Rebounding Alpha @ReboundingAlpha

$NKE - Fall from grace = opportunity. Bought 2/3 position $NKE here at $34.53 avg for the public portfolio. Keeping one lot out to buy lower or higher. Why did I buy here? ✅Valuation Fully Reset At $34.65, the stock is down 80% from its peak and sitting right near 52-week lows. You are buying it at 19.3x forward earnings and 1.1x sales, a massive discount to its decade average. The market has already priced in the disaster. ✅ Wholesale Strategy Fix New CEO Elliott Hill is reversing the disastrous DTC push and putting Nike shoes back where people actually buy them, such as Foot Locker, regional run shops, and wholesale partners. Re filling retail channels gives revenue an immediate, structural tailwind. ✅ Paid nearly 5% to wait $NKE still pulls in $1.77B in free cash flow and operates at a clean 21.5% ROE. That cash powers a safe 4.77% dividend yield, so you collect a high yield while waiting for the product cycle and inventory turnaround to work. Risks still exist.... 🚨 Upstart brands continue to win Hoka, On Running, and Adidas take shelf space that Nike cannot easily reclaim. If buyers do not come back, the stock stagnates. 🚨 Wholesale cuts into profit margins Selling through retailers means paying for store discounts and co-op ads. Rebuilding those retail channels forces Nike to accept lower margins than its direct website generates. $NKE made some seriously bad and perplexing decisions over the last 5 years, and they paid the price. Stock eviscerated, removed from S&P....truly embarrassing stuff, but I think the worst is behind them, and I am planning on their mistakes being my gain. This is my plan/reasoning....what is yours? (not investment advice, dyor as always)

$HD - Oversold / Historical Precedent Buying 2/3 position here on $HD for public portfolio @ $285.80 avg. Why? Stock is $285, about 30% off the high, 19x earnings, 3.3% dividend, ✅Oversold on daily, weekly, well below 200wma, and coming off a massive support level going back to mid 2022. ✅Last time housing was frozen like this and the stock was this cheap, 2022, it was higher six months later without turnover coming back. This is year four of that freeze, so the bet is that the lows hold. ⚠️November 17 is the test, if they cut comps below flat, this partial position is likely the whole trade. After earnings I will consider adding last lot to make this a full postiion. This is a longer term hold for the portfolio. (not investment advice, dyor as always)

@HunterAllen4 @FantasyInvRealm @MohanadInv @Solsk @JungleStocks @Edge_Bolt @Tape_Vector @Colosteve2000 @TechniCameron @dusty_bull @kastriooot8 @brandon_Invests @RonenHayempour @tickerade @TradeTactician1 @Ploutos97 @MahinvestTech @JSCC2020Lee @Versatileincome @NihalThesis @Options_Nirvana @heavyhitter2112 @sovereignsense @crypt_shprd @RichPeterLi @banquetsbetter @MWi_EW @Semiconsight @KorayChelikhan @cherryPayment @Sofigoodboy @DJ_Tao @WiseInvest513 @ElmegTheWise1 @Assaf0013 Thanks for the shout out Hunter 💪

$FICO - Dipping toes here.....why? Bought 1/3 position at $689 avg. ✅Valuation De-risking: At 12.9x forward earnings and 15.5x EV/EBITDA down from over 40x forward P/E, you are no longer paying bubble prices for a asset generating a 53.8% operating margin and 34.1% net profit margin. ✅Capitulation Floor: The stock hit a 52 week low of $586.05 following the recent FHFA regulatory headlines regarding the underwriting changes, and recovered nicely. A starter lot at $684 is in striking distance of a structural support zone without missing a relief bounce. I will either be buying the other lots higher, or lower, or, this may never become a full position. We will see how things play out. ✅Moat Persistence: Wall Street is currently pricing in maximum market share destruction, and the regulatory threat is real, but transitions in credit scoring across baskets takes years, not quarters. There are definitely still risks, but taking a shot here in the public portfolio. (not investment advice, dyor as always)

Just a reminder, tweet silence does not mean things are not being watched. This is NOT one of those sweaty accounts that seeks to remind you every moment of the day that they are still around. I am not here to maximize followers, I am here to showcase, in real time, the process behind the public portfolio and its amazing performance. If followers occur as a result of this, so be it, if it means this accounts followers will remain low, so be it. When there is something to say, it will be said, when there is a move in the portfolio, it will be shown, other than that, your feed will not be spammed unnecessarily.

@QualCompounders Conservative indeed!

@QualCompounders With the earnings they have been putting up, it is only a matter of time before the price surpasses $300+. $NVDA price is STILL disconnected from reality, even here in the 230's imo.

@LongGameEquity Exactly For some perspective to anyone reading this, $NVDA forward earnings is 19.15x. One is undervalued right now, one is not.

@clips_cracked Mid to high 90's

🚨The heat is $ON 🚨 Up 6% after hours on a revised Synaptics deal: ✅Deal is now all cash at $123/share ✅Expected to be immediately accretive to non GAAP EPS ✅No share dilution and higher near term earnings/cash flow once closed in mid 2027. $ON was added to the portfolio at $81.79 on 8/10, and is currently a full position.

$CRDO was added to public portfolio in the 80's, no, not the 1980's, the price 80's. When nobody would touch it, it was highlighted here as a major disconnect. Still holding full position. Last traded at $208.80

@HunterAllen4 Thank you Hunter

Sold $IGV for $104.20 avg from $73.98 entry. 40.8% gain on 30.22 points of profit. Another amazing win for the portfolio. Also, on 4/10, I said the following. Since then? $MSFT has hit high of $519 from $374 entry. $DUOL has hit high of $167 from $88.50 entry. $ADBE has hit high of $294 from $205.36 entry. I am still long $DUOL and $ADBE in the public portfolio.

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Just hit 500 followers! 15 exits this year (incl partials) 100% win rate on all closed positions Avg 43.7% on all exits Did you agree with any thesis posted here this year, and, after doing your own DD, profit on the trade? If so, would love to hear about it.

@HunterAllen4 @TT_stocks_ @jin_jung1988 @cherryPayment I can't eat at a restaurant anymore without checking to see if 'rip salad' is on the menu. You made this a household name Hunter.

How about that $FICO drop? Worst day since 1989 from what I am seeing. I will be watching this one, and waiting for the dust to settle, and evaluating whether this unified mortgage pricing news is an overreaction, or an expected reaction.