Tech Deu @TechDev_599
Entrepreneur /Bitcion and crypto analysis Joined February 2009-
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This is why most alts topped May 2021 and why Nov 2021 was a corrective BTC high. The risk cycle drives crypto’s.
If someone calls for an end-of-year top, your question should be “which year?” Why do you see some saying it’s early risk cycle? Because it’s early risk cycle.
The Global Risk Index: A Framework for Cycle Precision techdev52.substack.com/p/techdev-news…
Altcoins: slower but bigger They didn’t believe it then, they don’t believe it now.
Phases of the global business cycle… Dictate those of the Bitcoin cycle.
Bitcoin has never had its hockey stick inflection until this global risk index crossed positive, like it just did.
Two Paths Forward: Navigating the Business Cycle Inflection techdev52.com/p/techdev-news…
It's... The 2012 setup before the 2013 run. The 2016 setup before the 2017 run. The 2020 setup before the 2021 run. All over again.
🔴 Top = Business cycle (BC) peaks, so BTC peaks 🟣 Bear market = BC and BTC fall together 🟢 Bull market ramp = BC keeps falling while BTC grinds up 🔴 Bull market parabola = BC reverses, so BC and BTC rise together Where are we now?
The Global Risk Index is a ratio of 3 simple macro signals. No weights, no fitting parameters. 3 signals independent of Bitcoin, larger than Bitcoin, that explain Bitcoin’s cycles. Discussed in latest issue, covered in more detail next week: techdev52.com/p/techdev-news…
Most seem to have no idea what's coming. Macro altcoin expansion has only just begun.
Potentially significant.
$BTC "update" The rise I've been waiting for has arrived 👊, everything is progressing as planned. x.com/sarper_onder/s…
$BTC "update" The rise I've been waiting for has arrived 👊, everything is progressing as planned. x.com/sarper_onder/s… https://t.co/YpgBIDbnvt
Trade #73 - $BTC Long (11.48R) Entry: 110750 SL: 110500 TP: 113620 -Sunday night trade, please manage your risk -If it stopped out, wait for NYO.
$BTC Short idea is still valid 🩸
$BTC Short idea is still valid 🩸 https://t.co/mJL813P2hf
$BTC You could short BTC here with a 150K stop and a 50K target for a 1:3R setup. But it seems most would rather chase late-cycle bread crumbs with awful R/R. If my followers miss the last 20% but avoid a 50% drop, that’s a win in my book.
$BTC HTF Update Nothing has changed on higher timeframes. Max pain will happen in wave 2 followed by gigantic 3rd wave Wave 3 Ideal targets: 175K-220K Invalidation: 74,500
$BTC HTF Update Nothing has changed on higher timeframes. Max pain will happen in wave 2 followed by gigantic 3rd wave Wave 3 Ideal targets: 175K-220K Invalidation: 74,500 https://t.co/oHMTGKzVgk
Bear market while reds decline. Bull market ramp when bars green. Goes parabolic when bars go red. Red profile mirrors parabola profile. Impulse tops at blue peaks. USD tops at red peaks. We’re still green. The global business cycle has dictated every aspect of Bitcoin’s.
$BTC Long setup: Entry: 110660.1 Add: 110394.1 SL: 110153.3
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