Sharp Football Analysis @SharpFBAnalysis
NFL analytics, betting insights, fantasy football analysis, game picks & props using advanced predictive models & data from Warren Sharp & a team of experts sharpfootballanalysis.com Joined August 2019-
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🗣️ @LordReebs
Luke McCaffrey (Christian's brother) is going to the Washington Commanders: - Switched from QB to WR - 71 receptions, 992 yards & 13 TDs in 2023 - 29.6% team target share - 44.8% of Rice's receiving TDs - 4.46s 40-yard dash - 91st-percentile agility score
Luke McCaffrey (Christian's brother) is going to the Washington Commanders: - Switched from QB to WR - 71 receptions, 992 yards & 13 TDs in 2023 - 29.6% team target share - 44.8% of Rice's receiving TDs - 4.46s 40-yard dash - 91st-percentile agility score https://t.co/2edpykNyfA
Best available running backs according to @LordReebs' rookie rankings: Jaylen Wright TEN Braelon Allen WISC Audric Estime ND Isaac Guerendo LOU Ray Davis KU Bucky Irving ORE Cowboys fans... Which is the best option? #NFLDraft
Best available running backs according to @LordReebs' rookie rankings: Jaylen Wright TEN Braelon Allen WISC Audric Estime ND Isaac Guerendo LOU Ray Davis KU Bucky Irving ORE Cowboys fans... Which is the best option? #NFLDraft
And the Commanders agree.
The second and third rounds of the #NFLDraft brought us four drafted running backs! Who are you most excited about?
Oregon WR Troy Franklin right now...
Oregon WR Troy Franklin right now... https://t.co/Xd6Zogz5iv
Roman Wilson may be the anti-Diontae Johnson: - Converted 53.9% of red zone targets into TDs (1st) - Caught 66.7% of deep targets (4th) - 2.68 yards per route (14th) - 2.19 yards per team pass attempt (15th)
Roman Wilson may be the anti-Diontae Johnson: - Converted 53.9% of red zone targets into TDs (1st) - Caught 66.7% of deep targets (4th) - 2.68 yards per route (14th) - 2.19 yards per team pass attempt (15th) https://t.co/KCv2hozgKi
Roman Wilson will fit right in with Pittsburgh the anti-Diontae Johnson
The Bengals drafted a possible Tee Higgins replacement in Jermaine Burton: - 8.0 yards per reception (1st) - 17.4% of receptions resulted in TDs (8th) - Air yards per target 20.2 yards (1st) - 4.45 forty and a 91st-percentile explosion score #NFLDraft
It looks like he wants to do this...
It looks like he wants to do this... https://t.co/5CCgWUC7ZK
What Trey Benson brings to the Cardinals: - 1,100+ yards the last two seasons, 24 TDs - Ran a 4.39 forty (94th percentile) - Scored in 62nd percentile in explosion drills - Hit at or behind the line on 46.2% of rushes (4th) - Averaged 3.1 yards after contact (15th) #NFLDraft
Ja’Lynn Polk Overview: - 4.52 in 40-yard dash - 25.9% of targets were 20+ yards downfield, catching 14 (sixth in class) - Secured 54.2% of contested targets (13-of-24) - Forced a missed tackle on 21.7% of his receptions. - Scored in the 86th percentile in explosion drills
Ja’Lynn Polk Overview: - 4.52 in 40-yard dash - 25.9% of targets were 20+ yards downfield, catching 14 (sixth in class) - Secured 54.2% of contested targets (13-of-24) - Forced a missed tackle on 21.7% of his receptions. - Scored in the 86th percentile in explosion drills https://t.co/ZdvFWn4b3v
Meet the new Jets WR Malachi Corley: - Similar style to Deebo Samuel - Over 1,000 yards in the last two seasons, 70+ receptions each year. - 69.4% yardage after catch; highest in his class.
Meet the new Jets WR Malachi Corley: - Similar style to Deebo Samuel - Over 1,000 yards in the last two seasons, 70+ receptions each year. - 69.4% yardage after catch; highest in his class. https://t.co/uMftcQ4lZe
19.4% of Adoni Mitchell's career receptions went for TD, second in this class behind only Marvin Harrison Jr. The Colts have added TD machine to their roster.
many mocks had OT Kingsley Suamataia going to the Chiefs at pick No. 32 matched the position AND player to KC but Kansas City was able to wait nearly 1 full round, to pick No. 63, and still land their guy amazing patience by Veach gets Mahomes more protection
many mocks had OT Kingsley Suamataia going to the Chiefs at pick No. 32 matched the position AND player to KC but Kansas City was able to wait nearly 1 full round, to pick No. 63, and still land their guy amazing patience by Veach gets Mahomes more protection
it's not sexy, but the Packers have been precisely targeting weak points OT James Morgan LB Edgerrin Cooper S Javon Bullard putting the #4 most draft capital in the first 3 rounds to work and two more picks tonight
Washington started with their most draft capital in the last 25 years here's what they've done with it so far: Rd 1: QB Jayden Daniels Rd 2: DT Jer'Zhan Newton Rd 2: CB Mike Sainristil Rd 2: TE Ben Sinnott and they still have 5 picks to go
Power 5 interior pass-rushers who generated a 10% pressure rate or higher in both 2022 and 2023, via @SportsInfo_SIS: Jer'Zhan Newton, Illinois Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State And Hall doesn't turn 21 until June.
Warren Sharp @SharpFootball
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2K Followers 1K Following #1 most accurate mock drafter the last 5 years per the Huddle ReportTroy Franklin was going on average at the 1.08 in 1QB leagues in pre-draft ADP. Anyone with conviction about him at that cost just got a Hakeem Butler-esque hall pass in rookie drafts. Part of why I love rookie drafts before the NFL Draft if your league is game.
And the Commanders agree.
I'm surprised Luke McCaffrey hasn't been discussed more seriously as a Day 2 WR option. He has exceptional hands. And given his lack of experience, it's reasonable to assume continued growth in his route technique. I think he's an undervalued slot weapon in this class.
A couple hits in the second round: Panthers - Jonathon Brooks Browns - Michael Hall Jr. Check out my third-round mock here
You more more mock drafts?! Here's my Day 2 mock: - Rattler lands in the 3rd round - 5 RBs off the board - BUF, LAC get their WRs sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2024-…
Reggie & Shane are going to get the best out of AD. As far as he wants to go. So much untapped there.
19.4% of Adoni Mitchell's career receptions went for TD, second in this class behind only Marvin Harrison Jr. The Colts have added TD machine to their roster.
many mocks had OT Kingsley Suamataia going to the Chiefs at pick No. 32 matched the position AND player to KC but Kansas City was able to wait nearly 1 full round, to pick No. 63, and still land their guy amazing patience by Veach gets Mahomes more protection
the Chiefs somehow convinced two Super Bowl threats, the Bills and 49ers, to trade with them for both their picks this draft and with those picks... the Chiefs landed: WR Xavier Worthy OT Kingsley Susmataia KC beefing up their offense right in their rivals face
Washington started with their most draft capital in the last 25 years here's what they've done with it so far: Rd 1: QB Jayden Daniels Rd 2: DT Jer'Zhan Newton Rd 2: CB Mike Sainristil Rd 2: TE Ben Sinnott and they still have 5 picks to go
Power 5 interior pass-rushers who generated a 10% pressure rate or higher in both 2022 and 2023, via @SportsInfo_SIS: Jer'Zhan Newton, Illinois Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State And Hall doesn't turn 21 until June.
Packers blitzed as the NFL's 6th highest rate last year. Edgerrin Cooper blitzed on 25% of his snaps against the pass last year at A&M... and generated a 35% pressure rate👀, per @SportsInfo_SIS
Lowest RB1 selections overall in the Super Bowl era... 54 - Bishop Sankey (2014) 46- Jonathon Brooks (2024) 37- Gio Bernard (2013) 36- Breece Hall (2022) Every other year had a RB selected in the 1st Round
Based on route-adjusted numbers, Kamari Lassiter's ball-hawk rate was 79% above expected last year, per @SportsInfo_SIS. I don't care what his 40 time was. You can't make that happen in the SEC if you're not a top-tier athlete.
Rams replacing Aaron Donald with a group effort.. Jared Verse: 18.0% pressure rate, led all ACC edge-rushers Braden Fiske: 9.3% pressure rate, 3rd among ACC interior pass-rushers via @SportsInfo_SIS
Ja'Lynn Polk is the 10th WR in this class off the board at 37 overall. The previous high for the WR10 in any draft was pick 45 in 1994.
Bills needed a downfield weapon. That's what Keon Coleman can potentially do for them. But there's some development needed...
Excluding screens and jet-sweeps, Keon Coleman caught 62.7% of his catchable targets... ranked 101st out of 101 WRs who saw at least 50 catchable targets, per @SportsInfo_SIS
Day 1 of the draft is great for the large ticket items that can alter organizations for better or worse. Day 2 is the best day of the draft weekend. A lot of picks and we still have good players that shape up teams and dynasty boards. Work got out and it’s the weekend.
born in Carolina college in Carolina drafted by Carolina hard not to root for Xavier Legette’s success playing for his hometown team
will you be happy if your team drafts these players tonight? after delivering the #4 MOST ACCURATE round 1 mock in the nation last night, @Ryan_McCrystal is back for night #2 picking every player-to-team match READ THE ANALYSIS: sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2024-…
Bo Nix at Oregon… 1. played behind #1 pass blocking OL at Oregon 2. by far lowest pressure % in this class 3. highest % of passes to wide open receivers forget just stripping out short att, he’s a tough eval let’s project Bo Nix in Denver’s offense: sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/nfl-dr…
@SharpFBAnalysis @Ryan_McCrystal JPJ to the Eagles is the most slam dunk thing out there. It's a no brainer. Love that you are running DeJean back to GB 😁
I only updated affected players from last night for now. Full update next week when we have new ADP
Fresh off the first round of the NFL Draft, the confidence rankings from @BestballNFL have taken a new turn! - Avoid Malik Nabers? - Xavier Worthy 🚀 - J.J. McCarthy 📈 Dive into the updated rankings now: sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/bestba…
while we wait for the future NFL calendar to be improved the 2024 schedule release will happen next month! but... strength of schedule is already calculated! see where all 32 teams ranks, easiest schedule to hardest: sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-…