TraderThink4Self @SelfThink4
Investor looking for big upside stocks. All opinions are my own, especially the bad ones. Anywhere Joined January 2019-
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When your stock that you think is the best thing since sliced bread keeps going more than others on consecutive days, what is the market trying to tell you? I’m talking neoclouds and data center themed names $AAOI $IREN $CIFR $CRWV etc
Unless you are a professional day trader, avoid trading small-cap, high-volatility stocks. Without a strict risk management strategy and full-time market monitoring, daily trading in these highly unpredictable assets is a fast track to draining your account.
$CRWV $CIFR $WULF $APLD
Data center junk bond update, Oct 19.
I really appreciate the fact that he also gave credit to Ben Graham, Warren Buffet and Charlie Monger.
Li Lu on the six timeless principles of value investing. (1) "Stock is a piece of ownership, not a piece of paper to trade around." (2) "The market is there to serve you, not to instruct you." (3) "Investing is about predicting the future — which is inherently unpredictable —
Li Lu on the six timeless principles of value investing. (1) "Stock is a piece of ownership, not a piece of paper to trade around." (2) "The market is there to serve you, not to instruct you." (3) "Investing is about predicting the future — which is inherently unpredictable — therefore you always want to require a margin of safety that helps you protect the downside." (4) "The most important [part] of a circle of competence is knowing the edge of it. Understanding the edge is as important as understanding what is inside the [circle]." (5) "You've got to fish where the fish are." (6) "Wealth, in the end, is really the percentage ownership of global purchasing power. What is really important is what you can buy with [that wealth]." (Columbia University || 2026)
A lot of questions this week on funding, so here's how a GPU typically gets funded at $IREN. First, the customer signs a multi-year take-or-pay contract and agrees to a prepayment. On our recent 3-year contracts, prepayments have been 45% to 55% of the associated GPU capex. Second, financing is committed, secured by the contracted GPUs. On the Microsoft contract we secured an A-rated facility at around 6%, which together with prepayments covers 96% of GPU capex. More recently, for a non-investment grade counterparty at Mackenzie, we secured financing at 9% fixed, which together with prepayments covers more than the full cost of the GPUs. That's the GPU side. The data centers are a separate, long-term asset base, and we own the ones our GPUs run in. Construction has been funded from cash to date, with no debt against these multi-billion dollar assets. As they come online with contracted customers, they can support financing in their own right. The processes behind the next facilities are continuing, and new paper will cost what the market charges. With GPU paybacks of around two years on our recent 3-year contracts, a wider spread barely moves the economics. There's more customer demand than we can build for. As we noted at our recent earnings, 2026 is largely sold out, recent 3-year contracts are at more than double the prior year's pricing, and demand for anything we can bring online in 2027 covers it several times over, with prepayments a focus in every negotiation. Conversations on 2028 capacity are already underway. Meanwhile announced capacity keeps slipping across the industry, which is the point: signing deals isn't the bottleneck in this market, bringing GPUs online is, and that's our focus.
A farmer, tired of rats destroying his crops and stealing his grain, came up with a clever but cruel plan. He threw a dead pig into a deep, abandoned well. Attracted by the smell, nearly 80 rats rushed into the well to feast on the carcass. At first, everything seemed wonderful. There was more than enough food for everyone, and the rats ate until they were satisfied. But when the food was gone, they discovered something terrifying. The walls of the well were too steep to climb. They were trapped. Days passed, and hunger turned into desperation. Desperation turned into aggression. The rats that had once eaten peacefully beside one another began fighting for survival. Eventually, they began killing and eating each other. One by one, their numbers dwindled until only a single rat remained. Its eyes were bloodshot, and it had survived by consuming its own kind. Then the farmer returned, lowered a rope into the well, and rescued the last surviving rat. But he didn't save it out of kindness or compassion. The farmer knew the rat had learned to survive by hunting other rats. When he released it into his fields, it would continue killing its own kind instead of eating his grain. The farmer had turned his enemy into his greatest weapon. And that is the lesson of divide and conquer. Those who control the trap don't need to fight the battles themselves. They simply create the conditions in which others turn against one another. The rats believed their enemies were the other rats. They never realized that the true enemy was the farmer who had put them there. The greatest danger isn't always the enemy standing in front of you. Sometimes it's the one who created the conflict and stands quietly watching you destroy each other. Before you turn against your neighbor because of their political beliefs, ask yourself who benefits from keeping Americans divided. While we fight each other over Republican and Democrat, we may be overlooking those who profit from the conflict. Perhaps the real question isn't which side you're on, but who built the well—and why they want us fighting at the bottom of it.
It appears lots of people that were promoting neocloud and data center names have gone quiet now. Be safe, stay well and have a wonderful weekend. $WULF $CRWV $CIFR $IREN $SMCI
$UAMY Is among the Pre market movers today.
Plenty of stocks have underperformed, regardless of sector. Check all these names : $CRWV $CIFR $IREN $SMCI $WULF $UAMY $AVAV $WYFI Are they going to blame president Trump, just as much as they praised him when they were all running up after he was elected?
$CRWV -12% $IREN -7% $CIFR -5% Stay strong investors. There’ll be light at the end of the tunnel.
US CPI (Sept): +3.7% y/y (Est. +3.6%) Core CPI: +2.6% y/y (Est. +2.5%) CPI m/m: +0.6% (Est. +0.6%) · Core m/m: +0.3% (Est. +0.2%)
Jim Cramer was asked about $IREN and he said $CRWV is “the only one that I trust and want to be in” among neoclouds.
$CRWV $1.25B of bonds due 2032 hit a 15% yield yesterday before closing at a record 14.5% as the AI credit fears grow. The stock fell 3.05% to $77.81 and is down 12.6% over the past month, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.22%.
$CIFR down 10% Cipher Digital: Announces Proposed $850M Zero-Interest Convertible Notes Offering Due 2032 to Fund HPC Expansion ⠀ Initial purchasers may acquire an additional $150M, bringing potential proceeds to $1B Funds earmarked for Barber Lake investment, HPC data center
$ONDS $KTOS $AVAV
Ondas and @PalantirTech formed Regna AI to help governments and enterprises deploy mission-specialized fine-tuned AI models in sovereign environments, down to edge hardware in DDIL conditions. Ondas is the first customer, building on SkyWeaver C4I. $ONDS ondas.com/post/ondas-ann…
$ONDS and $IREN both had positive news but are trading in the red currently. Let’s see if they can at least end the day in the green.
Know that a set back is only a set up for a come back. If your stock has been down for a be optimistic and hold on, there will be better days ahead. $VKTX $IREN $AVAV $CIFR $KTOS $ASTS
Keep your heads up to all investors in Stocks like the one below. They have been tanking for a while now compared to how much they are promoted on X. $ONDS $POET $VKTX $AVAV $IREN $CIFR $ASTS
$IREN carries a massive 24.06% short interest as a percentage of public float. It is also a highly volatile stock with a Beta of 2.59, which means it moves more than two and a half times as violently as the broader S&P 500.
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