Skarpen @Skarpen
Strategic PR specialist. Former political advisor, press and communications manager, educator, secretary general Oslo Joined April 2008-
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@J_SundHenriksen Bluesky er et alternativ, med mange av de samme traverne. T.o.m Darth Putin
Moscow is the center of evil. Without it the Axis will be dissolved and many other fascist governments (Hungary, Venezuela, Syria, Belarus etc) will crumble. Crushing the Russian state is central.
Thinking about the ways people create change, on the 35th anniversary of some people making history. Full essay via link in profile or image below.
Utenriksminister Eide (Ap) har påpekt at med Trump som president, blir Europa viktigere for Norge. Statsminister Støre (Ap) fastslår at Europa nå må ta større ansvar for egen sikkerhet. Så hvorfor vil de ikke ta debatten om et norsk EU-medlemskap? aftenposten.no/meninger/debat…
"Germany is now seen as irrelevant in many parts of Europe -- because Scholz has not taken any initiative and has not shown any noticeable reaction to the initiatives of others (apart from frequent "no"). Germany's weight has shrunk massively in recent years."
Deutschland wird in vielen Teilen Europas mittlerweile als irrelevant angesehen -- weil von Scholz keinerlei Initiative kommt und auch keine erkennbare Reaktion auf die Initiativen anderer (außer häufiges "nein") . Deutsches Gewicht ist in den letzten Jahren massiv geschrumpft.
This is certainly worth taking note of. And one should remember the information that Musk had been talking to the Kremlin as well. axios.com/2024/11/08/mus…
EU leaders should offer @realDonaldTrump the deal of a lifetime: EU to have a self-financed Army as a pillar of NATO within 5 years…& US helps to defeat Putin not by weakening Ukraine, but by sending everything Biden promised, but didn’t deliver... economist.com/leaders/2024/1…
Kommende leder i Tyskland om Ukraina 💪🏻
President Zelenskyy and current German opposition leader - and highly likely next Chancellor - had a phone call this morning. He was asking the Ukrainian president: Merz: "What do you need? Money or equipment?" Zelenskyy: "We have enough money until 2026. We need weapons. We
How the situation might develop for Ukraine with the new US President? Donald Trump has repeatedly promised to end the war in Ukraine "in 24 hours" during his election campaign. Obviously, pre-election promises and what actually happens might differ. How could this happen - in theory? And what are some options of how events might unfold? It's important to note that these are now just theoretical musings, until official statements from Mr. Trump appear after election results have been announced. ◾️If the United States does make a decision to end the war in Ukraine quickly, that can actually happen. Then, it will be really important to agree on the conditions of the end of the war that would suit both Ukraine and Russia. These conditions must not mean Ukrainian defeat and Ukraine must get effective security guarantees. This is challenging, but achievable. ‼️In the context of negotiations, it is important to realize that the USA and Ukraine are allies. So any attempts by the new administration to force Ukraine to make a peace deal at the cost of Ukraine itself will mean a US defeat to Russia and the world, as Putin wages a war with the US, not with Ukraine. Russia will obviously delay this process but it can be influenced via China and other countries of the Global South that are interested in the war ending as soon as possible. ◾️According to Wall Street Journal (link below), the general consensus seems to be that Donald Trump's administration will aim to end the war by "freezing it" along the current front line. A demilitarized zone can be created in that area. Peacekeepers there would likely be from the armed forces of an EU country or the UK, not the United States. In that scenario, Ukraine would continue getting large weapon supplies to deter any future Russian attacks. The question of Ukraine's NATO membership remains, as some sources who claim to be familiar with Trump's thinking claim that Ukraine won't be allowed to join the alliance for decades in an attempt to appease Russia. Mr. Trump has also said that he wants to reconsider US participation in NATO if he is elected, so the alliance might be reshaped, as well. The same goes for the EU-US relations that are likely to undergo a transformation. As of today, there are no guarantees that Europe will follow the US lead in such matters and won't act more independently. Another possible scenario is for Mr. Trump to stop military support for Ukraine altogether or make it extremely small. In this case, Ukraine will have to rely on the EU and UK for military support. South Korea has mentioned it is considering the possibility of sending weapons to Ukraine as North Korea has sent troops to Russia. If that happens, the EU will have some more time to ramp up its military industry and production of shells. One more scenario is to remove restrictions for Ukraine to use long-range weapons on Russian territory and increase weapon supplies exponentially to give Ukraine a military advantage over Russia. Previously, it was believed that this option might lead to an angry response to Russia and could potentially start a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia. So far, one thing is very clear: we are currently in the situation of strategic uncertainty. There will be a lot of experts, comments, opinions, forecasts and predictions. We must do our best to keep a cool head and wait for official statements and information. For Ukraine, the most important thing are effective, acting security guarantees - without them, it would not be the end of war, it would be a pause to let Russia rearm itself. Putin's victory in Ukraine will be a defeat for the United States and the West. I think the new US administration is well aware of that. For now, the war continues, Ukraine stands and fights. wsj.com/world/trump-pr…
1/16 I was asked on Digi24 what Trump's new mandate means for Ukraine. I answer what I think in more detail here: 1. Donald Trump: President Trump is poised to be a President who will have through the Republican Party absolute control of the Administration and the Congress if the House of Representatives is also won (and it looks like it will be) by Republicans. That means his ideas will be more easily implemented than Obama's or Biden's. But even this political configuration does not guarantee that his vision on Ukraine and Russia will be implemented 100%.
Professor Sven G Holtsmark setter skapet på plass: Nå må Norge stille opp for Ukraina! Det nytter ikke å stirre seg apatisk blind på det amerikanske valgskredet: Europa må ta mer ansvar for eget kontinent. 🧵1/7 vg.no/nyheter/i/gwJ3…
He called it x.com/eeldenden/stat…
"Should we give over our future to the American electorate? My answer is no. Let's not wait for the outcome" - President Macron
Well, time to dust Plan B: Kalmar Union 2.0 27 million people, GDP 1,6 trillion USD. 5th biggest economy in Europe and 11th globally. Also a military force to be reckoned with.
Something doesn't add up. In 2020 Biden had 81 Million votes, Trump had 74 Million votes. In 2024 Harris got 66 Million votes, Trump got 71 million votes. 15 Million Democrats decided to sit this one out? 3 Million MAGA decided to sit this one out? No fucking way.
The lesson for Europe remains exactly the same as before the US elections: keep calm and ramp up the defence spending. This is the only way to have a meaningful dialogue with your adversaries, and, increasingly, also your allies. /1
Macron is right. Europe should unite under its own defense alliance
Vi må bygge opp Forsvaret, gi mykje meir til Ukraina og bli EU-medlem. Den gode nyheita er at det første er vi i gang med, det andre har vi meir enn nok pengar til og det siste er vi velkomne til når vi sjølv måtte ønske.
I have been greatly assisted by western incompetence.
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Little cloud wanted t... @bopnipy
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Bundeskanzler a.D. Ol... @KanzlerScholz
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