks at +8.1% EV — the strongest strikeout edge on tonight's board. Three ways to play it: 🪜 THE LADDER └ Over 4.5 Ks +105 — floor bet, 7 of last 7 starts cleared this └ Over 6 Ks +220 — 6 of last 7 cleared, solid middle rung └ Over 7 Ks +470 — 3 of last 7, upside ticket 📊 23/32 on the K line this season — one of the most consistent Ks arms in baseball 📊 Splitter (39.2% usage): 41.4% Whiff — SD whiffs 39.2% on it. That's his out pitch tonight. 📊 Chase% 35% (MLB avg 28%) | SwStr% 12.8% | Petco Park: +5% K-friendly 📊 7 RHBs projected in SD lineup — plays into his strengths as a RHP 📊 9K vs MIL | 7K vs MIA | 7K vs CIN — the ceiling is real at +470 Model sees 7.4 Ks with book at 4.5. The base clears almost every start. The ladder lets you pick your spot.